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Progressive Finals Systems and double chances

Do you prefer to see the two best teams re-meet in finals series?

  • Yes, love the rivalry that can be built up when two strong close teams re-meet in a finals series

    Votes: 21 60.0%
  • No, just want to see them meet up in grand final and not clash horns weeks before

    Votes: 14 40.0%

  • Total voters
    35
  • Poll closed .

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Aug 27, 2014
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there are no other teams worthy
Was looking up some records of early finals and one thing I noticed is how often the minor premier would drop their first final. Makes me think the finals prior to 1931 had quite a bit a tanking going on.
This seems to have come about as the minor premier had the right of challenge which basically meant if they did not make the final they could challenge the winner of it to a match to decide the season flag. This basically meant winning your first final as minor premier did not even matter to some extent. You got guaranteed a 50% chance of winning the flag. So over time it looks like as top teams caught on, the best idea was to lose your first final, then enjoy the next week off whilst two other teams play off in a final and the winner you challenge to the premiership after that. Clearly they decided making the other teams play more games and having a week off was the better way to get some advantage because if you win in week one you play the last game of season for flag the next weekend have no weeks rest from football over the other teams.

Interesting to see over the years how the double chance evolved from an original minor premier right to challenge to McIntyre system double chances which allowed for top best teams for six decades have two chances of reaching grand final which led to some exciting re-meetings in finals for top teams. Most leagues across the states and land have used those with the final four or five systems. So many club rivalries have stories of one team losing their first meeting earlier in finals and then coming back two weeks later to beat that team in the grand final. Rivalries in so many leagues are big on such stories.

When the league had double chances for two teams it did tend to lead to even more intense rivalries like Carlton and Richmond had in 1970s and early 80s, Hawks and North in 1970s and Essendon and Hawthorn across 1984 and 85. Are we missing something by the top teams only can likely to meet once in the final 8 systems?

It should be noted since the final 8 systems of 1994 and beyond there is no longer a double chance to reach the grand final. The only double chances now have been downgraded to a double chance to reach a preliminary final. Basically the minor premier has been reduced the reward it can get from 50% up to 1931, 37.5% from 1932 to 1990 and now down to 18.75% with the final 8 system.

Summary of how the more regular final four came about by Ken McIntyre on wiki entry
Page–McIntyre system (after 1931)

After having utilised three variations of the Argus system for thirty years, three clear drawbacks had emerged:

  • Firstly, the uncertainty regarding whether there would be three or four finals had resulted in the attendances at the semi-finals exceeding the attendance at the Grand Final in nine of the 29 seasons that the format was used.
  • Secondly, the minor premier was now seen to have too much advantage through its right to challenge to the point where losing the second semi-final could be seen as a preferable route to a premiership, as the loss allowed for a week's rest, while a win would require playing the following week.
  • Thirdly, there was a clear financial benefit to the clubs involved for a Challenge Final to be played, as it resulted in an extra match with extra gate takings, and it was a common perception that clubs would contrive results to achieve this, which had led to concern amongst fans and officials that the Semi-Finals were not genuine contests.
To correct for these, the VFL introduced a new system, the Page–McIntyre system, in 1931, which it used in some form for the next 69 years.

Most notably, the Page–McIntyre system removed the Minor Premiers' right to challenge, with the Minor Premier and the second-placed team receiving the advantage of a "double chance" that permitted either team to lose one match (excluding the Grand Final) without being eliminated.
 
I'm pretty hammered ATM, so i couldn't read much, but the gist i got was Collingwood have right of way into every finals series, and we get to add the best players from teams who didn't make it?

lol.
No , but you made me laugh imagining how hammered you are.
Have another drink or four. Might as well get completely hammered.
 
Plenty of talk the minor premier tanked as part of a betting scam

One advantage of re introducing 1v2 early on is rhe real fans would get to attend. Its all very well saying the best teams should only meet in the granny, but its largely watched by business shirts
 

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I personally like the top 5 the best.

Double chance for the top 3, week off for top in the first week.

Elimination Final (loser eliminated, winner to the 1st semi)
Qualifying Final (winner to the 2nd semi, loser to the 1st semi)

1st Semi Final (winner to the PF, loser eliminated)
2nd Semi Final (winner straight to GF with a week off, loser to the PF)

Preliminary Final (winner to the GF and loser eliminated)

GF.

Better reward for finishing top.
 
Anyoune like to speculate when the abilty of any fan to just buy a grand final ticket evaporated? early eighties?

I recall a story that the MCC offered some seats up for sale to public just before the 1997 Saints v Crows and had 100,000 enquiries
 
Anyoune like to speculate when the abilty of any fan to just buy a grand final ticket evaporated? early eighties?

