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Opinion NMFC Board Cricket Thread III

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And again.

Is it? He's took 7 singles off the last 8 balls he faced. The last time he faced 3 balls in a row the score was 6/116 and 33 balls ago. The tail has faced the other 27, we've lost 4/16 and he ends on just 24 not.
Fair enough. Should have been better.
 

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What a catastrophe for CA and the MCC. It's biggest cash cow of the year and it's been totally ballsed up.

The entire match is a farce - a lottery on who can survive - with up to 250k spectators - many of whom will have travelled far and wide to see their annual day of Test cricket - being the main victims. Add to that the broadcasters, viewing public, and Melbourne businesses all part of the fall out.

People with tickets to tomorrow - a sellout - must be refunded in full with possibly a credit to some pissy BBL games thrown in. Someone also has to be sacked for this.
 
What a catastrophe for CA and the MCC. It's biggest cash cow of the year and it's been totally ballsed up.

The entire match is a farce - a lottery on who can survive - with up to 250k spectators - many of whom will have travelled far and wide to see their annual day of Test cricket - being the main victims. Add to that the broadcasters, viewing public, and Melbourne businesses all part of the fall out.

People with tickets to tomorrow - a sellout - must be refunded in full with possibly a credit to some pissy BBL games thrown in. Someone also has to be sacked for this.
Post of the thread. An absolute disaster, and throw in the next broadcaster rights.

Edit: and the caterers, the poor kids employed for summer holiday work, even the public transport companies.
CBD cafes should do better if they open with a Sunday surcharge.
 
šŸ‘‰ Probability of defending a fourth-innings target around 180 ā‰ˆ a few percent (likely in the 2–8% range).

This fits intuition: successful defenses of low targets do happen, but most low targets are chased down by the batting side — hence the relative rarity.
 
What a catastrophe for CA and the MCC. It's biggest cash cow of the year and it's been totally ballsed up.

The entire match is a farce - a lottery on who can survive - with up to 250k spectators - many of whom will have travelled far and wide to see their annual day of Test cricket - being the main victims. Add to that the broadcasters, viewing public, and Melbourne businesses all part of the fall out.

People with tickets to tomorrow - a sellout - must be refunded in full with possibly a credit to some pissy BBL games thrown in. Someone also has to be sacked for this.

WTF is selling bay 13 to the poms?
 
šŸ‘‰ Probability of defending a fourth-innings target around 180 ā‰ˆ a few percent (likely in the 2–8% range).

This fits intuition: successful defenses of low targets do happen, but most low targets are chased down by the batting side — hence the relative rarity.
And not many are day 2!
 

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Rough Probability Estimate

Using such historical figures:

Numerator: ā‰ˆ10–15 defenses of ~175–199

Denominator: ā‰ˆ100–150 opportunities with targets ≤200

šŸ‘‰ This suggests a very rough historical probability of:

šŸ’„ ~7–12% chance that a team successfully defends a target in the 175–199 range in a Test match where that target is set.
 
Ok, so working under the assumtion that the test doesnt end tomorrow though it very likely could, this wicket will get easier to bat on at some point.

Could that possibly be in the 4th innings, say on day 3 for instance, and we get the inverse result to Perth?
bump
 
Watch bazball fly here and the poms talk it up after they win
They can huff and puff all they like. The ashes are ours, and we are playing nearly our third string attack in a dead rubber on the most English wicket ever.

They don’t even have the moral victory. At least three dismissals that should have been reversed.
 
Watch bazball fly here and the poms talk it up after they win
Yep, the euphoria and vindication will hopefully make them stick with the same team for another two years.
The irony of the team ā€˜saving’ test cricket almost destroying it. As the commentators said ā€˜welcome to short form test cricket’.
I’m actually gutted by this series, I’ll just wander off to join the other dinosaurs.

Edit: and just wait for some disingenuous prick point out daily average attendance for two day tests is better than five dayers.
 

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Opinion NMFC Board Cricket Thread III

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