Grand Final Odds

[The Falcon Strike]

Tab Ozbet have Cats favourite's

Cats $1.60
Saints $2.30

Would have thought the odds would have been closer than that.

The only thing I can think of is the betting agencies are carrying a lot of money on the cats from the start of the season.

Personally i'd have the cats very slight favourites, but more like

$1.80 Cats
$1.90 Saints

Putting my money early on Chapman for Norm Smith

 

[AG]

St Kilda win. Hayes for the Norm.

 

[JuddyBuddy]

Sportingbet has Cats @ $1.70 and Saints @ $2.10. Seems about right after the wknds results. Should maybe be a tad closer.

Personally I'd have Cats @ $1.80 and Saints @ $2.00.

 

[The Rusty Clam]

We were impressive tonight, but those odds are surprising. Put them at $1.85 each, no one knows what is going to happen on grand final day

 

[Ron]

Betfair has it as

Cats $1.76
Saints $2.24

 

[Makka]

Going to be a great contest hopefully! Haven't looked forward to a GF as much since '06!

 

[winty]

St Kilda win. Hayes for the Norm.

Geelong for the win. Chapman for the Norm.

 

[LukeParkerno1]

I agree with the odds. St Kilda on their two performances play the MCG terribly. The Cats play the ground fantastically. Geelong by 23 points, Joel Selwood Norm Smith Medal

 

[AG]

I agree with the odds. St Kilda on their two performances play the MCG terribly. The Cats play the ground fantastically. Geelong by 23 points, Joel Selwood Norm Smith Medal

They won both games.

 

[Subaru Impreza]

Yes the Saints have won 3 out of 3 at the MCG season. But if you look at their past 11 games, they have won only 6 of their past 11 matches there.

I think the Saints will be primed for a big one. I think some of the Geelong players are getting older and slower: Ling, Harley, Rooke, Mooney, Steve Johnson. The saints are a much much faster side than Geelong around the ground.

I have been following both teams closely this year, but i think saints should do the job on Saturday. (providing its good weather, sunny). Wet weather, conditions will favour Geelong though since they are so used to these kinds of conditions playing and training at Kardinia Park.

 

[Subaru Impreza]

St.Kilda's defence also has been one of their strong points. Steve Silvagni I dont know what he has done but i think most of credit has to go to him. (I know he was a very good defender himself) but around the ground the Saints pressure forces the opposition to go into 1 on 1 football, and this leads to other teams turning the ball over.

I mean saints defence this season has conceded 1516 points /24 games= 63.1 pts average. But the most impressive thing is they have averaged 97.38 points on the attack.

In history it has to be one of the most impressive displays ive seen. For me the saints big 6(Hayes, Dal santo, Riewoldt, Montagna, Goddard, Koschitzke) is slightly better than the cats big 6 (Ablett, Bartel, Corey, S Johnson, Mooney, Chapman)

 

[AP Erebus]

the thinking of the betting agencies is prolly:

1. Geelong have made the last 2 grand finals.
2. St Kilda ground past the Dogs where as Geelong surged past the Pies.

I think the odds should be closer, it's going to be a ripping match.

 

[Squall]

I would of thought st kilda being the better team all yr be favourites, I'm getting on the saints while these odds are on by the end of wk it will be about even

 

[maryjames]

The odds will close in as the week goes on.

St Kilda has been the best team all year and money will go on them..

 

[whoknows]

For me the saints big 6(Hayes, Dal santo, Riewoldt, Montagna, Goddard, Koschitzke) is slightly better than the cats big 6 (Ablett, Bartel, Corey, S Johnson, Mooney, Chapman)

Hmmm... I'd go so far to say that it's your bottom 6, not your top 6, that end up making the difference. It is a nice thought though, basing a bet simply on a the subjective quality of the perceived top quartile-or-so of a team. And I'd probably say the 'cats big 6', or whatever this new notion is, at least includes a Scarlett. Perhaps a Selwood. I don't know - are we talking 'best' or 'most important'? But then we're back to the 'how the hell are you rating the quality of these 6' question. Anyway, it's a somewhat mute point.

 

[Timmy from Thomastown]

This year results in the finals so far have fallen exactly in line with ladder position. Thats very very rare and I doubt since the eight came in that its ever happened.

I expect the trend to continue. Geelong (2nd) to beat StKilda (1st)

 

[Godzke]

If it rains, those odds will be Cats $1.01.

Was absolutuely amazed at how clean a lot of their disposals were in the wet last night. That midfield can do anything... except consistently drill a ball inside 50 ... not sure why but most of the time rooke, mooney and hawkins were given little chance of marking due to a lot of 9-irons. Would be the only thing they need to work on.

 

[Jatz]

geelong by 40. will score 3 quick goals in junk time.
selwood for the norm.
ablett to use the tears of joy excuse for not winning the norm

 

[pavilion103]

St.Kilda's defence also has been one of their strong points. Steve Silvagni I dont know what he has done but i think most of credit has to go to him. (I know he was a very good defender himself) but around the ground the Saints pressure forces the opposition to go into 1 on 1 football, and this leads to other teams turning the ball over.

I mean saints defence this season has conceded 1516 points /24 games= 63.1 pts average. But the most impressive thing is they have averaged 97.38 points on the attack.

In history it has to be one of the most impressive displays ive seen. For me the saints big 6(Hayes, Dal santo, Riewoldt, Montagna, Goddard, Koschitzke) is slightly better than the cats big 6 (Ablett, Bartel, Corey, S Johnson, Mooney, Chapman)

LMFAO hahahaha

 

[winty]

Yes the Saints have won 3 out of 3 at the MCG season. But if you look at their past 11 games, they have won only 6 of their past 11 matches there.

I think the Saints will be primed for a big one. I think some of the Geelong players are getting older and slower: Ling, Harley, Rooke, Mooney, Steve Johnson. The saints are a much much faster side than Geelong around the ground.

I have been following both teams closely this year, but i think saints should do the job on Saturday. (providing its good weather, sunny). Wet weather, conditions will favour Geelong though since they are so used to these kinds of conditions playing and training at Kardinia Park.

They looked slow last night, didn't they?

 

[walhawk]

Was just about to back the Saints at $2.20 on SportsAlive and they drifted further to $2.25.

Forecast for Saturday
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Winds west to northwesterly averaging up to 45 km/h tending westerly 20 to 30 km/h during the evening.
CityShower or two.Min10Max18

 

[Bollox]

There's always a favorite..and in this case it was bound to happen based on prelim form. Afterall how else can you judge it ?

The obvious thing many arnt looking at though is just how far away Collinqwood were from the Doggies in 3rd...Doggies took a cpl of chances they missed and they were right with Geelong at the end...didnt happen. Saints beat the pies easy and so did Geelong...bit of junktime scoring isnt important and can be ignored last night.

basically there are two teams on equal pegging then a bit of a gap (not much at all) to the doggies..but a much bigger gap down to the pies and adelaide about equal 4th/5th. The fact Geelong won easier than the Saints this week isnt a good guide.

Geelong SHOULD start slight favorites...as usual the money goes to the proven performer.

 

[Magnum]

cant believe we're favs actually.

 

[flea29]

Saints 2.33 on Centrebet. Get on now, cant see that lasting long

 

[bombermick]

Hmmm, that is good odds for St. Kilda. I think this is an almost 50/50 game. Can Mooney and Hawkins do the job again? Can Riewoldt cement himself as a true legend of the game by taking his side to the cup?