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Prediction Ladder Prediction 2022

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Mick McGuane has predicted us finishing 14th, I think he will most probably be around the mark.

I'd be willing to bet that Kane Cornes will be the only one in the media predicting us to finish bottom.

I can't wait to laugh at his expense again this year.
 
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Mick McGuane has predicted us finishing 14th, I think he will most probably be around the mark.

I'd be willing to bet that Kane Cornes will be the only one in the media predicting us to finish bottom.

I can't wait to laugh at his expense again this year.

If we finish 14th and miss the finals for a 5th consecutive year - I don't think we can laugh at anyone.
 
We'd all love that but, realistically, we're a couple of years off.
Not a fan of this type of thinking

Why cant we? I understand we all want to see linear progression - but players churn in and out of the side and of form.

I understand there is a threshold some players need to reach but nothing held us back in 97/98

A great NFL podcast called Between the Sticks looks at how Bengals and Rams built their teams to play off in this years Superbowl

Bengals were the worst team 2 years ago - they got lucky with their QB - but mostly drafted experienced players in positions they felt weak and drafted prospects

Rams on the other hand got an ok QB and sold their first 2 rounds of draft picks to bring in gun players

One of these teams won it

I think we shoot for the stars
 

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Not a fan of this type of thinking

Why cant we? I understand we all want to see linear progression - but players churn in and out of the side and of form.

I understand there is a threshold some players need to reach but nothing held us back in 97/98

A great NFL podcast called Between the Sticks looks at how Bengals and Rams built their teams to play off in this years Superbowl

Bengals were the worst team 2 years ago - they got lucky with their QB - but mostly drafted experienced players in positions they felt weak and drafted prospects

Rams on the other hand got an ok QB and sold their first 2 rounds of draft picks to bring in gun players

One of these teams won it

I think we shoot for the stars

In no way should roster construction in the NFL ever be compared to AFL roster construction.
 

Its impressive. Especially if you go back even further:

2010 - 2nd
2009 - 2nd
2008 -1st
2007 -1st
2006 -10th
2005 - 6th
2004 - 4th

Over the past 18 seasons they have 3 flags, 1 grand final loss and have missed the finals twice. That is astounding in a league that is about equalization.

But with a list that has 8 best 22 players that are 31 or older. Another 6 best 22 that are 31 and older. The wheels will eventually fall off pretty quick. Is that this year - Maybe? Next year - Maybe? But it is coming.

On a side note - I will also be putting some hard earned on Essendon to win round 1. Essendon paying $2.68 at the MCG. Geelong has lost round 1 the last 2 years and I am expecting another sluggish start with an old list and playing deep into September again.
 
Melbourne
Brisbane
Bulldogs
St Kilda
Sydney
Port Adelaide
Geelong
Essendon

GWS
Fremantle
Richmond
Adelaide
Carlton
Gold Coast
North Melbourne
West Coast
Collingwood
Hawthorn

Top 7 should be close - Saints/Port only question

Next 4 are contenders for 8th

Bottom 7 have 5040 different finish positions available and it will come down to the last 3 games to determine what the final order is

I think Adelaide could win anywhere from 5 to 10 games - hopefully there is upward improvement

Port are a team I cant accurately predict. I think they could be on the edge of a cliff. If Butters, Rozee , Duursma and other draftees can take over the team then a top 5 finish is in reach. If the kids struggle then they could plummet outside the 8
Moving Eagles down
 
Making a few tweaks after pre-season and various bits of news

1. Melbourne
2. Brisbane
3. GWS
4. Western Bulldogs
5. Port Adelaide
6. Essendon
7. Richmond
8. Geelong

9. St Kilda
10. Carlton
11. Sydney
12. Fremantle
13. Collingwood
14. West Coast
15. North Melbourne
16. Adelaide
17. Gold Coast
18. Hawthorn
 
Lots of predictions coming in with us finishing bottom now.

Still working out how there's gonna be a 4 game swing between us and North Melbourne and I think a few are overestimating what Sam Mitchell will be able to accomplish in his first year.
 

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Lots of predictions coming in with us finishing bottom now.

Still working out how there's gonna be a 4 game swing between us and North Melbourne and I think a few are overestimating what Sam Mitchell will be able to accomplish in his first year.
2 reasons Himmelferg and Fogarty, our KPF stocks are a bigger worry than our midfield when it comes to being competitive especially with no Walker the first 4 weeks and into the future. If both don't stand up this season we're in for a power of hurt.
 
Lots of predictions coming in with us finishing bottom now.

Still working out how there's gonna be a 4 game swing between us and North Melbourne and I think a few are overestimating what Sam Mitchell will be able to accomplish in his first year.
At AFL "experts" are predicting the same. I hope we prove them wrong. Nicks will be walking on eggshells if that is the case.

