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Vic How would you rate Daniel Andrews' performance as Victorian Premier? - Part 5

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Have you got your "I love Dan" tattoo yet? Your love and devotion is hilarious.
Ah! The usual bizzare response when comprehensively done over. Either you're a Dan fan or you discredit well credentialed authoritative people whose opinions are quoted. You haven't improved much since your dim witted anti mask days. I'll say this, you're a hoot.
 
How many children have died or had serious complications from delta? Meanwhile, they've missed almost a year of education and social development. Speaking to colleagues, I know mental health issues with our youth are a major issue.

I don't know. What I've read about Delta in other countries, it doesn't leave children unscathed, and over a quarter of our current cases are kids under 10, none of whom have had a chance to get a vaccine yet. I'm happy to wait until they have.
 
i thought the case numbers during the others were lower (and mostly kappa variant? let me recall
- kappa was the SA HQ breach - mid May
- there was a Melbourne HQ breach which was squashed due to the kappa being squashed

- there may have been a lockdown protest - was it the one with the really low turnout?

- then in June there were some dumbfu** removalists who came in as well as separate dumbfu** people in Craigieburn deciding "oh we have symptoms lets get tested and then go forking shopping"
- that's when the delta outbreak started, so not a HQ issue

SA hq was kappa, every other case including the Melbourne HQ breach were delta.

I'm pretty sure there has been an anti lockdown protest every time Dan announces one or extends his snap lockdown or announces new restrictions.

Then this one they don't know where it's from, much like that first delta outbreak which they tried to blame on NSW which was Covid free or the black rock, this and black rock the person they wanted to blame didn't have the virus. It could be yet another hq breach, we may never know, or like that last hq breach they'll announce it when lockdown is lifted so no one is listening anymore.
 
How many children have died or had serious complications from delta? Meanwhile, they've missed almost a year of education and social development. Speaking to colleagues, I know mental health issues with our youth are a major issue.
It’s more about these children than going on to spread it to other children in school and childcare settings witch will than infect more family’s when they go home giving to virus to family members who will spread it around workplaces and more families with that exponential growth of cases

It’s about stopping the spread of the virus
 

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It’s more about these children than going on to spread it to other children in school and childcare settings witch will than infect more family’s when they go home giving to virus to family members who will spread it around workplaces and more families with that exponential growth of cases

It’s about stopping the spread of the virus
Link?
 
There will come a point where it will be practically mandatory. Plenty of things you'll be barred from if unvaccinated. I gather that's their main problem.
The thing that has me tossed is how will the authorities etc know? I've had two Pfizer jabs but have nothing in written form to show for it. Same with others I know.
 
The thing that has me tossed is how will the authorities etc know? I've had two Pfizer jabs but have nothing in written form to show for it. Same with others I know.

There's been talk about the QR code check in turning green. There's also the certificate attached to your medicare profile.
 
I don't know. What I've read about Delta in other countries, it doesn't leave children unscathed, and over a quarter of our current cases are kids under 10, none of whom have had a chance to get a vaccine yet. I'm happy to wait until they have.
It's only just had approval for 12-15year olds. You could be waiting a long time.

Do you have any skin in the game, as in young children?
 
SA hq was kappa, every other case including the Melbourne HQ breach were delta.

I'm pretty sure there has been an anti lockdown protest every time Dan announces one or extends his snap lockdown or announces new restrictions.

Then this one they don't know where it's from, much like that first delta outbreak which they tried to blame on NSW which was Covid free or the black rock, this and black rock the person they wanted to blame didn't have the virus. It could be yet another hq breach, we may never know, or like that last hq breach they'll announce it when lockdown is lifted so no one is listening anymore.
I thought this one was continuous with the removalists (the guy working the testing site catching it from the toilet where an infected case used)
The melb hq breach was during the kappa lockdown
The last protest I recall was post the mcg getting listed as exposure site

Edit specific dates of protests (based on media reports)
Today
11/8/21 (that’s the one with no protestors)
5/8/21 (when lockdown 6 announced)
24/7/21 (during ld5, that’s the one near the mcg exposure site)

And 20/11/2020
 
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The thing that has me tossed is how will the authorities etc know? I've had two Pfizer jabs but have nothing in written form to show for it. Same with others I know.
It should be on your MyGov immunisation record, which will in turn connect to the app. In theory.
 
