Preview Changes and Preview Brisbane vs Ports @ Gabba, qualifying final thread

[Interstater]

If Port don't play Visentini or Hayes as a 30% ruck and defensive cover, then the game is lost Thursday night imo.
But they won't, it will be chaos ball, shuffle, shuffle with the extra runner.
Will be justified as a humid night game, and written off to learnings, but they will run over Port in the last when they lose midfield.
Don't be beaten by what you know (again).

We've already lost one final this year due to this issue.

Bring on the show.

 

[PowerBaz]

If Port don't play Visentini or Hayes as a 30% ruck and defensive cover, then the game is lost Thursday night imo.
But they won't, it will be chaos ball, shuffle, shuffle with the extra runner.
Will be justified as a humid night game, and written off to learnings, but they will run over Port in the last when they lose midfield.
Don't be beaten by what you know (again).

We've already lost one final this year due to this issue.

Bring on the show.

They will use Finlayson…

 

[dav3]

The pre finals bye kills interest levels so bad.

The sun's out, weathers heating up, people move on pretty quick.

Most of this board apparently moved on 12 months ago, so it shouldn't affect too many here.

 

[ibd77]

Hipwood and Daniher can go full spud on occasion

Daniher will be flopping every chance he gets.

 

[PowerBaz]

Good news the other teams are all
playing in cold wet miserable weather…

 

[bomberclifford]

Wildcard…

They should have played the last 80 seconds of the Crows v Swans game and rigged it so the Swans win.
Perfect entertainment for the pre-finals bye.

 

[Tibbs]

Haven’t heard anyone in the national media or the analytics tipsters give us a sniff this week.

Would be nice if we could shake someone else’s tree in a big final rather than having ours shook!

View attachment 1793987

Caro has picked Port to win.

Go Caro!

 

[Powertron]

Caro has picked Port to win.

Go Caro!

She’s changed her tune since the age podcast yesterday!

 

[Winganeen]

Caro has picked Port to win.

Go Caro!

I think Dwayne was calling it on SEN yesterday also.

So there's that...

 

[PowerBaz]

Caro has picked Port to win.

Go Caro!

She's a Ken lover...!

 

[Janus]

Another little tid bit - in the past 13 games, Port has an inside 50 differential that is +10 over a Brisbane team that had consecutive weeks of thrashing West Coast and Richmond with +30 inside 50 differentials.

The idea that Brisbane is so much better than us is just not true, and if they listen to the narrative around this game and think it will just happen for them, they will lose.

 

[bomberclifford]

I'm starting to get bullish.

 

[Windy Cindy]

Haven’t heard anyone in the national media or the analytics tipsters give us a sniff this week.

Would be nice if we could shake someone else’s tree in a big final rather than having ours shook!

View attachment 1793987

I cant wait till we smack this mob right in the mouth Saturday night

and make the afl stand up and take notice

 

[snozulu]

I mean you'd probably just go up and slap Fantasia's calf and he'd fall over....

I reckon if he let the hair grow they would look bigger on camera even if a few mm

 

[Shaucob_Burjan]

On paper, we can take it up against anyone in the league, I just have zero confidence of us not being cooked mentally in the finals.

 

[PowerBaz]

On paper, we can take it up against anyone in the league, I just have zero confidence of us not being cooked mentally in the finals.

Gee I'm thinking we do ok this year, I think we make it to the GF.

In saying that if it's straight sets I can't wait to see how quickly Ken vanishes and reappears in March.

 

[Enviable Tradition]

Another little tid bit - in the past 13 games, Port has an inside 50 differential that is +10 over a Brisbane team that had consecutive weeks of thrashing West Coast and Richmond with +30 inside 50 differentials.

The idea that Brisbane is so much better than us is just not true, and if they listen to the narrative around this game and think it will just happen for them, they will lose.

You do realise it is not the team with most i50s that wins right?

We repeatedly win i50s and lose.

 

[Powertron]

You do realise it is not the team with most i50s that wins right?

We repeatedly win i50s and lose.

i50’s are up there with the worst stat in football - teams have so many repeat entries because of their impotence in converting these to scores.

 

[Poo Eckert]

We are good enough, I feel however if we’re down by a little we may lose by a lot end of the day it does really matter

 

[Handyandy]

It’s going to be exciting to watch our young players on the big stage. Really hoping Jhf, Butters, Rozee, Farrell, Bergman, Houston, SPP etc can step up & make themselves finals beasts. It’s one thing to be a good home & away player, it’s another thing to be great in finals.
Jhf needs a final series like dusty 2020 to give the vics some real pain

 

[Janus]

You do realise it is not the team with most i50s that wins right?

We repeatedly win i50s and lose.

This season we’ve won the inside 50 count against Collingwood (+13), Geelong (+1) and Adelaide (+9) and lost. Collingwood and Adelaide were by far the most efficient teams for scoring per inside 50 in the competition, while if we had even three of the six players we were missing against Geelong we would have won.

Both Brisbane and Port are front half territory teams. If we win inside 50s it means we are starving them of opportunity to score.

 

[Enviable Tradition]

i50’s are up there with the worst stat in football - teams have so many repeat entries because of their impotence in converting these to scores.

Some teams (e.g. us).

On SM-G975F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Enviable Tradition]

This season we’ve won the inside 50 count against Collingwood (+13), Geelong (+1) and Adelaide (+9) and lost. Collingwood and Adelaide were by far the most efficient teams for scoring per inside 50 in the competition, while if we had even three of the six players we were missing against Geelong we would have won.

Both Brisbane and Port are front half territory teams. If we win inside 50s it means we are starving them of opportunity to score.

Thanks for proving my point.

The problem is Brisbane won't need as much opportunity to score as us because they have more players that can convert i50s to goals.

On SM-G975F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Handyandy]

Thanks for proving my point.

The problem is Brisbane won't need as much opportunity to score as us because they have more players that can convert i50s to goals.

On SM-G975F using BigFooty.com mobile app

Brisbanes forwards looked good v Collingwood, 3-4 very dangerous mid sized forwards.
Brisbanes defence looks stronger aerially and more settled than ours.
Their ruckman is better than ours too.
Only thing their supporters are worried about is the pace, skill & overlap run from our young mids.
I think Brisbane play a more traditional long kicking style of game, if we get our run and carry game going we might be able to carve them up through the centre & pressure them enough to protect our lame defence & make a game of it.
Lycett super important.

 

[Handyandy]

What I suspect will happen though is that we will get jumped out of the centre early & concede a 2-3 goal margin. Work hard just to stay in the game. Dominate the 3rd & kick 2.8, then Brisbane to sink us with 5-6 straight goal burst late in the third or early 4th