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US Open 2010

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Men’s Preview:

It’s US Open time as the years final Slam gets underway tonight in New York. Juan Martin Del Potro is the defending champion but unfortunately due to injury will not be defending his title. Roger Federer is once again favourite to claim success which would mark his 6th US Open and 17th Slam overall. This year we’ve seen the dominance of Nadal and Federer continue and should one of them win it’ll be the third time in the past five years in which they have together swept the Slams.

Rafaal Nadal is the tournament’s top seed and will be looking to claim the lone major which has eluded him throughout his career. He came into the hard court swing full of confidence but losses to Murray in Toronto and Baghdatis in Cincinnati must have been of some concern. Often overlooked is the fact that he’s come close the past two years with consecutive SF appearances but each time ran into a hot player. He couldn’t have asked for a better draw, Gabashvili can be dangerous but not likely to really threaten; in the second it’s Istomin who is coming off a R/U showing in New Haven while in the third it’ll most likely be Kohlschreiber or Gilles Simon. He should have a free passage through to the Quarters as the bracket immediately below is no cause for concern. His QF clash will either be against Gulbis, Nalbandian, Ferrer or Verdasco. Gulbis is always a threat but I’m unsure whether he’s got the consistency to reach the final 8, Ferrer is a former SF’ist here so must be a chance while Verdasco is terribly out of form. On this group Nalbandian is the one who has the form but I’ll pick Ferrer to set up a clash with Rafa. While not his usual dominant self on these courts, Nadal has still proven to be very difficult to beat. On their day Gulbis and Verdasco could challenge but I seriously question whether they’ve got it in them to come through so many tough matches. Nadal to set up a SF clash with Murray.

Roger Federer is a six time champion at NY and narrowly missed number 6 last year. After doubts were creeping in following disappointing showings in Paris and London he responded with a R/U performance in Toronto and a win in Cincinnati. It only took a red hot Del Potro to stop him in 2009 and with the Argentine missing and no one outside of Murray really stepping up in the hard court swing to this point; I have a tough time seeing anyone beating him. Dabul first, Berrer or Beck to follow, Hewitt in the third, a very easy start for Federer. In the fourth it should be either Melzer or JCF with neither bringing strong HC form into the event. It’s the Quarters where he should face his first legitimate test in Soderling who knocked him off at the French and tested him in last year’s US Open. If he survives this it should all but cement his spot in the final as potential SF opponents Djokovic and Roddick both have their own issues which should prevent them from seriously challenging.

Andy Murray finally broke through for his first title in 2010 with a strong week in Toronto where he defeated Nadal and Federer in back to back matches. Cincinnati wasn’t as kind but he’ll take enough confidence into this tournament to believe he’s a big chance for his maiden GS title. He’s always maintained that he feels the US Open is his best chance at winning a Slam and now appears as good a time as any. He’s got two easy matches to kick off his campaign with a possible match-up with Wawrinka in the third. American Sam Querrey will be desperate to at the very least match his 3R showing from a year ago and if he plays to his potential he could set up a nice rematch of the Wimbledon 4R, with this time Sam receiving the parochial support. Murray’s class should see him through to set up an outstanding QF clash against Tomas Berdych. I try to avoid being sucked into the Murray hype but it was hard not to be impressed in Toronto. His serving seemed to have extra bite, he played attacking tennis when it was required, and I see him beating Nadal to once again give himself a chance for a first GS.

Novak Djokovic’s 20-5 W/L ratio at the US Open is actually his best at all the Slams and the 3rd seed and former finalist seems to have flown under the radar. All the talk, and rightfully so, is focussing on the chances of Nadal, Federer and Murray and barely a word is reserved for Novak. He’s proven that he performs his best when he’s the underdog and perhaps this tournament will be another example. There’s talk about his tough draw, but I don’t see it as such a difficult one. Countryman Troicki first, probably Petzschner second with the unthreatening Monaco his seeded 3R opponent. In the fourth he’ll likely face one of the two recent bolters in Fish or Baghdatis but if that goes five as you’d expect, will they have in them to back it up and beat Djokovic? Novak’s lead-in form was good, not great, and with his service yips and occasional struggle with the heat an early exit is somewhat conceivable, but I think the earliest he falls is in the Quarters to Roddick.

