Society/Culture Coronavirus Competiton - congrats to TheMase & its_free_real_estate! new comp closes 6/5/20 6pm ACST

deaneus

You wouldn’t believe me if I told you!!!
Nov 24, 2007
22,126
43,185
Trampoline venue
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
Covid-19
Yeah, when it comes to cases, will they have enough tests?

This is hard, way harder than last month. Fingers crossed the numbers are as low as God/Allah/the Flying Spaghetti Monster can make them, but we all know that isn't going to happen.

herculez09 - 45m cases, 3.2m fatalities
Number37 - 25 million cases, 4 million deaths.
Ron The Bear - 13.1m infected/800,400 deaths
DIG - 9.6 million cases, 360,000 dead.
maryjames - 9 million infected 548,000 deaths.
deaneus - 8.2m cases, 550,000 dead
Better Loosen Up - 8M infected. 600k deaths
Crankyhawk - 7.5 million cases, 400000 dead
BFew - 6,999,999 cases, 369,999 deaths
Cash is King - 6.87 Mil, Deaths 337000
PonsfordMagpie - 6,751,710 cases, 405,102 deaths
its free real estate - 5 million infected, 200,000 deaths
Herne Hill Hammer - 5 million cases, 250,000 dead
Seeds - 5 million infected. 240 thousand deaths.
Run n Spread - 5,000,000 Deaths 175,000
TheMase - 3.585m cases, 334,883 deaths

There's still time to enter!
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

maryjames

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 21, 2008
29,933
18,665
docklands
AFL Club
Geelong
Purely my calculations. And seriously hoping I’m way off. Seems ridiculously high numbers but so did last months guess. I just add up current numbers and do some calculations for 30 days potential growth then think out what may happen with isolation etc and then guess roughly what it may be. 9 million infected is about 10 times what it is today. Shit needs to spread fast to get to that. But sadly it is spreading fast. America will have over 2 million cases by then if multiples to what I’m thinking.
Dam MJ America is well on track to have 2 million by months end. At the moment over 500,000 cases.
 

BFew

FUNKY
Mar 5, 2017
2,732
6,522
AFL Club
West Coast
herculez09 - 45m cases, 3.2m fatalities
Number37 - 25 million cases, 4 million deaths.
Ron The Bear - 13.1m infected/800,400 deaths
DIG - 9.6 million cases, 360,000 dead.
maryjames - 9 million infected 548,000 deaths.
deaneus - 8.2m cases, 550,000 dead
Better Loosen Up - 8M infected. 600k deaths
Crankyhawk - 7.5 million cases, 400000 dead
BFew - 6,999,999 cases, 369,999 deaths
Cash is King - 6.87 Mil, Deaths 337000
PonsfordMagpie - 6,751,710 cases, 405,102 deaths
its free real estate - 5 million infected, 200,000 deaths
Herne Hill Hammer - 5 million cases, 250,000 dead
Seeds - 5 million infected. 240 thousand deaths.
Run n Spread - 5,000,000 Deaths 175,000
TheMase - 3.585m cases, 334,883 deaths
15 days to go and we've just hit 2 million cases and declared deaths are closing in on 130,000.
Anyone still think that there original end of April 2020 guestimate is accurate?

 

PonsfordMagpie

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 3, 2013
6,041
10,727
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Chelsea
I think my death numbers are close, but I've overestimated the total number of cases by about 1 to 1.5 million.
 

deaneus

You wouldn’t believe me if I told you!!!
Nov 24, 2007
22,126
43,185
Trampoline venue
AFL Club
Adelaide
Other Teams
Covid-19
Yeah, when it comes to cases, will they have enough tests?

This is hard, way harder than last month. Fingers crossed the numbers are as low as God/Allah/the Flying Spaghetti Monster can make them, but we all know that isn't going to happen.

herculez09 - 45m cases, 3.2m fatalities
Number37 - 25 million cases, 4 million deaths.
Ron The Bear - 13.1m infected/800,400 deaths
DIG - 9.6 million cases, 360,000 dead.
maryjames - 9 million infected 548,000 deaths.
deaneus - 8.2m cases, 550,000 dead
Better Loosen Up - 8M infected. 600k deaths
Crankyhawk - 7.5 million cases, 400000 dead
BFew - 6,999,999 cases, 369,999 deaths
Cash is King - 6.87 Mil, Deaths 337000
PonsfordMagpie - 6,751,710 cases, 405,102 deaths
its free real estate - 5 million infected, 200,000 deaths
Herne Hill Hammer - 5 million cases, 250,000 dead
Seeds - 5 million infected. 240 thousand deaths.
Run n Spread - 5,000,000 Deaths 175,000
TheMase - 3.585m cases, 334,883 deaths

There's still time to enter!
1588291500621.png


Closest number of cases... congratulations to TheMase !

Closest number of deaths... its free real estate !


Great game everyone, well played ;)
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Seeds

Hall of Famer
Sep 15, 2007
34,490
29,808
I don't know
AFL Club
Geelong
We assumed high levels of detection of disease. Underestimated how little testing some 2nd/3rd world countries could do.
Possibly. But we didnt make that mistake in March and we all knew that testing was insufficient in march, particularly in developing. Testing has actually improved since then.
 

Top Bottom