I recall a story that the MCC offered some seats up for sale to public just before the 1997 Saints v Crows and had 100,000 enquiries

I actually had an AFL Member's Guest pass ticket for '92. I was joining the Navy 2 days later so decided not to go. I gave it away. Turns out the AFL had allocated 1,000s more tickets than there were seats so plenty of people got turned away.
 
Plenty of talk the minor premier tanked as part of a betting scam

One advantage of re introducing 1v2 early on is rhe real fans would get to attend. Its all very well saying the best teams should only meet in the granny, but its largely watched by business shirts

I'm guessing you mean the 1910 year for betting scam?

I am actually speculating over the 1920s in particular some minor premier probably were happy to lose in that first final and earn a week off as they recognised there were no actual true advantage over other sides by winning first final. We do not know mood of football community at time but I suspect this was what lead up to the change of finals systems in 1931 that stopped that scenario happening.

On another aspect we had 1 v 2 as a game in finals series twice in the series from 1931 to early 1990s.
If we get it at all now it is those two teams meeting up in preliminary final or grand final.

1982 season actually had the top two teams meet twice and second v third twice as it turned out. Kind of adds to rivalries when so many games in short period are played between same two clubs. Seems a bit harder to happen now with so many clubs.
I guess the pay off is two preliminary finals now but we really can only speculate if the two best teams are meeting in the preliminary final week or grand final. Some grand finals are going to end up being 1 v 3 simply based on side of the draw that exists now.

It was kind of fun last season to see a repeat meeting over the same finals series with Eagles and Hawks playing twice but can only happen now with same two teams from a qualifying final meeting again on grand final day.
 
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Clarkson sour comments on Friday night after Hawks eliminated made me think of this thread due to he was trying to talk down Collingwood 4 flags in a row from 1927 to 1930 in comparison to his own team.
He was complaining Collingwood lost a final in two of those seasons and went on to win the flag.
A bit strange considering Hawks also lost a final last season and were not even top two and had a second chance and went on to win the flag and deserved it.
The system back when Collingwood won their 4 premiership in a row essentially meant if you were top of ladder at end of home and away the minor premier tag meant something. You had the right of challenge as coveted minor premier that if you lost a final you still were alive and had to be beaten twice to be eliminated to not get the major premiership of the whole season. What it really means is that the minor premier phrase then actually was valued and part of finals system. All premierships in that era were decided that way. So if you wanted to win the flag in those times you aimed be top and make use of the earnt challenge system of the day or if not top you knew you had to beat the minor premier twice essentially to dethrone them. All clubs knew that was the finals system for the season just as all clubs now know the finals system now is you only need to be top four to get a double chance reward.

Clarkson should thank his lucky stars double chances exist for 3rd placed team at end of home and away series now. If you were third in 1920s and lost you were eliminated straight away.
If the Collingwood coach of 1930 had the same attitude of Clarkson he would be thinking you were taking the piss to say in future the 2015 premiers got the flag by finishing 3rd and losing a final and still given another chance. Maybe he would not show it any respect like Clarkson showed none for Collingwood premierships of 4 in a row.
 
Clarkson sour comments on Friday night after Hawks eliminated made me think of this thread due to he was trying to talk down Collingwood 4 flags in a row from 1927 to 1930 in comparison to his own team.
He was complaining Collingwood lost a final in two of those seasons and went on to win the flag.
A bit strange considering Hawks also lost a final last season and were not even top two and had a second chance and went on to win the flag and deserved it.
The system back when Collingwood won their 4 premiership in a row essentially meant if you were top of ladder at end of home and away the minor premier tag meant something. You had the right of challenge as coveted minor premier that if you lost a final you still were alive and had to be beaten twice to be eliminated to not get the major premiership of the whole season. What it really means is that the minor premier phrase then actually was valued and part of finals system. All premierships in that era were decided that way. So if you wanted to win the flag in those times you aimed be top and make use of the earnt challenge system of the day or if not top you knew you had to beat the minor premier twice essentially to dethrone them. All clubs knew that was the finals system for the season just as all clubs now know the finals system now is you only need to be top four to get a double chance reward.

Clarkson should thank his lucky stars double chances exist for 3rd placed team at end of home and away series now. If you were third in 1920s and lost you were eliminated straight away.
If the Collingwood coach of 1930 had the same attitude of Clarkson he would be thinking you were taking the piss to say in future the 2015 premiers got the flag by finishing 3rd and losing a final and still given another chance. Maybe he would not show it any respect like Clarkson showed none for Collingwood premierships of 4 in a row.

Clarkson's comments made me check the records for the 3-peat and 4-peat premiers.

As mentioned, Collingwood won both finals in 1927 and 1928, but suffered a finals loss in both 1929 and 1930 and had to use its double chance "challenge" to win the premiership.

