Analysis AFL 2019 punting thread

[Snake_Baker]

I definitely would have been folding any return on Riewoldt in to Polec @ $1.75 for 25+ disposals.

27 last week, 29 in his last effort v Brisbane and 34 & 28 in his two games at Docklands last year.

 

[Too_many_talls]

Had a quick look now, not a lot that I like but once again the only value I see is the bravedogs (again).

Will take Port into West Coast into the Bulldogs line (-19.5) over the Hawks

$20 at $3.18

Thank god for gambling.

Seeing that smug Sicily lose has made this glum day a little bit brighter...

 

[Snake_Baker]

I definitely would have been folding any return on Riewoldt in to Polec @ $1.75 for 25+ disposals.

27 last week, 29 in his last effort v Brisbane and 34 & 28 in his two games at Docklands last year.

19 disposals at half time.

23 disposals at full time.

 

[danj]

Does anyone know why the TAB have changed the betting options for this season? Previous seasons i could do a multi of team to score first goal or point into first team to 25 points but neither of those options are available this season??? I must admit you could get very good odds and if you snagged one it made up for a couple of weeks losses. The other option was to double up the first selections into another game, tremendous odds which I snagged a couple of time over the past few seasons

 

[Too_many_talls]

Haven't put any bets on but there are a couple of intriguing ones here this week.

Carlton getting two goals start over Sydney, in Melbourne. Sydney has scored 127 points in two weeks.

GWS only giving 7.5 to Richmond. Looks pretty easy.

West Coast getting 15.5 against Collingwood. Really?

North only getting 15.5 - would like us with a three goal start but probably stay away, again.

 

[Snake_Baker]

Righto...........a bloke's gettin' thirsty here!

2019 AFL punting

Goal: To profit one cartoon of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Lost: $40
Betting allocation per round: $20

Round 3

$20 multi

Melbourne (1-39) $2.10
GWS (head to head) $1.52
Freo (head to head) $1.40

Return: $97.04

 

[danj]

I'm going melbs Giants saints @$7.06 x $20 = $141.20

 

[Too_many_talls]

Carlton line (+12.5)
GWS line (-10.5)

$20@3.61

 

[Snake_Baker]

 

[roos_fanatic08]

Have you even got one leg yet this year SB?

 

[muttley45]

1st goalkicker : $10 on Hall @ 19-1
$10 on Higgins @ 26-1

 

[Snake_Baker]

Have you even got one leg yet this year SB?

Nope.

 

[Dingster]

$20 on GWS with our boy Kelly back into Collingwood at $2

 

[LuvtheKangas]

Forgot about this thread. Last week I had a 3 leg multi : Carlton at the line, Saints at the line and NM head to head. Getting the first two legs up on Saturday, I checked to see what it was paying if we won on Sunday. Turns out I clicked the wrong button and backed Brisbane. Odds were boosted to 6.93 and I had $10 on it.

A nice symmetry - my incompetence and my team's incompetence paid off.

I'm on Port tonight into Hawthorn tomorrow (sorry).

 

[Snake_Baker]

Lachie Neale at $10/$3.25 is starting to shape as a nice Brownlow bet.

 

[LuvtheKangas]

Lachie Neale at $10/$3.25 is starting to shape as a nice Brownlow bet.

Agree with that. He's probably already on 9 votes.

I've just taken the Sam Walsh Rising Star - Lachie Neale Brownlow double for $20. With Walsh, you're betting against injury. He wins if he stays fit. LDU will finish top 3.

 

[Carlos Herrrnandez]

Took some of Trav Boak at 500/126 each way on the Brownlow. A late season cash out most likely scenario, but he must be on at least 6 votes himself so far

 

[ferball]

A few bucks on us to beat Hawthorn by 40+ might be a good bet today. Its paying 15 bucks.

I mentioned upthread I don't usually bet but will post any potentially worthwhile hunches I have for anyone who wants to know.

 

[ferball]

Hope I didn't jinx it.

 

[Too_many_talls]

A bit stiff last week but there are three games I like this week

St Kilda +14.5 v Hawthorn
PtA - 24.5 v Richmond

and

Nth h2d @2.05 - just feel that we will at least be very competitive in this one - Adelaide simply aren't that good.

Rather than take all three @$7.40 I've taken the three combinations @ ~$4. Investing the winnings from the first two weeks.

Good luck!

 

[ferball]

Hope I didn't jinx it.

So much for that...

 

[Snake_Baker]

I was stiff last week considering the maggots gave the scum an armchair ride over the line and stuffed up my multi.

I'm taking them on this week!

2019 AFL punting

Goal: To profit one cartoon of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Lost: $60
Betting allocation per round: $20

Round 4

$20 multi

Brisbane (head to head) $2.10
North (1-39) $2.40
StKilda (1-39) $3.20

Return: $322.56

COME AT ME!

 

[rickety]

Just had my very last dollar on Brisbane Roar to win @ 4.50 My boy Eric Bautheac with a first half brace, give me the Bet365 early payout. Merci Eric :-D

 

[ferball]

I was stiff last week considering the maggots gave the scum an armchair ride over the line and stuffed up my multi.

I'm taking them on this week!

2019 AFL punting

Goal: To profit one cartoon of beer per week over the AFL season.
Starting pool: $460
Lost: $60
Betting allocation per round: $20

Round 4

$20 multi

Brisbane (head to head) $2.10
North (1-39) $2.40
StKilda (1-39) $3.20

Return: $322.56

COME AT ME!

I was talking to a mate of mine who smokes durries and it struck me that he needs to do something like this every week just to afford them.

 

[muttley45]

I will stick with last weeks same bet, but odds are better, and Hally stiff after kicking a pt after Browns 1st miss.

1st goal scorer : $10 on Higgins @ $21, $10 on Hall @ $41