 
Barrett's ladder prediction
1. Brisbane
2. Geelong
3. Melbourne
4. Port Adelaide
5. Richmond
6. Sydney
7. Carlton
8. Western Bulldogs

9. GWS
10. Fremantle
11. Essendon
12. Collingwood
13. Hawthorn
14. St Kilda
15. West Coast
16. Gold Coast
17. Adelaide
18. North Melbourne
 
Beveridge's ladder prediction

1. Melbourne
2. Brisbane
3. Western Bulldogs
4. Richmond
5. Port Adelaide
6. Sydney
7. Geelong
8. Carlton

9. Fremantle
10. Essendon
11. Greater Western Sydney
12. St Kilda
13. Gold Coast
14. Collingwood
15. North Melbourne
16. Adelaide
17. West Coast
18. Hawthorn
 
Black's ladder prediction

1. Western Bulldogs
2. Melbourne
3. Port Adelaide
4. Brisbane
5. Sydney
6. Geelong
7. Richmond
8. Greater Western Sydney

9. Essendon
10. Fremantle
11. West Coast
12. St Kilda
13. North Melbourne
14. Carlton
15. Collingwood
16. Adelaide
17. Gold Coast
18. Hawthorn
 
Edwards' ladder prediction

1. Brisbane
2. Melbourne
3. Port Adelaide
4. Western Bulldogs
5. Geelong
6. Richmond
7. Sydney
8. Carlton

9. Essendon
10. Gold Coast
11. Fremantle
12. Greater Western Sydney
13. St Kilda
14. West Coast
15. Adelaide
16. Collingwood
17. North Melbourne
18. Hawthorn
 

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Gabelich's ladder prediction

1. Brisbane
2. Melbourne
3. Richmond
4. Geelong
5. Western Bulldogs
6. Port Adelaide
7. Greater Western Sydney
8. Essendon

9. Carlton
10. Sydney
11. Fremantle
12. St Kilda
13. Gold Coast
14. West Coast
15. Collingwood
16. Hawthorn
17. Adelaide
18. North Melbourne
 
Olle's ladder prediction

1. Melbourne
2. Western Bulldogs
3. Brisbane
4. Richmond
5. Port Adelaide
6. Sydney
7. Geelong
8. Fremantle

9. Greater Western Sydney
10. Essendon
11. Carlton
12. St Kilda
13. West Coast
14. Gold Coast
15. North Melbourne
16. Collingwood
17. Hawthorn
18. Adelaide
 
1. Melbourne
2. Brisbane
3. Western Bulldogs
4. Port Adelaide
5. Greater Western Sydney
6. Richmond
7. Fremantle
8. Geelong

9. Sydney
10. Essendon
11. West Coast
12. Carlton
13. St Kilda
14. Collingwood
15. Adelaide
16. North Melbourne
17. Hawthorn
18. Gold Coast
 
Twomey's ladder prediction

1. Melbourne
2. Port Adelaide
3. Western Bulldogs
4. Richmond
5. Brisbane
6. Carlton
7. Greater Western Sydney
8. Fremantle

9. Sydney
10. Essendon
11. Geelong
12. Gold Coast
13. St Kilda
14. Collingwood
15. West Coast
16. Adelaide
17. North Melbourne
18. Hawthorn
 
Whiting's ladder prediction

1. Brisbane
2. Melbourne
3. Western Bulldogs
4. Sydney
5. Richmond
6. Port Adelaide
7. Carlton
8. Greater Western Sydney

9. Geelong
10. Gold Coast
11. St Kilda
12. Essendon
13. Fremantle
14. Collingwood
15. West Coast
16. North Melbourne
17. Adelaide
18. Hawthorn

https://fantasy.afl.com.au/
 
Final prediction:

1. Brisbane - No obvious weaknesses and in the right age profile. I think this is the year they'll finally put it together.
2. Melbourne - Will be right up there again. Like Brisbane, no weaknesses and their list is in the ideal age bracket.
3. Western Bulldogs - History suggests that teams who get smashed in grand finals drop off the following year. The Bulldogs will buck that trend, there's too much talent in the side, especially in the midfield. Their defence is still a bit suspect but I'll predict they'll be around the mark again.
4. GWS - They have the talent, a better coach would have them contenders.
5. Geelong - Home ground advantage and handy senior contributions will still see them play finals but this list has missed their chance of a flag. This year will be when they start to drop off.
6. Richmond - Still enough quality in the side to return to the finals but their days as a powerhouse are over. For now.
7. Port Adelaide - Like Geelong, they've gone as far as they will go. They'll scrape into the finals but I'm expecting a decline.
8. Carlton - Starting to remind me of them in 2009-11 where they had a star-studded top 5 but lacked depth to ever take the next step. McKay, Weitering, Walsh, Cerra and a fit Cripps is a strong spine to build around to sneak them into the 8.

9. Sydney - I feel it'll be a case of taking one step back before taking two steps forward. Top 4 in 2023 but will be inconsistent while their young core takes another year. Progression isn't always linear.
10. Essendon - Pretty much the same as the Swans.
11. St Kilda - The more I look at them, the less I'm impressed. Too many C graders going around.
12. Fremantle - I just don't rate them. There's still significant holes in their team, especially up forward, and they need to find a way to become less reliant on a 37 year old Mundy.
13. North Melbourne - They've drafted well and are heading in the right direction. 13th is very optimistic but the 13th-18th bracket is tough to pick. Anyone could finish anywhere.
14. West Coast - Ageing list with a number of injury concerns already. They'll win enough games at home to avoid bombing entirely but the cliff has arrived.
15. Hawthorn - They have a good attack from wing and HB with the likes of Jiath, Day and Scrimshaw and played well overall in the back-end of last season with wins over quality opponents. The big question mark is S. Mitchell.
16. Adelaide - Most inexperienced side in the comp and some concerns over our midfield. I don't think we'll finish last but I'm predicting a bit of stagnation this season. Happy to be proven wrong.
17. Collingwood - They have a sturdy enough defence to avoid smashings most weeks, but an impotent forward line, weak midfield and an overall inexperienced squad means they'll struggle to kick winning scores.
18. Gold Coast - I don't read anything into pre-season. They'll struggle big time with Clarkson primed to take over in 2023.
 
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