Preview 2022 Rd 11 Carlton vs Collingwood Sunday May 29 3:20PM AEST @MCG - Final Team Post #1018

[FRUMPY]

Play our best and we win this game, thats all that counts. Turn up and dont play our best and we can be beaten.

I think the pies having a win on the weekend isnt a bad thing, they were due

 

[Aphrodite]

Good morning ...

 

[haveago]

Love that ladder.

Next week could well show that only 10 teams still in hunt at the half way point.

What a lip smacking prospect we have . Beat all three of our oldest and most despised
rivals in next three weeks and we will be pretty well guaranteed playing finals and short priced
to finish top 4 with top players to return ....... HOW GOOD IS THIS SEASON !!!!

 

[TD2010]

Percentage is slowly and steadily climbing. Could be in the 120s after Essendon, all going well

Sent from my Pixel 6 using Tapatalk

 

[swuzzlebubble]

Love that ladder.

Next week could well show that only 10 teams still in hunt at the half way point.

What a lip smacking prospect we have . Beat all three of our oldest and most despised
rivals in next three weeks and we will be pretty well guaranteed playing finals and short priced
to finish top 4 with top players to return ....... HOW GOOD IS THIS SEASON !!!!

 

[Stamos]

Good morning ...

There were wonderful results all over Australia on the weekend.

 

[skadoosh]

swuzzlebubble would you be able to provide a quick summary as to what that table shows?

 

[ctwenty1]

Love that ladder.

Next week could well show that only 10 teams still in hunt at the half way point.

What a lip smacking prospect we have . Beat all three of our oldest and most despised
rivals in next three weeks and we will be pretty well guaranteed playing finals and short priced
to finish top 4 with top players to return ....... HOW GOOD IS THIS SEASON !!!!

we never do manage to get up against the bye - looking forward to turning that around this year

 

[Accidental genius]

Love that ladder.

Next week could well show that only 10 teams still in hunt at the half way point.

What a lip smacking prospect we have . Beat all three of our oldest and most despised
rivals in next three weeks and we will be pretty well guaranteed playing finals and short priced
to finish top 4 with top players to return ....... HOW GOOD IS THIS SEASON !!!!

its fully sic hectic...bro!

The extent of our improvement seems to have surprised most of us I'd say.

When we lost to the suns I was starting to again question whether or not our wins previously were largely on the back of a new coach etc and we'd perhaps head south again...

However.....

In recent matches weve seen that we are most definitely different this year and the improvements are genuine.

We've reached some really important milestones...

• beat GWS in sydney for the first time in how many years ?
• a convincing win against a very strong side in swans who we smashed in Q2 and broke a record (?)
• we've won 4 consecutive games in a row (not sure when we did this last)
• weve achieved all of the above even though weve taken another hit in the injury stakes.

To put it simply....

We are now a very strong and well coached side, playing under what appears to be a very good system.

 

[FRUMPY]

its fully sic hectic...bro!

The extent of our improvement seems to have surprised most of us I'd say.

When we lost to the suns I was starting to again question whether or not our wins previously were largely on the back of a new coach etc and we'd perhaps head south again...

However.....

In recent matches weve seen that we are most definitely different this year and the improvements are genuine.

We've reached some really important milestones...

• beat GWS in sydney for the first time in how many years ?
• a convincing win against a very strong side in swans who we smashed in Q2 and broke a record (?)
• we've won 4 consecutive games in a row (not sure when we did this last)
• weve achieved all of the above even though weve taken another hit in the injury stakes.

To put it simply....

We are now a very strong and well coached side, playing under what appears to be a very good system.

sounds like we're due for a loss.....(devils advocate - i agree with what you're saying)

 

[swuzzlebubble]

swuzzlebubble would you be able to provide a quick summary as to what that table shows?

It's their calculated percentage chance of making each ladder spot, week by week.
So it's suggesting we are a 22% chance of finishing 3rd, whereas after last week's game that was 8% chance.
Not sure what they base it on, must be some weighting of who we still have to play.

 

[swuzzlebubble]

we've won 4 consecutive games in a row (not sure when we did this last)

Thought it was longer but 2016.
As for 5 in a row...

 

[teagueyubeauty]

Love that ladder.

Next week could well show that only 10 teams still in hunt at the half way point.

