Prediction How will we go over the next 3-4 years?

[Carmo]

I have our full record at Adelaide Oval, and it's pretty good:


We've won 13 of our last 15 games at home, and our total win 'percentage' at Adelaide Oval is 67% (25 out of 37) - in other words, more than two-thirds of all our games at Adelaide Oval.

Great post. I had no idea our record was so good. If it were me I'd be only looking at our 2015 and 2016 seasons as being representitive of our likely performance in the next year or two. 2014 was under Sando and i believe he had us underperforming, plus our game style was different to the current attacking one that it is.

Excluding 2014 and finals we're like 21 from 24. Thats around 90% winning ratio!!

EDIT oops, miscount, 19 from 24, so 75%.

 

[Rotayjay]

Great post. I had no idea our record was so good. If it were me I'd be only looking at our 2015 and 2016 seasons as being representitive of our likely performance in the next year or two. 2014 was under Sando and i believe he had us underperforming, plus our game style was different to the current attacking one that it is.

Excluding 2014 and finals we're like 21 from 24. Thats around 90% winning ratio!!

EDIT oops, miscount, 19 from 24, so 75%.

An AFL side would take a 75% home ground record any day of the week. Let's translate that into finals success!

 

[Rabman]

I have our full record at Adelaide Oval, and it's pretty good:

We've won 13 of our last 15 games at home, and our total win 'percentage' at Adelaide Oval is 67% (25 out of 37) - in other words, more than two-thirds of all our games at Adelaide Oval.

GWS
Essendon
Richmond
Melbourne
Fremantle
St.Kilda
Hawthorn
Bulldogs
Geelong
Port Power
Sydney
The first 6 games are certainly winnable, GWS get cold feet when they play in front of big crowds outside their own state, need to take advantage of that. Think Geelong and Hawthorn are more psychological games, win those where setting ourselves up for a good year. I would expect 9-11 wins.

 

[Iron]

I don't do aliases. And there's no way I'd defile myself by pretending to be one of you

Why not you pretend to be a footy analytic

 

[PCORF]

GWS
Essendon
Richmond
Melbourne
Fremantle
St.Kilda
Hawthorn
Bulldogs
Geelong
Port Power
Sydney
The first 6 games are certainly winnable, GWS get cold feet when they play in front of big crowds outside their own state, need to take advantage of that. Think Geelong and Hawthorn are more psychological games, win those where setting ourselves up for a good year. I would expect 9-11 wins.

It certainly is important to win as many home games as possible. Our best home record was 9-1 in 1993, followed by 2012 11-2 and 2016 10-2 including finals. All 3 of those seasons saw finals action.

 

[Rise_up_Stiffy]

We are not far off being a premiership calibre team. Not sure if we can take that next step in finals when it counts. Let's wait and see.

 

[Rabman]

It certainly is important to win as many home games as possible. Our best home record was 9-1 in 1993, followed by 2012 11-2 and 2016 10-2 including finals. All 3 of those seasons saw finals action.

When i go to Adelaide oval i always expect to win. GWS like i said get cold feet when they play in front of big crowds away from home (proven against us on 2 occasions), Hawthorn, Geelong games are more psycological battles we really need to overcome, Bulldogs, Sydney and Port as usual are all tough games but should win. All the others are non-negotiable have to win. Would expect 10 if not all home wins next year.

 

[fairfooty]

We will finish 6th next year among a very tough competition and most teams in the top 8 have a chance to win it all next year. But wouldn't be surprised if Adelaide play very well and then suddenly bang .... you know what I'm about to say. So yeah 6th, top 4 is not easy to reach in a no room for error season and you think Adelaide will probably drop a game or two they really need to win.

2016 was an awesome season if you don't include the Round 23 disaster.

And guess who we play round 23 in 2017?

 

[douglyzia]

Hoping for a premiership, but more than likely finishing in the 4-12 range as usual depending on injuries. I've been conditioned to disappointment, but if the Bulldogs supporters can persevere for decades, I guess I can persevere for a few more years.

 

[mistylake]

An AFL side would take a 75% home ground record any day of the week. Let's translate that into finals success!

Helps if you don't drop your bag in R23 and miss out on a top 4 or even top 2 position.

 

[mistylake]

Hoping for a premiership, but more than likely finishing in the 4-12 range as usual depending on injuries. I've been conditioned to disappointment, but if the Bulldogs supporters can persevere for decades, I guess I can persevere for a few more years.

4-12 range your more confident than me.
I've got us 1-17.
Can't ever see us getting the no. 1 draft pick.

 

[mistylake]

And guess who we play round 23 in 2017?

AFL aren't very creative are they.
Every year R23 Crows v Eagles.
But all 9 games on Saturday at 12am
Going to be hard to watch them all at the same time.

 

[Kane McGoodwin]

AFL aren't very creative are they.
Every year R23 Crows v Eagles.
But all 9 games on Saturday at 12am
Going to be hard to watch them all at the same time.

The AFL don't like the poor Victorian teams to travel in the final round.

Apparently it is not an issue for the non-Victorian teams...

 

[kulak]

Typical AFC disappearing act when it counts

On the plus side, nailed it...

This should be a good bump in a few years time.

I'm expecting more minor round success and more major round not-quite-good-enough.

I'm expecting one of our top 5 players or most promising young players to leave the club and win a premiership at his new club

Basically I'm expecting disappointment

Btw I don't think GWS are quite the god tier many people perceive. Arguably the Dogs are younger and more talented in the important roles. Others will challenge too. It's going to be a tough competition.

 

[Danger in Texas]

As so disappointed as I am, at least we got two steps closer this year. Still not good enough, but there's time.

Expect nothing less than a premiership next year.

 

[officialjc]

my early prediction for the 2018 ladder.
1 gws
2 sydney
3 melbourne
4 richmond
5 adelaide
6 geelong
7 collingwood
8 hawthorn
9 port
10 essendon
11 st kilda
12 west coast
13 brisbane
14 fremanlte
15 carlton
16 western bulldogs
17 north melbourne
18 gold coast

 

[SloaneysDanger]

Probably choke some more like we always do.

 

[PCORF]

If the good Crows show up in 2018 we have another chance at it. I think Sydney will be back in the top 4 in 2018.

 

[StonesThrow]

*

 

[SnakesLadders]

Trade Jenkins and I'll tell you

 

[DD#23]

An AFL side would take a 75% home ground record any day of the week. Let's translate that into finals success!

even more so of their home ground is the MCG

 

[Danger in Texas]

Trade Jenkins and I'll tell you

You know what, I'm tending to agree now

Make McGovern the other KPF, add in another player who can pressure, has speed and doesn't go missing like JJ just did

I'd keep a few others though, like Atkins/Knight/Seedsman

 

[hey shorty]

Depends what we learn from today.

If I was Fages the first order of business would be to try and get as many MCG games as possible. I know we play Melbourne in Darwin but that needs to end.

 

[Houston]

We'll be at the pointy end of the ladder for the next 3-4 years. We won't win the flag though, that was the core of this groups best chance.

 

[Mike Smyth]

Next year we will slip out of the top 4 given we lose Smith, Lever and most likely Cameron and mitigate their loss with SANFL depth players.