Andy Roddick’s had his recent struggles with glandular fever and a lack of quality results, but you get the feeling if he’s ever going to claim another major it could well the Cinderella story in New York. He was a SF’ist in Cincinnati and with only 3R points to defend; he’s likely to be viewing this is a real opportunity to start to claw his way back up the rankings. He opens on Arthur Ashe against Robert which will be a pushing nightmare, followed by Tipsarevic or Rochus, both of which can be tricky but I can’t see an upset. Gael Monfils is the seed in his bracket, a match you wouldn’t want to be stuck at if given a choice. In all likelihood I see Roddick setting up a 4R clash with Davydenko and surprisingly they’ve only met 3 times, but if Roddick’s got this far I’d back him to beat the Russian. Without any real evidence supporting it, I’ve got this gut instinct that Roddick will set up another clash with Federer in the Semi’s.

Other challengers include Berdych and Soderling; Marin Cilic has the draw to at least mount a respectable run, and while his form has been impressive, to me Nalbandian is a real chance of flaming out early. Berdych has a sound draw and should meet Murray in the Quarters and if Murray isn’t prepared to attack he could find himself in a spot of bother. Soderling too has a good draw, although de Bakker continues to improve and a 3R match-up could prove interesting. A few of the more intriguing first round matches are Davydenko/Russell, Gulbis/Chardy and Youzhny/Golubev.

Prediction: Federer def. Murray

For me the winner is only going to come from one of two men; Federer or Murray. I just didn’t see anything in Nadal’s pre-tournament form to suggest his US Open fortunes will change in 2010, and although posting solid results Djokovic seems to be getting further away from a second Slam as each one passes. Heavy hitters claimed Federer at the previous two Slams but for me his record at the US Open is just too good to ignore and any doubt about where his game was at was removed with strong showings at the MS events. I think Murray will again reach the final and should he do so surely he can’t again fall meekly? Everyone’s saying this one is wide open and the winner could come from anywhere, I’d like to see a hectic Slam with surprise finalists but I can’t. Nadal/Murray and Federer/Roddick Semi's.
 
Women's Preview:

Unlike the men’s field, this is what I genuinely consider to be a wide open field. With Serena Williams and Henin both missing through injury, defending champion Kim Clijsters returns as the favourite while Sharapova, #1 seed Carolina Wozniacki and Azarenka are a few of the chances to win.

Carolina Wozniacki confirmed her readiness to for the US Open when she won the lead-up event in New Haven. She’s undoubtedly improved this year and given she made her first real breakthrough at this event 12 months ago; she’s got to be considered one of the main challengers. The main thing standing in way, however, is a fourth round encounter with the ever improving Maria Sharapova. Maria is coming off two straight trips to the final, one in LA and the other in Cincinnati, and a worrying stat is the way in which Caroline has lost to the big hitters in Slams this year. She won only 7 games against Li at the AO, and only 2 games against Kvitova at Wimbledon. I see Maria as having too much power for Wozniacki to handle, and a 4R loss.

Azarenka’s odds have fallen drastically over the past month after the withdrawal of Williams and the way in which she performed in LA and Montreal. This is her favourite surface and she appears to be hitting top form after an awful mid season slump and on her day she can beat anyone, and it’s what always makes her a threat for the Slams. I like her draw a lot, Pavlyuchenkova is the toughest she’ll counter in the first three rounds, in the 4th it could be anyone from a section that has no real standouts, perhaps Bondarenko. You’d imagine her QF clash will either be Williams, Peer or Pennetta, I like the latter's chances because of her recent form. Venus is a shadow of her former self and hasn’t played a single match since Wimbledon, and even then she looked underwhelming. All signs point to an Azarenka breakthrough similar to Wozniacki the previous year.

Kim Clijsters is the defending champion and having narrowly won the title in Cincinnati she’s well prepared and confident to do the same in 2010. She’s been disappointing at the Slams this year, but NY is where the greatest accomplishments of her career have occurred, and she too has a good draw. Possibly Kvitova in the 3rd round although she can’t seem to win a match, and I’ll say Dementieva will be her QF opponent. Her 28-6 W/L ratio for 2010 is one of the best on tour underlining the fact that when she plays, she generally goes very deep, just as she will again here.

