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List Mgmt. 2023 Trade Thread - Part II

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I think Ralph needs to team up with David King to work out all the nuances of the Gresham /Shiel situation.

I'm thinking ....
Howard to the Swans, Swans first round pick to Essendon, Aaron Francis to StKilda , Gresham to Essendon, Saints Compensation to Essendon, Parish to the Bombers and GWS first round pick to Essendon, Shiel to Saints.
 
So Essendon retained Parish and Redman on five year contracts, are bringing in McKay on a fat contract, are talking about bringing in Gresham on a contract that'll prise him out of restricted free agency and could sign Goldstein. There were also reports of a 2 million dollar war chest at the start of the year - which Parish, Redman and McKay would take a massive bite out of.

Meanwhile they've delisted Alastair Lord, Cian McBride, Rhett Montgomerie and Anthony Munkara. Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti and Andrew Phillips have retired. BZT gets traded to Port. Update: Massimo D’Ambrosio goes to Hawks. So no significant gains in terms of salary cap.

Shiel's six year contract must be pretty heavily back-ended if the Bombers are this desperate to dump him with two years left (and have been since last year). Looking at all these information it seems likely they can't land Gresh without doing so.

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“St Kilda aren’t interested in keeping Jade Gresham despite what they say publicly. He’s also well paid, and they need more midfield support.

“Gresham would leave as a free agent and because Essendon would pay him enough it gives St Kilda either a first-round or end of first-round compensation pick. It would be 13 given their first pick is 12, or at the end of the first round of course.

“Then the trade period sometime later, St Kilda send a pick back to Essendon for Shiel. The theory goes it could be that same pick that they use in the Gresham deal. List managers I’ve spoken to said they would be floored if the Saints gave up a first-rounder for Shiel.

“They’ve got 31 so it would be more likely that the Saints would give up 31, or that second-round pick for Shiel and Essendon allow it given the Saints would be taking on Dylan Shiel’s wage at the same time.

“Essentially it’s a pick buy. St Kilda will be buying a pick here.”

This is exactly the kind of thing I was afraid of. Ralphy says something stupid first to make pick 31 for Shiel sound reasonable.

It isn’t. He’s 31.
 
Yep agree, 3rd round is the best he's worth.

He has at most 2 seasons left for mine.

I think the Shiel deal is an attempt to upgrade our compo pick though.

Would either be Gresh for Band 2 (pick 20) or Gresh + 32 for Shiel + Band 1 (13)
 
This is exactly the kind of thing I was afraid of. Ralphy says something stupid first to make pick 31 for Shiel sound reasonable.

It isn’t. He’s 31.
It should be compared to the Hannerbery deal - we took on his contract and they got a swap pick 28 to 39 ---- so 3rd pick at best.

He has not played a full season since playing for the Bombers , well past his prime which was 5 years ago.
 
Wonder if north would be interested in a future first for Clark?
 
This is exactly the kind of thing I was afraid of. Ralphy says something stupid first to make pick 31 for Shiel sound reasonable.

It isn’t. He’s 31.
31 is worth about 51 this draft. If things work out we won't use any picks over 25 ( after we trade, Coff, Howard, and FA for Gres and the Haynes Salary dump)

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They have to trade them. The afl will take them back next year. They would be fools not to
Clark just isn't a need anymore for them though. They can get far better quality players than Clark with those types of picks, only way it happens is if no one wants to go to them at all
 

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I think Ralph needs to team up with David King to work out all the nuances of the Gresham /Shiel situation.

I'm thinking ....
Howard to the Swans, Swans first round pick to Essendon, Aaron Francis to StKilda , Gresham to Essendon, Saints Compensation to Essendon, Parish to the Bombers and GWS first round pick to Essendon, Shiel to Saints.
Needs more Carlisle
 
Gresh won't nominate until he knows how much Dons are willing to pay and as we can see by all the reporting that is fluid at the moment and subject to the AFL ticking off any deal around Shiel so no need for him to do anything publicly till all the ducks are in a row. You only nominate once you have a committed offer from the club you want to move to and to put pressure on your current club to deal exclusively with them. The longer he keeps his options open the bigger the potential pay day.
 

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I also come in peace.

Do we just skip all this nonsense about Shiel, and you guys just take the band 2 compo and be done with it?
End of first round pick - 19 for you guys and away we go.

FWIW I also laugh at the thought of you guys giving us 13 in any deal for Shiel, I think it’s shocking for you. But Gresham also isn’t worth anywhere near band 1.
Handy player but even band 2 is pushing it.

I know you’ll argue “we’ll just keep him and you get nothing” but there’s too much noise, and reported too many places about you guys wanting him out and happy to let him go.
Just because Ross went on 360 and said “they told us not to make an offer, we want to keep him” doesn’t make it so, what else was he gonna say?
“Oh nah we’re pushing him out the door” no worries here’s your band 3 from us at best then [emoji23] it would be bad practice from you guys to state that publicly and not get yourselves a good deal. Band 2 is a good deal, you take 19 and go to the draft or use it in a trade however you see fit.
No one else is paying him band 1 without getting something good back in return so your not gonna go to another club and try get it there, he’s just not worth it.
But a handy player, I’ll happily have him for a fair price.
Anyway, enjoy the day.
Ok try and play cool. We'll get the band one off Hawthorn or keep Gresh, he will win big games for us.

Meanwhile Bombers will search for someone like Gresh for the next few seasons and spend their salary cap on players like Perkins and Caldwell and struggle to make the 8 for the foreseeable future. Essendon fans will be thinking "What if?" for a generation.

I don't like seeing our players become Bombers so it would be a decent result for me. Peace.
 
This is exactly the kind of thing I was afraid of. Ralphy says something stupid first to make pick 31 for Shiel sound reasonable.

It isn’t. He’s 31.
Not in isolation, but if it helps us get that band 1 compo you could look at it as pick 31 moves us from end of round 1 compo to pick 13...
 
Nah I am doing a Ralph and making stuff up. Probably soon will be as they ghost this forum.

Eseendon get Gresham, Sheil off their books, a 4 dp downgrade

Saints get a 4 place upgrade, Gresham off the books, pick 13 and Shiel.

It is not a bad scenario but just as unlikely as any other about.


They get nothing out of any of that. They just go back to paying Gresham $700k and we have no say in it. It has to benefit both sides or it won't get done. We can threaten to match but I think we've probably already used his compo in our heads and seem to not want to pay him.
 
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