Things shift quickly at clubs. A few years ago we were talking about Brockman being the only player with kids and that being a challenge for him. Now we have Barrass, Battle, Frost, Bruest, Hardwick, Impy, Hill all with kids.
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The Run Home 2025 - Project Your Optimism or Pessimism Here
- Thread starter rdhopkins2
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- Jun 4, 2016
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Do not mind a EF against the Pies at the MCG at all.
If we can't finish top 4 that's a pretty good fall back option.
- Jun 4, 2016
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Out of all the possible finals matchups the only two I want to avoid like the plague is Gold Coast and GWS at their home decks.
We do not play those two teams well at home at all.
All others I fancy our chances either at home (ie Collingwood at the G) or away (ie Adelaide at Adelaide Oval).
We do not play those two teams well at home at all.
All others I fancy our chances either at home (ie Collingwood at the G) or away (ie Adelaide at Adelaide Oval).
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L to Lions - likely pies EF
W v Lions - likely dogs EF (unless we beat Lions by more than Pies beat Melbourne)
Suns will win both & annihilate bombers
If Suns lose to Port we L to Brisbane we play Gws away
W v Lions - likely dogs EF (unless we beat Lions by more than Pies beat Melbourne)
Suns will win both & annihilate bombers
If Suns lose to Port we L to Brisbane we play Gws away
Win Sunday and by my ladder predictor we either finish 4th and will face the crows minus rankine (massive chance to win that) or a home elimination final at the G (I'd be VERY confident).
If we win sunday, keep everyone fit & get Weddle back then confidence will be sky high and can dare to dream. Brisbane is the only one of the real contenders I'm not sure if we can beat on our day - rolling them at the Gabba would dispel that worry.
Lose and we are bottom of the 8, making up the numbers and potentially tricky trip to the GC or GWS. Forget about it.
MASSIVE GAME sunday.
If we win sunday, keep everyone fit & get Weddle back then confidence will be sky high and can dare to dream. Brisbane is the only one of the real contenders I'm not sure if we can beat on our day - rolling them at the Gabba would dispel that worry.
Lose and we are bottom of the 8, making up the numbers and potentially tricky trip to the GC or GWS. Forget about it.
MASSIVE GAME sunday.
Let's be honest the Suns will smash the Bombers and the Bombers wont want to do us or Collingwood any favours so they will let it happen not that they could probably stop it anyway.
A one chance is for Port Adelaide to show a bit of spirit for Hinkley's last game but without Wines that will be very tough.
For some reason I think that is our best hope because Melbourne although show potential just don't have the forward power and kicking efficiency inside 50 to trouble Collingwood
A one chance is for Port Adelaide to show a bit of spirit for Hinkley's last game but without Wines that will be very tough.
For some reason I think that is our best hope because Melbourne although show potential just don't have the forward power and kicking efficiency inside 50 to trouble Collingwood
cryptor
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Sounds harsh but it’s reality at the moment. 5 times over the past 2 seasons (2 in 2024 and 3 in 2025) we’ve been in front at the final break against a finals contending interstate side on their home turf and then given up the lead to lose in all 5.
Need to find a way to lock these ones away.
cryptor
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MCG
earthworms
Club Legend
Friday night, would be huge if melbourne beat collingwood. They're $3.35 which is not bad at all (melbourne). There's a real chance of an upset here.
I’m going the other way.
Melbourne were putrid on the weekend. And Collingwood were much better, they should have won that game in Adelaide.
Pies by 30 plus.
One team has something to play for, the other doesn't.
The one that does is a much better team.