4th seed Jankovic has an incredibly easy draw as she finds herself in the bottom section of the top half which is the softest section. It’s certainly got the potential to contain a surprise SF’ist. Jankovic’s lead-in form has been absolutely woeful losing to Amanmuradova, Benesova and Kleybanova so maybe not even an easy draw will assist her. Wickmayer put herself on the map by reaching the Semi’s last year and Znonareva and Kanepi both had breakthroughs at Wimbledon. Petrova is so hot and cold, Radwanska is consistent but if Petrova is hot she’ll lose, flip the coin for who comes out of this section. Whoever does, they should provide easy pickings for Sharapova.

I’d be nice to see Ivanovic go on a run here, just as it’d be nice to see Lisicki with a couple of strong matches as she recovers from injury. Even at her best Lisicki is inconsistent but with that serve and forehand, in time she could even be the best of the current youngsters. Melanie Oudin faces an incredibly tough task of matching last year’s heroics, Cirstea is now unseeded and hoping to get her game back on track, and one particular section which contains Shvedova, Chakvetadze, Cibulkova, Bondarenko, Li and U.Radwanska is loaded with some fascinating stories to be played out.

Prediction: Sharapova def. Clijsters

I think the QF match-ups will be Sharapova/Kuznetsova, Jankovic/Radwanska, Azarenka/Pennetta and Dementieva/Clijsters, relatively by the book, but it should set up an interesting last week. Last year was one of the most interesting and dramatic in recent Slam history but this year it’d be nice to see all the big names survive. Sharapova has one last chance at keeping her every second year Slam streak going with titles in 04, 06, 08 and I think she will. I’ve actually got a little $ riding on Azarenka and I believe that she can win, but whether she can be on top of her game for 7 straight matches remains to be seen. For mine it’ll be a rematch of the Cincinnati final and hopefully just as close.
 
Great previews Drummond.

I think it'll be a Fed/Murray as well but this time I think Murray will come away with the win.
He's gonna have to do it the hard way though - Berdych in the Quarters will be tough of course, but if he gets past that I think the confidence you mentioned that he gained in the leadups (particularly against Nadal & Federer) will help him get the trophy.

So yeah, basically I've been sucked into the Murray hype that you avoided.

As for the women's, it's another case of "Who the hell knows?" Picking Sharapova is a big call. Azarenka is the popular smoky but I think Pennetta could be the surprise semi-finalist.

The only prediction I'll make on the women's side is that the Clijsters/Dementieva QF will be a tight 3-setter with Elena holding a match-point only to double fault and go on to lose the match.
 
Cheers Drummond :thumbsu:

I ended up getting Federer defeating Nalbandian in the final as a bit of an upset to beat Nadal and than Murray, probably not going to happen but he's a dark horse pick, with being Verdasco's section for the 3rd round, he should get past that, Verdasco has been falling out off orm recently. Federer's section is pretty simple tot he quarters, Hewitt is actually the only one who can give him any trouble (as far as taking a set possibly) given Melzer is in poor form but Federer and Soderling should be set for their QF matchup with Soderling's draw pretty simple as well.

Nadal has a reasonably tough draw, Istomin in the 2nd might actually give him some trouble with his shot making, Kohli in the 3rd and Stakhovsky in the 4th maybe. matches he should be winning but form needs to be reasonable. Djokovic has got a reasonably tough draw for once, Petzschner is the tough one in the 2nd, gets past that then 3rd round will be no troubles but a 4th round against an in-form Baghdatis or Fish, I have a feeling Fish is primed for this US Open and will cause an upset by making teh semis betaing Djoko and Roddick. Murray's first two rounds are easy but after that Wawrinka, Querrey etc. will be tough opponents.

As far as the Australians:
Hewitt (32) vs. Mathieu - 4th on Louis Armstrong tomorrow, Lleyton has a 3-0 H2H record against him so on paper it looks to be Lleyton a strong favourite but Mathieu has been in solid form of late. If Hewitt can play some good tennis he should be abel to eventually ware him down, win that in 4, 2nd round should be simple enough and then Federer in the 3rd yet again he will fall to Federer

Luczak vs. Stakhovsky - Interesting that Pete took him to a 3rd set TB in New Haven last week before Stak went all the way. Hopefully he is feeling the affects of a long week but confidence and form suggest that Pete will struggle to get this one.

Ball vs. Raonic - Who knows with Ball, he plays good one week, terrible the next eight, honestly expecting Raonic to come out fo qualies and beat him quite comforably.

