Taylor
Community Leader
- Staff
- #251
As was noted in the earlier reply, this is a dissimilar situation coz you have an actual marquee player leaving from a club that's not at the dregs of the ladder. One of the few times that that combo of circs happened was Jeremy Cameron and that was matched. Dangerfield is a less clean example of this, but he qualified as an RFA and Geelong went straight to trade, presumably because they knew that Adelaide would match the bid and chase for more than pick 14 for Danger.
Apart from a Starcevich situation where the clubs are trying to have their cake and eat it too, truly marquee players leaving not complete crap clubs is the situation RFA bids get matched coz the compo isn't satisfactory. It happens rarely, so matched bids happen rarely too.
Given Zak Butters is very likely to leave, we don't have to wait til Chad's decision to see this play out. Unless Port are at the dregs of the ladder (which isn't impossible), I'd expect a matched bid.
I think it will entirely depend on the club getting Butters' ability to offer higher value in trade than pick #3.
I also think Chad Warner is a better player because he is a chance to go home to WA than players already in WA, who perform better, are rated externally. Not trying to kick the tyres, but Warner isn't the best player in his side like Butters is, Warner is in the top three in my opinion and you can raffle whether Gulden is at 2nd.
But because he might come home he is higher rated.
I don't think it will matter. WC finish last and they also like him, then the other threat wheels out that barely ever gets used, the PSD, and we start to argue over whether Fremantle getting Chad as a free agent, or Sydney matching it for a trade gives Sydney or Freo the leverage over Warner because WC will get him for free right after anyway if no deal is done.
Dangerfield was offered more money to stay at Adelaide but wanted to go home so much he took a pay cut for it, Cameron was going to a club with bulk first round picks and from a club that was losing two band one free agents.
These are rare circumstances.