I would love Melbourne to win but really don' thtink it will happen
GinniAndTonic
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Same as last year at the G
The Jet From Poowong
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had a look at possible ladder finish based on remaining H/A games
Likely outcome for me
Assumption 1
GC win both remaining games by combined 60+ points
Assumption 2
Collingwood win by 20+
Assumption 3
Hawthorn win by less than 20
If WB win, would result in a Hawthorn (5th) v WB (8th)
If Fremantle win, would result in a Hawthorn (5th) v Brisbane (8th)
However, also a possibility
If Haw win is 10+ points more than Collingwood win and
Likely outcome for me
Assumption 1
GC win both remaining games by combined 60+ points
Assumption 2
Collingwood win by 20+
Assumption 3
Hawthorn win by less than 20
If WB win, would result in a Hawthorn (5th) v WB (8th)
If Fremantle win, would result in a Hawthorn (5th) v Brisbane (8th)
However, also a possibility
If Haw win is 10+ points more than Collingwood win and
GC combined winning margin is
60 points or less, Haw finish 3rd
70+ points points, Haw finish 4th
earthworms
Club Legend
Pies have just a 6 day break after an exhausting slog in the wet against the crows interstate, and are in poor form.
This month melbourne only lost to the dogs by a goal, and smashed the eagles by 83.
Both teams have lost 4 out of their last 5 games
Things are working out just fine for us - relax everyone
Not confident against the Dogs. I’m probably one out here, but it just feels like a match up that could be a sweet revenge for last year.
Don’t be fooled. The Dees aren’t that bad. I was genuinely concerned going into last week, and they still won a lot of vital stats. The Dees almost defeated the Dogs last week and they are in much better nick than the Pies.
Not saying they will knock them off, but like last week, Kings Birthday and also our early season game, they are definitely capable IMO.
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Actually a pretty good end to the season with lots still in the air.
In the scenario where we beat Brisbane but finish fifth (GC 3rd and Coll 4th on percentage), there’s still a world where we don’t leave the MCG the entire finals - EF vs WBD, SF vs COLL, PF vs Cats, GF vs Crows (minus Rankine
).
Essentially Brisbane is a must win game for us to have a shot at the flag. Very tough if we finish 7th or 8th. Will almost certainly have one, perhaps two interstate sudden death finals.
In the scenario where we beat Brisbane but finish fifth (GC 3rd and Coll 4th on percentage), there’s still a world where we don’t leave the MCG the entire finals - EF vs WBD, SF vs COLL, PF vs Cats, GF vs Crows (minus Rankine
).Essentially Brisbane is a must win game for us to have a shot at the flag. Very tough if we finish 7th or 8th. Will almost certainly have one, perhaps two interstate sudden death finals.
If all the favourites win, we’ll finish 8th, the Pies 5th and the Suns 4th.Actually a pretty good end to the season with lots still in the air.
In the scenario where we beat Brisbane but finish fifth (GC 3rd and Coll 4th on percentage), there’s still a world where we don’t leave the MCG the entire finals - EF vs WBD, SF vs COLL, PF vs Cats, GF vs Crows (minus Rankine
Essentially Brisbane is a must win game for us to have a shot at the flag. Very tough if we finish 7th or 8th. Will almost certainly have one, perhaps two interstate sudden death finals.
In effect it means we’d get the Pies in an EF, the Suns away in the SF and the Cats in the PF. I would absolutely back us in against the Suns in a cut throat final…even if it was in Qld. My only concern with that scenario is that if we can’t beat a decimated Lions this week I can’t see us competing with them in a final with all their stars back…
Of course we’d have a good crack but objectively that’s a tough match up for us. We would be 0-4 vs top sides interstate going into that clash, and have not beaten GC away since 2014
I agree — that’s the caveat, if we are serious we really need to win on Sunday. That said it’s a pretty soft run from eight…
The Suns really haven’t shot the lights out in recent weeks (Lions game aside)
Hoping the dewy conditions Sun night in Brisbane will prep us for any possible away final against Gold Coast – which is our worst case scenario imo
- Mar 21, 2017
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- BayernMunchen
The only team I don't wanna play are the suns over there. The industry will pump this game up as inaugural gold coast suns coming of age by beating us. The momentum will be with them all week . As for everyone else, bring it on!
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