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I think you give Rowell that extra week and play him against Port on our home deck. Hopefully we see Day back as well.
For this game, Bowes should be fit again so he probably comes back.
Jeffery has put together some decent VFL form that could be rewarded as well.
Rosas has done some alright things but send him back to the VFL to dominate now he has had a taste of senior footy. Atkins has had a slow start and would be at risk as well.
Watched the game with a guy who coached in the NT has grave doubts that Rosa has the core skills to make it in the AFL which is why he sprays it so often and is not great in a one on one contest . I thought he got to the ball ok but was panicky and made a few bad errors. He also said that Jeffery will be a gun and is as good as Darryl White at the same ageI think you give Rowell that extra week and play him against Port on our home deck. Hopefully we see Day back as well.
For this game, Bowes should be fit again so he probably comes back.
Jeffery has put together some decent VFL form that could be rewarded as well.
Rosas has done some alright things but send him back to the VFL to dominate now he has had a taste of senior footy. Atkins has had a slow start and would be at risk as well.
This.
1st game back after his knee op and the longest trip in the AFL on the concrete slab called Optus........give him an extra week and bring him back for his next game at HOME......
The St Kilda game in particular was galling.Another weekly reminder that if we’d won every game that we had a lead in the last quarter we’d be 8-3 right now.
let’s not drop this one.
carry on.
our VFL team is due to play Williamstown at MetriconAs long as Rowell isn’t trotted out in a neafl practice game in a cow paddock like omeara was then happy with that
100%. We aren’t that far away!! We are just one win outside the 8! Imagine if we did win that Crows and Saints game?! I still think we are capable of making finals! We still have some quality coming back from injury! I’ve got us down to win at least 5 more and who knows, we could snag a win at home with our guns back against a team like Richmond or Port.The St Kilda game in particular was galling.
We'd be just outside the top 8 with that win
I’m hoping to get to this game! I’ve got flights and accommodation booked. Just hoping that we get on top of COVID down here and they reopen the border for me
Yeah I do realise that! We've doubled checked and will get our accomodation money back and Jetstar will give us a credit.I would be nervous about that.. the wa premier has previously shown he likes to have 28 days with no local transmission
Rather Bowes in for Farrar tbh.In: Bowes, Day
Out: Rosas (tough I know but Bowes needs to come back into the side), Burgess
Rowell to have a week in the VFL vs Williamstown at home to freshen up ready to go for Port the following week. Flanders might be the unlucky one needing to make room for the Buzz when he returns.
Another weekly reminder that if we’d won every game that we had a lead in the last quarter we’d be 8-3 right now.
let’s not drop this one.
carry on.
I've posted this before but if you went back to the start of this season and looked at our draw you would probably find we should have five wins on the board if we're going well:The St Kilda game in particular was galling.
We'd be just outside the top 8 with that win
Given we're getting back Rowell, Bowes and Day in the next 2-3 weeks, I'd say only the Dogs, Demons and Lions games are the three we're very unlikely to win in the last 11 rounds. If we're on and our opponents are off then I believe we're capable of winning these games:Run home:
Freo at Optus
Port at home
North in Hobart
Richmond at home
Giants at Giants
Dogs at home
Demons at home
Brisbane at Gabba
Carlton at marvel
Essendon at Metricon
Swans at SCG
Bowes definitely plays but I wonder if Dew and the crew will be tempted to bring Day in given Corbett has been relegated to the sub position already? IMO it's pretty obvious that King needs further support and Sammy provides exactly what's needed. Plus this is potentially a winnable game so you want to give yourself the best chance to win by picking an experienced guy like Day.I'd be surprised if Day and Rowell make the trip West
I 100% agree with you mate. We have quality players coming back. If we happen to win our next three (I honestly think we'd beat Freo and North with Port a possible win if we turn up especially now that Day and Rowell will be back) that will give the team a massive boost with a spring in their step and can help them to give them confidence and hype that could help us play well in the games following. The positivity needs to start from us the members! We have played well in parts for every game bar the Lions game so know we can do it. Just look at last week, if we kicked straight we could've won that game and that was Geelong IN GEELONG!I've posted this before but if you went back to the start of this season and looked at our draw you would probably find we should have five wins on the board if we're going well:
Preseason expectation (result)
R1 v West Coast @ Optus - Loss (Loss)
R2 v North Melbourne @ Metricon - Win (Win)
R3 v Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval - Win (Loss)
R4 v Carlton @ Metricon Loss (Loss)
R5 v Bulldogs @ Marvel Loss (Loss)
R6 v Sydney @ Metricon Win (Win)
R7 v Collingwood @ MCG Loss (Win)
R8 v St Kilda @ Metricon Loss (Loss)
R9 v Brisbane @ Metricon Loss (Loss)
R10 v Geelong @ Kardinia Park Loss (Loss)
R11 Hawthorn @ SCG 50/50 (Win)
I would suggest before the season started that we were only expected to beat North, Adelaide and Sydney, with Hawthorn being a 50/50 game at a neutral venue given both clubs finished 2020 with 5 wins. All other games we were expected to lose before the season started and although we lost the Adelaide game, we beat Collingwood at the MCG to make up for the one we slipped against the Crows. So I think we're exactly where people probably expected us to be in terms of expected wins. The Carlton and St Kilda games were probably closer to a 50/50 prospect than other games we've lost this year but I still believe we were expected to lose those games before the season started AND during the week of the games. The tight nature of these games were reflected in the final score lines with the loss to Carlton being 11 points and the loss to St Kilda being 9 points. If we had won one of the Carlton or St Kilda games then we'd be going really well right now and would be equal 8th on the ladder but four wins by the end of round 11 is more than commendable with the draw we had and injuries that occurred to our key players.
