It will be where the dart lands on the dartboard.
If there was a consistent set of standards we could very easily go fine or week. It's one thing the AFL needs to get better at. Show us all at the start of the 2021 season what level is a fine and what gets a suspension and keep to it.
I find it hard to believe the AFL will get consistency when they don't allow precedence to be cited at tribunals. When you can't go back and go "you gave this 1 week so this deserves 1 week" it just lends itself to the situation where supporters are guessing at what any penalties (if any) will be.