In 24 of the last 28 years, a team who missed the finals has finished top-4 the next year. 33 teams in total over 28 years. Who will it be?

[Dan26]

In 24 of the last 28 years at least one team who has missed the finals completely the year before has made the top-4 the next year. In some years, as many as three teams have done this in a single year.

So, these are the teams that finished top-four. 33 teams in 28 years, an average of more than 1 every year

2022 - Collingwood - came from 17th the year before

2021 - Melbourne - came from 9th the year before

2020 - Port - came from 10th the year before

2019 - Brisbane - came from 15th the year before

2018 - Collingwood - came from 13th the year before
- Hawthorn - came from 12th the year before

2017 - Richmond - came from 13th the year before

2016 - GWS - came from 11th the year before

2015 - WCE - came from 9th the year before

2014 - NONE

2013 - NONE

2012 - Adelaide - came from 14th the year before

2011 - WCE - came from 16th the year before

2010 - NONE

2009 - NONE

2008 - Bulldogs - came from 13th the year before
- St.Kilda - came from 9th the year before

2007 - Geelong - came from 10th the year before
- Port - came from 12th the year before
- North.Melb - came from 14th the year before

2006 - Freo - came from 10th the year before

2005 - Adelaide - came from 12th the year before

2004 - St.Kilda - came from11th the year before
- Geelong - came from 12th the year before

2003 - Sydney - came from 11th the year before

2002 - Collingwood - came from 9th the year before

2001 - Port - came from 14th the year before
- Richmond - came from 9th the year before

2000 - Melbourne - came from 14th the year before

1999 - Brisbane - came from 16th the year before

1998 - Melbourne - came from 16th the year before

1997 - St.Kilda - came from 10th the year before
- Bulldogs - came from 15th the year before
- Adelaide - came from 12th the year before

1996 - Sydney - came from 12th the year before

1995 - Richmond - came from 9th the year before
- Essendon - came from 10th the year before


Who do you think can/will do it this year? Everyone will say Carlton and probably fair enough, but it's often a team you don't expect. Like Collingwood last year. Who are the teams that could do it?

 

[Coolangatta]

Aside from Carlton:

Saints, if Ross Lyon has them go next level.
Port.
Suns. Didn't they lose quite a few close ones?

Can't see anyone else jumping that far up the ladder.

 

[M Malice]

Crows.

 

[Lockyer24]

Port and Blues.
I do think Essendon can improve the most in terms of ladder posish just not top 4.

 

[Kreuuuzeurns]

Carlton or Port seem ready to go

Smoky Crows

 

[Strange Cat]

Blues easily

 

[Section 5]

Port
Although i hope they lose R1

 

[11kgm]

Port is my guess but surely Carlton

 

[Boppo]

Suns and Blues big chances.

 

[Lensen]

West Coast. Covid years a write off. Experienced enough to do a Collingwood if they can find a couple of kids

 

[fnerd]

Has to be carlton, it’s just gotta be … all their supporters , the media , they all assure us every year it’s them!

 

[Freomaniac]

Very likely to be Carlton....

Port or Saints can go from outside of finals to top 4 aswell.

 

[windyhill]

Port and Blues.
I do think Essendon can improve the most in terms of ladder posish just not top 4.

Not Ess mate, have a good look at the list, not good !!

 

[rye]

gold coast or adelaide

 

[Wosh]

Eagles of course!

 

[Wosh]

 

[Kapow!!!]

Likely Candidates

Carlton (Would actually be surprised if they didn't make the 4, that list is stacked)
<daylight>
Port

Possibles

Saints
Suns

Smokies at good odds worth a crack at

Eagles
Crows

 

[HBFlanker]

Likely Candidates

Carlton (Would actually be surprised if they didn't make the 4, that list is stacked)
<daylight>
Port

Possibles

Saints
Suns

Smokies at good odds worth a crack at

Eagles
Crows

Saints???!!!!

Surely a joke.

Ive got them bottom 4.

 

[Square Peg]

None

 

[KermitJagger]

If it's not Carlton they need to dissolve.

 

[kaiserchief13]

None is due....so I'll go with none

 

[Coolangatta]

West Coast. Covid years a write off. Experienced enough to do a Collingwood if they can find a couple of kids

New strength and conditioning coach, fittest they've been in 5 years apparently. If they still had Kennedy for one last season I'd say they'd be a finals threat, but don't see them making it. Interesting pick, though.

 

[jdstorm]

You’d surely have to back Port to do it. Had a good young team 2 years ago and added JHF.

Smokey would be
GWS with a new coach, The No1 pick in the draft and a fair bit of talent across all lines

Then again their new Coach is planning on playing one of the best CHBs in the comp as a forward so your probably better setting your money on fire

 

[Altum Volantes]

Port to jump up to a plucky 4th, give Ken 2-3 more years and then finish 13th in 2024.

 

[Lia]

The obvious candidates are Carlton and Port. I’d be surprised if it were us though we should be much better. Gold Coast or St Kilda could pull a decent season out too I guess. Adelaide are probably a better bet for 2024 or 2025.