iluvparis
Import Whisperer
- Apr 1, 2005
- 50,055
- 40,651
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Calgary Flames, Man Utd
This ain't CL. Quick road to the poor house if you have to find exceptions to the rule as your sole reasoning. He would be 20s plus if be didnt line up at the Valley, instead you have to take gross unders because he got every favour in that race.
Carn - look at his SP profile - you are completely taking the piss if you think he would starts $20s here without the William Reid. There is no reasonable way on earth you can mark him gross unders at his current price unless you completely ignore SP as a metric - which is the true road to the poor house.
Given the top 4 in the betting look fair to unders at best at the moment there is zero chance that this guys current price is gross unders using any fair method of framing a market.