With the women, Azarenka beating Wozinacki in the final. Wozinacki is arguably the hottest player coming into New York although she has played a lot of matches I see her with her comfortable draw in the first week, making another final. It's time for Azarenka to step up, as much as I am not a fan of her, she has huge game and can do it here. Australians;

(5) Stosur vs. Vesnina - Hands up here who have a horrible feeling about this one, she's comign into her with the arm injury and getting spanked by petrova, not good sign at all and she eneds to eb immediately on ehr game againsta player like Vesnina. I struggle to see her making the 2nd week to be honest, Rodinova in the 2nd will be tough, so will Kleybanova, and it could be Dementieva/Hantuchova in the 4th. Hopefully Sam's ready to play otherwise that no.5 seed will be for nothing.

Groth vs. Sharapova - Arguably the pick of one of the 1st round matches, Groth ahsn't played too much coming into here but she has had impressive results at RG and Wimby making the 4th round in both. Sharapova is hitting good form too after making the final in Cincy, Maria will win if she is playing well and serve working but this should be a big hitting fair that will at elast be tight.

Rodionova vs. Jovanovski - Up and comign Serbian junior, should be able to defeat her and hopefully a 2nd round matchup with Stsour, we'll shall see.

Molik vs. Lucic - Doesn't matter who Molik was playing, she would lose to them anyway....

Ferguson vs. Camerin - Had a bit of a break after Wimbledon, ahsn't played much, not good results againsta player who has won 3 matches in a row, winnable for Soph but I would consider Camerin the favourite. Possible match with Schiavone here.

Peers vs. Wozinak - As I said before just a terrific performance to qualify, anything else is a bonus, Wozinak is not in good form, maybe Sal will be able to grind her down but this expreience will most likely be too much.
 

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Great previews Drummond.

I think it'll be a Fed/Murray as well but this time I think Murray will come away with the win.
He's gonna have to do it the hard way though - Berdych in the Quarters will be tough of course, but if he gets past that I think the confidence you mentioned that he gained in the leadups (particularly against Nadal & Federer) will help him get the trophy.

So yeah, basically I've been sucked into the Murray hype that you avoided.

As for the women's, it's another case of "Who the hell knows?" Picking Sharapova is a big call. Azarenka is the popular smoky but I think Pennetta could be the surprise semi-finalist.

The only prediction I'll make on the women's side is that the Clijsters/Dementieva QF will be a tight 3-setter with Elena holding a match-point only to double fault and go on to lose the match.
Probably a fair call. :D

Cheers Drummond :thumbsu:

I ended up getting Federer defeating Nalbandian in the final as a bit of an upset to beat Nadal and than Murray, probably not going to happen but he's a dark horse pick, with being Verdasco's section for the 3rd round, he should get past that, Verdasco has been falling out off orm recently. Federer's section is pretty simple tot he quarters, Hewitt is actually the only one who can give him any trouble (as far as taking a set possibly) given Melzer is in poor form but Federer and Soderling should be set for their QF matchup with Soderling's draw pretty simple as well.

Nadal has a reasonably tough draw, Istomin in the 2nd might actually give him some trouble with his shot making, Kohli in the 3rd and Stakhovsky in the 4th maybe. matches he should be winning but form needs to be reasonable. Djokovic has got a reasonably tough draw for once, Petzschner is the tough one in the 2nd, gets past that then 3rd round will be no troubles but a 4th round against an in-form Baghdatis or Fish, I have a feeling Fish is primed for this US Open and will cause an upset by making teh semis betaing Djoko and Roddick. Murray's first two rounds are easy but after that Wawrinka, Querrey etc. will be tough opponents..
I've just got this feeling Nalbandian will either go really early or really deep, he's hard to predict. If he did reach the final by beating Rafa and Murray, unfortunately he'd have nothing left to beat Federer which is my concern.

As far as the Australians:
Hewitt (32) vs. Mathieu - 4th on Louis Armstrong tomorrow, Lleyton has a 3-0 H2H record against him so on paper it looks to be Lleyton a strong favourite but Mathieu has been in solid form of late. If Hewitt can play some good tennis he should be abel to eventually ware him down, win that in 4, 2nd round should be simple enough and then Federer in the 3rd yet again he will fall to Federer.
I think this match will go similar to that of Hewitt's 1R match at Wimby. Lleyton in 4.

