Prediction Throw Your Darts, Closest to the Pin Trade Outcomes

[TENACIOUS]

As the title suggests, closest to the correct guess wins...
Bragging rights

Carlton
out Picks 6 & F3 in Cerra

Fremantle
Out Cerra in pick 6 & F3
--------------------------------------------
Carlton
out SPS & F4 in Pick 29

Eagles
Out SPS & F4 in SPS
---------------------------------------------
Carlton
out Picks 61 in Young

Western Bulldogs
Out Young in pick 61
----------------------------------------------
Carlton
Out: Pick 6, SPS, F3, F4 & 61
In: Cerra, Young & Pick 29 (FA - Hewett)

Draft: 25, 29 & 5th Round (Rookie Upgrade)
-----------------------------------------------

 

[9874123]

Carlton
out Picks 6 & 35 in Cerra

Fremantle
Out Cerra in pick 6 & 35
--------------------------------------------
Carlton
out SPS & F3 in Pick 35 & 52

Eagles
Out Pick 35 & 52 in SPS & F3
---------------------------------------------
Carlton
out Picks 61 in Young

WB
Out Young in pick 61

 

[carlton4lyfe]

young plays for not

 

[9874123]

young plays for not

Would love to trade pick 61 for the Fremantle Young though!

 

[Cripptonite]

In: 36, Future 4th
Out: SPS, Future 3rd

In: Young
Out: 62

In: Cerra, 27, Future 3rd
Out: 6, 25, Future 2nd

Maybe LOB for a Pick after 60 on the final day.

 

[Arr0w]

SPS, 25 for 29, 35, 68

Cerra future 2nd for 6 29 61

Young, future 3rd, 68, for future 3rd

Lose: SPS, 25, 61, Our future 2nd & 3rd

Gain: Cerra, Young, 35, Dogs future 3rd

 

[dangertroy]

This is probably unrealistic, but at least it's complicated?

SPS, 25, 64 for Eagles 29,35,52, 68 <-- Values SPS at pick 30. I think this is somewhat realistic, but WC could keep 68 if necessary, it doesn't mess any other plans.

29, 35, 52 for Young & 17 <-- Values Young at Pick 42. While this might seem a bit of a stretch as the dogs can probably shop 17 to someone like Richmond, this trade gives them a good value for Young, arguably better than he will get in a straight trade. It also doesn't stop them from splitting a few of these picks down to try pick up some more points, although at this stage they would get them within striking distance of a bid for Darcy if it came after pick 3 (I can't see it coming before...)

This leaves us with 6, 17, 68 and 82. Now to bring in Cerra, we give Freo a challenge.

We give pick 6, our future 2nd, 3rd and 4th rounds in exchange for Cerra and their future 2nd, 3rd and 4th round.
Based on both team's positions this year, this values Cerra at basically Pick 5. But, if Freo thinks that they are going to outperform us significantly, then this could elevate his value up a couple of spots. However, if we improve past them, we get to claw back a bit of value. Put this offer on the table and see whether they want to spend the next year worrying about their ladder position, or give them the option of of just our future 4th. Lets make this a bit of fun for everyone.

So in the washup, the results are:

WCE : SPS, 10, 25, 64, 86
Dogs: 29, 35, 52, 75, 93
Freo: 6, 8, 27, 84, Carltons F2, F3, F4.
Carlton: Young, Cerra, 17, 68, 82, Freos F2, F3, F4.

 

[Arr0w]

This is probably unrealistic, but at least it's complicated?

SPS, 25, 64 for Eagles 29,35,52, 68 <-- Values SPS at pick 30. I think this is somewhat realistic, but WC could keep 68 if necessary, it doesn't mess any other plans.

29, 35, 52 for Young & 17 <-- Values Young at Pick 42. While this might seem a bit of a stretch as the dogs can probably shop 17 to someone like Richmond, this trade gives them a good value for Young, arguably better than he will get in a straight trade. It also doesn't stop them from splitting a few of these picks down to try pick up some more points, although at this stage they would get them within striking distance of a bid for Darcy if it came after pick 3 (I can't see it coming before...)

This leaves us with 6, 17, 68 and 82. Now to bring in Cerra, we give Freo a challenge.

We give pick 6, our future 2nd, 3rd and 4th rounds in exchange for Cerra and their future 2nd, 3rd and 4th round.
Based on both team's positions this year, this values Cerra at basically Pick 5. But, if Freo thinks that they are going to outperform us significantly, then this could elevate his value up a couple of spots. However, if we improve past them, we get to claw back a bit of value. Put this offer on the table and see whether they want to spend the next year worrying about their ladder position, or give them the option of of just our future 4th. Lets make this a bit of fun for everyone.

So in the washup, the results are:

WCE : SPS, 10, 25, 64, 86
Dogs: 29, 35, 52, 75, 93
Freo: 6, 8, 27, 84, Carltons F2, F3, F4.
Carlton: Young, Cerra, 17, 68, 82, Freos F2, F3, F4.