Given we're getting back Rowell, Bowes and Day in the next 2-3 weeks, I'd say only the Dogs, Demons and Lions games are the three we're very unlikely to win in the last 11 rounds. If we're on and our opponents are off then I believe we're capable of winning these games:
You typically need 11-12 wins (7-8 more wins from where we are now) to play finals and there are eight games listed above that could be winnable under the right circumstances. I know some people will say 7 wins from the remaining 11 games is a pipe dream when we've only won 4 from our first 11 games but it can suddenly turn into a more doable prospect if we beat Fremantle in round 13 which would mean 6 wins from the last remaining 10 games are required to give ourselves a shot at finals. Don't forget we had a 75% winning record (3-1) when Rowell was playing for us last year and we absolutely belted some of those opponents in that period so his inclusion alone dramatically increases our chances of winning some of the 50/50 games we've got in the second half of the season.
- Fremantle in Perth - We almost beat West Coast in round 1 and proved we can play well on that ground. The Dockers will be tired and injured compared to our fresh list coming off a bye. Potentially winnable.
- Port Adelaide at Metricon - They've looked questionable at times this year and you only have to look at the way they played Brisbane at the Gabba this year to see they can struggle on the road. Potentially winnable with Rowell back.
- North in Hobart - We should win this one pretty easily. Removing North's actual home ground advantage in Melbourne helps our case even more.
- Richmond at Metricon - They have struggled massively this season and with no Tom Lynch it's going to be really tough for them to play us at Metricon. Potentially winnable.
- GWS in Sydney - Tough away game but the Giants got absolutely spanked yesterday and have been really hot and cold over the last 12 months. Depends on which GWS shows up that day but if we're on then we can take this one. Potentially winnable
- Carlton in Melbourne - We've already shown earlier this year that we can beat them if we kick straight and we've beaten the Blues plenty of times in Melbourne before. Definitely winnable.
- Essendon at Metricon - Essendon have shown some good signs this year but I think this one being at Metricon and their list being quite young and probably struggling to finish the season well swings this in our favour. Definitely winnable.
- Sydney in Sydney - The Dew factor makes this one winnable. We have a really good record against the Swans, smashed them at Metricon earlier this year and beat them at the SCG last year. So we're definitely a chance in this one and we may even be playing off for a spot in the top 8 if things go well (you never know!). Potentially winnable.
I know it sounds glass half full and some may question why I even took the time to write all of that but the impact Rowell has had on our team in the past genuinely has me believing we can do something special in the second half of the season. We're just one win behind the top 8 right now so that obviously means we're in the thick of it which is probably exactly where a lot of us had hoped we would be going into the bye.
Beat Fremantle and get Rowell back in the team. Who knows what happens from there...
I 100% agree with you mate. We have quality players coming back. If we happen to win our next three (I honestly think we'd beat Freo and North with Port a possible win if we turn up especially now that Day and Rowell will be back) that will give the team a massive boost with a spring in their step and can help them to give them confidence and hype that could help us play well in the games following. The positivity needs to start from us the members! We have played well in parts for every game bar the Lions game so know we can do it. Just look at last week, if we kicked straight we could've won that game and that was Geelong IN GEELONG!
My predictions
Freo at Optus- 50/50
Port at home- Loss
North in Hobart- Win
Richmond at home- 50/50
Giants at Giants- 50/50
Dogs at home- Loss
Demons at home- Loss
Brisbane at Gabba- Loss
Carlton at marvel- win
Essendon at Metricon- win
Swans at SCG- 50/50
If we can nab some of those 50/50s and win those ones that we should win we will be around the mark
I agree that 7 wins is the minimum expectation for our natural progression this year. North in Hobart should clearly be a W for us and I'll say 50/50 games against Fremantle, GWS, Carlton and Essendon should render at least 2 wins. That gets us to 7 wins for the season and I firmly believe that's a minimum expectation for us this year with Rowell, Day and Bowes coming back in the next 2-3 weeks. Sydney is also very winnable with the Dew Factor and you never know in Metricon games against Richmond/Port Adelaide/Bulldogs with the way those teams have played at times this year.I think 7 wins should be the minimum benchmark for this season. Anything more would be a bonus. Then 2022 is when finals should be the aim.