Luczak vs. Stakhovsky - Interesting that Pete took him to a 3rd set TB in New Haven last week before Stak went all the way. Hopefully he is feeling the affects of a long week but confidence and form suggest that Pete will struggle to get this one.

Ball vs. Raonic - Who knows with Ball, he plays good one week, terrible the next eight, honestly expecting Raonic to come out fo qualies and beat him quite comforably.
Loved it. :D

Stakhovsky impresses me everytime I see him, I know he doesn't have huge power but to me he's someone who should be ranked a little higher than he is. Perhaps he's a bit of a leightweight but he's got a nice all court game.

With the women, Azarenka beating Wozinacki in the final. Wozinacki is arguably the hottest player coming into New York although she has played a lot of matches I see her with her comfortable draw in the first week, making another final. It's time for Azarenka to step up, as much as I am not a fan of her, she has huge game and can do it here. Australians;

(5) Stosur vs. Vesnina - Hands up here who have a horrible feeling about this one, she's comign into her with the arm injury and getting spanked by petrova, not good sign at all and she eneds to eb immediately on ehr game againsta player like Vesnina. I struggle to see her making the 2nd week to be honest, Rodinova in the 2nd will be tough, so will Kleybanova, and it could be Dementieva/Hantuchova in the 4th. Hopefully Sam's ready to play otherwise that no.5 seed will be for nothing..
I do. I'm really worried about this one. Vesnina is hit or miss but when she's on she can beat almost anyone. For the #5 seed she got a pretty ordinary draw.

An Azarenka/Wozinacki final would be amazing! These two players should form a good rivalry over the next 5-10 years, a US Open final would be a nice start.

Groth vs. Sharapova - Arguably the pick of one of the 1st round matches, Groth ahsn't played too much coming into here but she has had impressive results at RG and Wimby making the 4th round in both. Sharapova is hitting good form too after making the final in Cincy, Maria will win if she is playing well and serve working but this should be a big hitting fair that will at elast be tight.
This should be a great match, at least we know it'll definitely be televised, hoping Jarmila can pull off a massive upset and make me look like a fool in doing so.
 
Djokovic has made the final in 07 then semi's in 08/09. I give him a shot at making it to the final again before getting beat by murray. That being said how can you ever know what novak is going to do.

Interested to see which cilic turns up tonight...if its the one we have seen for the last few months marchenko is actually half a chance of knocking him off.
 
Sally Pears 19 year old Aussie beat Wozniak who is ranked 53 having reached 21 last year, good stuff. Clijsters up next though.
 
Sally Pears 19 year old Aussie beat Wozniak who is ranked 53 having reached 21 last year, good stuff. Clijsters up next though.

Just woke up and saw the result not only did she beat her...she samashed her 6-0 6-1:D. Very happy about that result. Fergurson lost though 6-0 6-4. Roddick looking very good early although this Robert guy is rubbish.
 
Surely something had to be up with Wozinak, great result for Sally, good payday for her and probably a top 150 ranking. Hope she enjoy the shwocourt match against Clijsters.

Hantuchova just beat Safina 6-3, 6-4
 

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Ball ended up winning in 4. Good result.

Sam has lost the first set 6-3, utterly lost out there, her footwork is so poor and is scared of hitting a backhand.
 
Ball ended up winning in 4. Good result.

Sam has lost the first set 6-3, utterly lost out there, her footwork is so poor and is scared of hitting a backhand.

Yep she is running around every ball on the backhand side to hit a forehand and the courts are playing fast so she has no time to do it and she is comng unstuck.
 
3-6, 7-6, 6-1. Good performance in the 3rd from Sam to finish it off but Vesnina went completely off her game made it pretty easy for Sam. Hopefully Sam can improve with every match, Rodinova will again be tough.

Now for Lleyton.
 

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Yep, Hewitt losing automatically = due to some sort of injury

Watching the match at all? You would see how silly that statement is if you actually turned the tv on.
 
The crowd are really trying to get behind Hewitt. Come on keep going!!!

Didn't they not like him all those years ago?

Mathieu/Hewitt at deuce in this game.

Sounds like Stosur did ok to win, Vesnina is a quality opponent. I'm annoyed she has to play Rodionova in rnd 2 though, not fair, we finally have a couple of aussies that can win a few GS matches and they play each other in rnd 2.
 

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