Looks good on paper, but Dockers would be concerned that we finish ahead of them next year

 

[Skull Face]

I like that SPS trade giving them 25 for 29 + 35 + 65

Cerra + Future 3rd for 6 + 35

Young + future 4th for either our or freo's future 3rd.

Go to the draft with 29 + 61 + 65 and have a bonus 4th round pick next year.

 

[dangertroy]

Looks good on paper, but Dockers would be concerned that we finish ahead of them next year

Sure. That's why we offer them the pick swaps, or just give them the option of our future 4th. much safer for them, but not as much fun

 

[Bletch]

This is probably unrealistic, but at least it's complicated?

SPS, 25, 64 for Eagles 29,35,52, 68 <-- Values SPS at pick 30. I think this is somewhat realistic, but WC could keep 68 if necessary, it doesn't mess any other plans.

29, 35, 52 for Young & 17 <-- Values Young at Pick 42. While this might seem a bit of a stretch as the dogs can probably shop 17 to someone like Richmond, this trade gives them a good value for Young, arguably better than he will get in a straight trade. It also doesn't stop them from splitting a few of these picks down to try pick up some more points, although at this stage they would get them within striking distance of a bid for Darcy if it came after pick 3 (I can't see it coming before...)

This leaves us with 6, 17, 68 and 82. Now to bring in Cerra, we give Freo a challenge.

We give pick 6, our future 2nd, 3rd and 4th rounds in exchange for Cerra and their future 2nd, 3rd and 4th round.
Based on both team's positions this year, this values Cerra at basically Pick 5. But, if Freo thinks that they are going to outperform us significantly, then this could elevate his value up a couple of spots. However, if we improve past them, we get to claw back a bit of value. Put this offer on the table and see whether they want to spend the next year worrying about their ladder position, or give them the option of of just our future 4th. Lets make this a bit of fun for everyone.

So in the washup, the results are:

WCE : SPS, 10, 25, 64, 86
Dogs: 29, 35, 52, 75, 93
Freo: 6, 8, 27, 84, Carltons F2, F3, F4.
Carlton: Young, Cerra, 17, 68, 82, Freos F2, F3, F4.

Nice idea. Tigs going to be hard to outbid for #17, and Dogs are in a great position with a number of clubs that will be interested (maybe Adelaide or Hawthorn too). 29, 35 & 52 is 1421 points - a solid offer for 17 (1025). I'm sure Dogs would consider it. But... Tigs will come back with 28, 38, 47 (1458), and still have 26 and 42 up their sleeves, and it wouldn't require Dogs giving up Young.

It's worth pursuing, but I can't see us out-bidding Richmond.

 

[Red_man2008]

SPS will go to the PSD —> redrafted to Carlton
Cerra will go to the ND —> where we take Cerra at 6 (8)
Future 4th for young
Stengle as SSP

 

[Bletch]

SPS + 61 -> 35
35 -> Young + Future 3rd(WBU)
6 + 25 -> Cerra + 27 + Future 3rd(WBU)

Upshot: Cerra and Young for SPS, 6, 61 and a minor pick swap

 

[Magruder]

Trade with WCE

Out SPS + F3
In 35 + 52

Trade with Freo

Out 6 + 35
In Cerra + F3

Trade with Bulldogs

Out 52
In Young + F4 (or other similar collateral obtained by WBU during trade period)



Summary:

Cerra & Young, Freo F3 and a F4

for

6, SPS, F3

 

[Magruder]

As the title suggests, closest to the correct guess wins...
Bragging rights

Carlton
out Picks 6 & F3 in Cerra

Fremantle
Out Cerra in pick 6 & F3
--------------------------------------------
Carlton
out SPS & F4 in Pick 29

Eagles
Out SPS & F4 in SPS
---------------------------------------------
Carlton
out Picks 61 in Young

Western Bulldogs
Out Young in pick 61
----------------------------------------------
Carlton
Out: Pick 6, SPS, F3, F4 & 61
In: Cerra, Young & Pick 29 (FA - Hewett)

Draft: 25, 29 & 5th Round (Rookie Upgrade)
-----------------------------------------------

wow - on the knocker for Cerra.

 

[JuddgementDay]

As the title suggests, closest to the correct guess wins...
Bragging rights

Carlton
out Picks 6 & F3 in Cerra

Fremantle
Out Cerra in pick 6 & F3
--------------------------------------------
Carlton
out SPS & F4 in Pick 29

Eagles
Out SPS & F4 in SPS
---------------------------------------------
Carlton
out Picks 61 in Young

Western Bulldogs
Out Young in pick 61
----------------------------------------------
Carlton
Out: Pick 6, SPS, F3, F4 & 61
In: Cerra, Young & Pick 29 (FA - Hewett)

Draft: 25, 29 & 5th Round (Rookie Upgrade)
-----------------------------------------------

So far so good - let's see how the rest pans out, but I'll be happy with all of these remaining trades

 

[TENACIOUS]

wow - on the knocker for Cerra.

So far so good - let's see how the rest pans out, but I'll be happy with all of these remaining trades

After that, the rest looks off the mark