Hawthorn won all 3 of its finals in 2013 and 2014, but suffered a loss in 2015 and had to use its double chance to win the third straight premiership. Brisbane did the same winning all finals in 2001 and 2002 but suffering a loss in 2003.

Both of Melbourne's two 3-peats involved using the double chance. It won both finals in 1955 and 1956 but lost the 1957 second semi before winning the Prelim and Grand Finals. It won both finals in 1939, lost the second semi in 1940 (before winning the Prelim and Grand Finals) and won both finals again in 1941.

Carlton in 1906-08 is the only team to go undefeated in three consecutive finals series, winning both of its finals matches each year.
 
Plenty of talk the minor premier tanked as part of a betting scam

One advantage of re introducing 1v2 early on is rhe real fans would get to attend. Its all very well saying the best teams should only meet in the granny, but its largely watched by business shirts
Real fans are willing to fork out 1200 dollars for a gf ticket. It's around 1 week of the median workers salary.

If women expect us to fork out a months salary on a pointless rock in exchange for promising to never have sex with another women again (which they are supposed to give back by the way but never follow through), then one weeks salary for a gf ticket is nothing. Real fans pay it.
 

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If women expect us to fork out a months salary on a pointless rock in exchange for promising to never have sex with another women again (which they are supposed to give back by the way but never follow through), then one weeks salary for a gf ticket is nothing.

Best comment ever.
 
the top 5 was clearly the best system - I wonder if a top 10 (incorporating two top 5 systems - maybe odds and evens as you go down), with suitable crossovers at crucial points to avoid rematches until the GF or PFs, would ever work (eg if we went to 20 teams).
a top 10 with 18 teams is overkill - but, the AFL may just do it one day... $
 

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I'd prefer a finals system with no double chance and no giving teams a week off, the current system is ridiculous.
 
No week off, no double chances. top 8, highest ranked team plays lowest ranked team at the highest ranked teams home. It would be known as an actually equitable and fair finals system.
 
the top 5 was clearly the best system - I wonder if a top 10 (incorporating two top 5 systems - maybe odds and evens as you go down), with suitable crossovers at crucial points to avoid rematches until the GF or PFs, would ever work (eg if we went to 20 teams).
a top 10 with 18 teams is overkill - but, the AFL may just do it one day... $
Huh? You can't just add finals system on top of each other and expect them to be similar. Final systems are not additive! Crazy people on here today.
 
Huh? You can't just add finals system on top of each other and expect them to be similar. Final systems are not additive! Crazy people on here today.
Let me see if I can see what it would look like (assume highest team always wins).

Would be a 5 week finals campaign:
ladder positions
1
3
5
7
9
is group A

2
4
6
8
10
is group B

Week 1 (Elimination and Qualifying Finals (4 games))
1 and 2 have week off
7 v 9 and 8 v 10 elimination finals A and B respectively - assume (9) and (10) eliminated, (7) and (8) go to First Semi Finals
3 v 5 and 4 v 6 qualifying finals A and B respectively - assume (3) and (4) win, (5) and (6) get second chance and go to Second Semi Finals

Week 2 (Semi Finals (4 games))
Winner of elimination A (7) now plays loser qualifying A (5) in First Semi Final A - assume (7) eliminated, (5) goes to Preliminary Final A
Winner of elimination B (8) now plays loser of qualifying B (6) in First Semi Final B - assume (8) eliminated, (6) goes to Preliminary Final B

Winner of qualifying A (3) plays (1) in Second Semi Final A - assume (1) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier A (week off), loser (3) gets second chance
Winner of qualifying B (4) plays (2) in Second Semi Final B - assume (2) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier B (week off), loser (4) gets second chance

Week 3 (Preliminary Finals (2 games) plus crossover here so don't repeat week 1 match ups)
Winner of First Semi Final A (5) now plays loser of Second Semi Final B (4) in Preliminary Final A - assume (4) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier A
Winner of First Semi Final B (6) now plays loser of Second Semi Final A (3) in Preliminary Final B - assume (3) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier B

Week 4 (Grand Final Qualifiers (2 games))
Winner of Preliminary Final A (4) now plays winner of Second Semi Final A (1) in the Grand Final Qualifier A - assume (1) wins
Winner of Preliminary Final B (3) now plays winner of Second Semi Final B (2) in the Grand Final Qualifier B - assume (2) wins

Week 5 (GRAND FINAL 1 game)
1 v 2 (winner of the two Grand Final Qualifiers)


I think this stacks up. I did it in excel with team names rather than numbers and confirmed.
 
