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Analysis Pick 1: Jason Horne-Francis vs rest of the field

Who would you select with #1?

  • Horne-Francis

    Votes: 227 92.7%
  • Callaghan

    Votes: 13 5.3%
  • Other (please specify)

    Votes: 5 2.0%

  • Total voters
    245

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How many holes do we have on our list now?

- Another goal kicking mid (can never have enough)
- A key defender
- A running half back
- Small forward
- *potentially another key forward if our current keys don’t work out

We should be able to tick off 2-3 of those with the picks we already have this year.

By far the hardest one on that list to tick off is the goal kicking mid.

Quality over quantity 100%. We aren’t starting from scratch.
- Another goal kicking mid (can never have enough) - NO HOLE - WE HAVE TT and JHF as goal kicking mids - they need to be developed
- A key defender - YES
- A running half back - YES
- Small forward - NICE TO HAVE - NOT ESSENTIAL
- *potentially another key forward if our current keys don’t work out - NO HOLE - WE HAVE LARKEY, CHOM, EDWARDS AND CCJ

Atm the holes are purely in the back half and that is where we need to concentrate recruitment this year and next.

Next year we will also need to pick up a ruck - the quality of which will depend upon how CCJ develops - I suspect we will need to invest in a legitimate first ruck via FA/trade.
 
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Cornes and Lloyd on trade radio , North should have taken Adelaide’s offer.
Lloyd went through a list of number 1 and 4 picks over the previous years and cornes bought up the points for the picks on offer and that ‘he might want to go home in 6 years’.
No mention on how good JHF could be and previous number 1 means nothing for this year.
Get ready for the shit show when Jason has a average game.
 

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Cornes and Lloyd on trade radio , North should have taken Adelaide’s offer.
Lloyd went through a list of number 1 and 4 picks over the previous years and cornes bought up the points for the picks on offer and that ‘he might want to go home in 6 years’.
No mention on how good JHF could be and previous number 1 means nothing for this year.
Get ready for the sh*t show when Jason has a average game.


Did they add " JHF won't contribute anything to Norths midfield of Simpkin, LDU, Thomas, Phillips, Cunnington & Powell to make it any better "?
 
Cornes and Lloyd on trade radio , North should have taken Adelaide’s offer.
Lloyd went through a list of number 1 and 4 picks over the previous years and cornes bought up the points for the picks on offer and that ‘he might want to go home in 6 years’.
No mention on how good JHF could be and previous number 1 means nothing for this year.
Get ready for the sh*t show when Jason has a average game.

They might want to look at pick 6 instead, which is what it will be and also the red headed step child of top ten picks.
 
Cornes and Lloyd on trade radio , North should have taken Adelaide’s offer.
Lloyd went through a list of number 1 and 4 picks over the previous years and cornes bought up the points for the picks on offer and that ‘he might want to go home in 6 years’.
No mention on how good JHF could be and previous number 1 means nothing for this year.
Get ready for the sh*t show when Jason has a average game.
10 mins later Kane is challenging Adelaide to think outside the square and stop taking home grown kids.. FMD
 
Cornes and Lloyd on trade radio , North should have taken Adelaide’s offer.
Lloyd went through a list of number 1 and 4 picks over the previous years and cornes bought up the points for the picks on offer and that ‘he might want to go home in 6 years’.
No mention on how good JHF could be and previous number 1 means nothing for this year.
Get ready for the sh*t show when Jason has a average game.
Did they consider the fact that if he goes home in 6 years he will likely be worth an actual Godfather trade, not pick 6 and avyet to be determined future?

**** me, people are stupid. Do they actually look at the offer properly?

Sent from my SM-A908B using Tapatalk
 
Because we've never had it I have never really paid attention, are plays for pick 1 normal?

Probably, we just never hear about it. It's a seriously slow moving trade period and the names being thrown up are not exactly great for ratings (Bobby Hill ffs).

I'd suggest that trade radio needed something to talk about for a few days and hence why it's getting so much air play. I would suggest that offers like Adelaide's has received alot of attention because it's 'three first rounders', but when you boil it down to pick 6 2021, pick 4-8 and pick 14-18 2022 it doesn't sound as sexy.
 

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As long as my calculations are correct, Yes.

A bid at pick 2 for Daicos would take out picks 27,36,43,46,48 and creates a new pick at pick 55 with the left over points
A bid at pick 3 - Picks used 27,36,43,46 and creates pick 62 with the leftover
A bid at pick 4 - picks used 27,36,43,46 and creates pick 49 with the leftover

Re Darcy,
A bid at 4, would take out picks 23,44,45, 52 - creates pick 60 with the leftover
A bid at 5 - would take out picks 23,44,45 - creates pick 72
A bid at 6 - woult take out picks 23,44,45 - creates pick 62
I hope we don't bid on either Daicos or Darcey.

Remove all risk, take the #1 and move on.
 
Good.

From what I have read about this kid he gives off a fiercely loyal vibe.

Reject offers, pick him number 1.
He certainly does! It would take a monumental disaster at NMFC to lose him.. He has stated he is excited by our young developing list. You dont say shit like that if you have underlying intentions to “go home” just silly and expect NMFC to be competing for the top 4 in 2/3 years why would you leave if you can taste success and glory? Its a ridiculous conversation
 
I can't see us bidding after those calculations. Just have to expect those bids to come in the top 6.
So a bid on Daicos in the top four and Darcy in the top six mean we end up with 39 and 40 instead of 42 and 47? And our original 40 goes back to 37 for the tigers?

If that's right the CCJ trade looks alot better all of a sudden.
 

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Analysis Pick 1: Jason Horne-Francis vs rest of the field

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