I thought this one was continuous with the removalists (the guy working the testing site catching it from the toilet where an infected case used)
The melb hq breach was during the kappa lockdown
The last protest I recall was post the mcg getting listed as exposure site

It's probable given the traffic controllers partner lived in the same area as the first case, but they aren't saying at this stage. Maybe they feel admitting that would say that LD5 was ended prematurely.

As far as I know the first case here is still one of dozens of mystery cases in this outbreak, they've got no idea where the infections are coming from.
 
It's only just had approval for 12-15year olds. You could be waiting a long time.

Do you have any skin in the game, as in young children?

Yes I do, which is why I commented. My wife and I are both fully jabbed, with AZ.
 
It's probable given the traffic controllers partner lived in the same area as the first case, but they aren't saying at this stage. Maybe they feel admitting that would say that LD5 was ended prematurely.

As far as I know the first case here is still one of dozens of mystery cases in this outbreak, they've got no idea where the infections are coming from.
Probably true that ld5 ended early but they had donut half day then the traffic controller
When you say here do you mean Shepparton
 

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Mate at this point if there is some world depopulation conspiracy I'm all for it. These people shouldn't be breeding.
Well if COVID goes rampant and they aren’t vaccinated they may get their population reduced
 
Probably true that ld5 ended early but they had donut half day then the traffic controller
When you say here do you mean Shepparton

We’ll that’s a mystery too, but the first case in this outbreak is still classed as a mystery case I believe.

Traffic controller was still in ld5 wasn’t he? He was still a mystery case until last week!!!
 
We’ll that’s a mystery too, but the first case in this outbreak is still classed as a mystery case I believe.

Traffic controller was still in ld5 wasn’t he? He was still a mystery case until last week!!!
He was detected on the day when Dan unwisely went the early crow because we had donuts (I think for a couple of days all new cases were in iso) but I think the restrictions had eased a little then we found out about him.
And yes he was mystery until last week.
 
Another update from Nextstrain and Victoria are still not uploading data. I'm now getting suspicious, every other nearby jurisdiction is submitting data and Victoria has now stopped for a month. Victoria were submitting weekly until mid-late July.

Highlighted in red are the last Victorian samples, the latest from July 21st.

extstrain.png


They have also begun to split the delta cases into sub-lineages. AY.4 is a sub-lineage of the Delta variant which is making up the majority of cases in NSW and therefore Australia. I'd expect it is the same sub-lineage that we currently have in Victoria (it was for both the Removalists and Coles family outbreaks), but we have no publicly available data to confirm what the cases in the current Victorian outbreak are from. This doesn't mean its more virulent (although there are some investigating if it could be with regards to a specific genome change) or deadly.

AY.4 is the lineage that according to outbreak.org, is estimated to have made up ~24% of cases in the UK and is making up 27% of current sequenced cases globally. This is probably distorted as there are limited test results in some countries, while the UK, Europe, US and Australia have much larger testing numbers and sequences. Below is the growth chart from August 8th on a global basis. AY.4 Making up approximately 27% of sampled cases.

Note, I'm no expert and this is just my analysis of it.

ay4.png
 
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Another update from Nextstrain and Victoria are still not uploading data. I'm now getting suspicious, every other nearby jurisdiction is submitting data and Victoria has now stopped for a month. Victoria were submitting weekly until mid-late July.

Highlighted in red are the last Victorian samples, the latest from July 21st.

View attachment 1212549


They have also begun to split the delta cases into sub-lineages. AY.4 is a sub-lineage of the Delta variant which is making up the majority of cases in NSW and therefore Australia. I'd expect it is the same sub-lineage that we currently have in Victoria (it was for both the Removalists and Coles family outbreaks), but we have no publicly available data to confirm what the cases in the current Victorian outbreak are from. This doesn't mean its more virulent (although there are some investigating if it could be with regards to a specific genome change) or deadly.

AY.4 is the lineage that according to outbreak.org, is estimated to have made up ~24% of cases in the UK and is making up 27% of current sequenced cases globally. This is probably distorted as there are limited test results in some countries, while the UK, Europe, US and Australia have much larger testing numbers and sequences. Below is the growth chart from August 8th on a global basis. AY.4 Making up approximately 27% of sampled cases.

View attachment 1212588
When you say getting suspicious what do you mean by that?
Thanks for posting the data and your brief analysis of it
 
The thing that has me tossed is how will the authorities etc know? I've had two Pfizer jabs but have nothing in written form to show for it. Same with others I know.
Should be a record here. You can download to your phone.
 
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