Now with team names
Final Ladder

1 Sydney
2 Geelong
3 Hawthorn
4 GWS
5 Adelaide
6 West Coast
7 Western Bulldogs
8 North Melbourne
9 St Kilda
10 Port Adelaide

Week 1 (Elimination and Qualifying Finals (4 games))
1 and 2 have week off
ie
1 Sydney off
2 Geelong off

7 v 9 and 8 v 10 elimination finals A and B respectively - assume (9) and (10) eliminated, (7) and (8) go to First Semi Finals
ie
7 Western Bulldogs v 9 St Kilda
and
8 North Melbourne v 10 Port Adelaide

3 v 5 and 4 v 6 qualifying finals A and B respectively - assume (3) and (4) win, (5) and (6) get second chance and go to Second Semi Finals
ie
3 Hawthorn v 5 Adelaide
and
4 GWS v 6 West Coast


Week 2 (Semi Finals (4 games))
Winner of elimination A (7) now plays loser qualifying A (5) in First Semi Final A - assume (7) eliminated, (5) goes to Preliminary Final A
ie
7 Western Bulldogs v 5 Adelaide

Winner of elimination B (8) now plays loser of qualifying B (6) in First Semi Final B - assume (8) eliminated, (6) goes to Preliminary Final B
ie
8 North Melbourne v 6 West Coast

Winner of qualifying A (3) plays (1) in Second Semi Final A - assume (1) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier A (week off), loser (3) gets second chance
ie
3 Hawthorn v 1 Sydney

Winner of qualifying B (4) plays (2) in Second Semi Final B - assume (2) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier B (week off), loser (4) gets second chance
ie
4 GWS v 2 Geelong


Week 3 (Preliminary Finals (2 games) plus crossover here so don't repeat week 1 match ups)
Winner of First Semi Final A (5) now plays loser of Second Semi Final B (4) in Preliminary Final A - assume (4) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier A
ie
5 Adelaide v 4 GWS

Winner of First Semi Final B (6) now plays loser of Second Semi Final A (3) in Preliminary Final B - assume (3) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier B
ie
6 West Coast v 3 Hawthorn


Week 4 (Grand Final Qualifiers (2 games))
Winner of Preliminary Final A (4) now plays winner of Second Semi Final A (1) in the Grand Final Qualifier A - assume (1) wins
ie
4 GWS v 1 Sydney

Winner of Preliminary Final B (3) now plays winner of Second Semi Final B (2) in the Grand Final Qualifier B - assume (2) wins
ie
3 Hawthorn v 2 Geelong

Week 5 (GRAND FINAL 1 game)
ie
1 v 2 (winner of the two Grand Final Qualifiers)
1 Sydney v 2 Geelong


I think it works, if ever there is a top 10.
 
Let me see if I can see what it would look like (assume highest team always wins).

Week 1 (Elimination and Qualifying Finals (4 games))
1 and 2 have week off
7 v 9 and 8 v 10 elimination finals A and B respectively - assume (9) and (10) eliminated, (7) and (8) go to First Semi Finals
3 v 5 and 4 v 6 qualifying finals A and B respectively - assume (3) and (4) win, (5) and (6) get second chance and go to Second Semi Finals

Week 2 (Semi Finals (4 games))
Winner of elimination A (7) now plays loser qualifying A (5) in First Semi Final A - assume (7) eliminated, (5) goes to Preliminary Final A
Winner of elimination B (8) now plays loser of qualifying B (6) in First Semi Final B - assume (8) eliminated, (6) goes to Preliminary Final B

Winner of qualifying A (3) plays (1) in Second Semi Final A - assume (1) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier A (week off), loser (3) gets second chance
Winner of qualifying B (4) plays (2) in Second Semi Final B - assume (2) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier B (week off), loser (4) gets second chance

Week 3 (Preliminary Finals (2 games) plus crossover here so don't repeat week 1 match ups)
Winner of First Semi Final A (5) now plays loser of Second Semi Final B (4) in Preliminary Final A - assume (4) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier A
Winner of First Semi Final B (6) now plays loser of Second Semi Final A (3) in Preliminary Final B - assume (3) wins and goes to Grand Final Qualifier B

Week 4 (Grand Final Qualifiers (2 games))
Winner of Preliminary Final A (4) now plays winner of Second Semi Final A (1) in the Grand Final Qualifier A - assume (1) wins
Winner of Preliminary Final B (3) now plays winner of Second Semi Final B (2) in the Grand Final Qualifier B - assume (2) wins

Week 5 (GRAND FINAL 1 game)
1 v 2 (winner of the two Grand Final Qualifiers)

Repeat match ups from Week 1 could still happen again in Week 4.

Week 1: Qualifying Final A: 3 v 5
Week 2: Second Semi Final A: 1 v 3
Week 3: Preliminary Final A: 4 v 5
Week 4: Grand Qualifier A: 3 v 5

Putting in another crossover in Week 4 would correct this permutation.
However, it could also cancel out the crossover in Week 3 if all the favourites get up - 1 v 3, 2 v 4 again like in Week 2.
 

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Progressive Finals Systems and double chances

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