What a lip smacking prospect we have . Beat all three of our oldest and most despised
rivals in next three weeks and we will be pretty well guaranteed playing finals and short priced
to finish top 4 with top players to return ....... HOW GOOD IS THIS SEASON !!!!

One week at a time please, we shouldn’t talk up wins until they happen just like we should never talk up our injury list.

Bad Karma will bite you in the arse


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

 

[Blue__Balls]

It's their calculated percentage chance of making each ladder spot, week by week.
So it's suggesting we are a 22% chance of finishing 3rd, whereas after last week's game that was 8% chance.
Not sure what they base it on, must be some weighting of who we still have to play.

If I'm reading it right, we somehow have a singificant higher chance of finishing 1st than either 2nd or 3rd. But then an even higher chance again of finishing 4th. Seems off.

 

[FRUMPY]

If I'm reading it right, we somehow have a singificant higher chance of finishing 1st than either 2nd or 3rd. But then an even higher chance again of finishing 4th. Seems off.

depends where the darts landed.....just nerds doing nerd charts, take from it what you will (means nothing to me )

 

[F_therest]

One week at a time please, we shouldn’t talk up wins until they happen just like we should never talk up our injury list.

Bad Karma will bite you in the arse


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com

Had a look at Collingwood's line up vs Freo...they have a lot of mature, gun players still and not too many injuries right now. Grundy the only big one.

Pendles, Elliott, De Goey, Adams, Crisp, Moore, Howe, Maynard & Mihochek is a very good core of senior players. Then there's younger players like Daicos, Ginnivan, Henry etc.

They lack depth and the week before vs Bulldogs when they were missing Pendles, Elliott & Ginnivan they were replaced with Brown, McRae and Poulter...a MASSIVE drop off there. I mean that's as big a gap as you can get in terms of ins and outs.

Collingwood cop a few injuries they have no depth and are average...unfortunately for us they are very near full strength and will be dangerous.

 

[swuzzlebubble]

If I'm reading it right, we somehow have a singificant higher chance of finishing 1st than either 2nd or 3rd. But then an even higher chance again of finishing 4th. Seems off.

It says 2% chance for 1st
14% for 2nd
22% for 3rd
17% for 4th

 

[Blue__Balls]

It says 2% chance for 1st
14% for 2nd
22% for 3rd
17% for 4th

Ahh yeah, got me X's and Y's crossed.

A 4% chance we miss the 8...seems a bit high

 

[Coops93]

It says 2% chance for 1st
14% for 2nd
22% for 3rd
17% for 4th

So that's estimating based on where we are, at this round, what the % chance of finishing at each ladder spot is at the end of the season?

I.e as of right now we have a 22% chance of being in 3rd spot by the end of the season.

 

[Benaly28]

I’ll say it again unbeaten in Melbourne and only team to beat them.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[TheArchitect]

Good point.

Cripps
Walsh
Weiters
Curnow
Docherty
McKay

Saad?

(fwiw that's not in order - just showing who is ahead of Saad imo - so 7th in my list with the 6 ahead of him in no particular order)

Yep that was exactly my top 6. Saad around 7th with Hewett.

 

[goreds]

I’ll say it again unbeaten in Melbourne and only team to beat them.


On iPhone using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[Cobba268]

Scrolling through this forum and seeing the amount of people worried about this game is concerning.
We are undoubtedly a much better team than Collingwood this year. Our midfield should dominate and our defence should is good enough. I would even play Young on Mihocek, enabling Weitering to play more of an intercepting role. Although their defence have us covered in the air, I can't see them getting a hold of Owies, Fisher, Durdin and Motlop.
Even if Collingwood play their best game of the season (which seems to happen against us), I would still back us to win

 

[LanceRomance]

Does Darcy Moore

30

Darcy Moore

Age

28

Ht

203cm

Wt

100kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.1

3star

K

7.0

3star

HB

4.1

3star

M

4.8

5star

T

1.6

4star

MG

169.1

3star

D

13.9

3star

K

7.3

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

4.9

5star

T

0.7

1star

MG

182.0

3star

D

6.8

2star

K

4.2

2star

HB

2.6

3star

M

2.6

3star

T

1.8

4star

MG

87.4

2star

play on an opponent?

 

[goreds]

Does Darcy Moore play on an opponent?

No