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Ladder Predictor

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This website has a good one:

http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php


This was mine:

1 Geelong 22 16 6 0 2408 1796 64 134.0
2 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2089 1847 60 113.1
4 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2142 1972 56 108.6
10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2021 1788 52 113.0
6 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 1977 1799 52 109.8
3 Hawthorn 22 13 9 0 2083 1934 52 107.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2182 2138 52 102.0
7 W Bulldogs 22 12 10 0 2259 2228 48 101.3

11 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2235 2127 44 105.0
5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2074 2143 44 96.7
13 Bris Lions 22 10 11 1 1966 2040 42 96.3
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2139 2288 40 93.4
12 St Kilda 22 9 13 0 1898 2033 36 93.3
14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2168 2689 24 80.6
15 Melbourne 22 5 17 0 1943 2313 20 84.0
16 Richmond 22 4 17 1 1974 2423 18 81.4

Post yours here to compare.

Seems a bit stiff only giving the Roos 2 more wins but they have a tough draw.
 
1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2424 1780 68 136.1
2 West Coast 22 17 5 0 2135 1801 68 118.5
4 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2144 1970 64 108.8
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2107 1910 60 110.3
6 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 2001 1775 48 112.7
10 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1993 1816 48 109.7
8 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2221 2206 48 100.6
9 Port Adel 22 11 11 0 2158 2162 44 99.8
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 W Bulldogs 22 11 11 0 2241 2246 44 99.7
5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2068 2149 44 96.2
12 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1928 2003 44 96.2
13 Bris Lions 22 10 11 1 1948 2058 42 94.6
11 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2189 2173 40 100.7
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1919 2337 16 82.1
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2152 2705 16 79.5
16 Richmond 22 2 19 1 1930 2467 10 78.2
 
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2438 1766 72 138.0
2 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2164 1772 60 122.1
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2169 1848 60 117.3
6 Adelaide 22 15 7 0 2037 1739 60 117.1
10 Sydney 22 14 8 0 2011 1798 56 111.8
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2168 2152 52 100.7
7 W Bulldogs 22 13 9 0 2247 2240 52 100.3
4 Collingwood 22 12 10 0 2096 2018 48 103.8

8 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2225 2202 48 101.0
5 Kangaroos 22 12 10 0 2070 2147 48 96.4
12 St Kilda 22 10 12 0 1886 2045 40 92.2
11 Fremantle 22 8 14 0 2137 2225 32 96.0
15 Melbourne 22 7 15 0 1991 2265 28 87.9
13 Bris Lions 22 6 15 1 1884 2122 26 88.7
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2142 2715 16 78.8
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1893 2504 6 75.5


without putting too much thought into it....

interesting to see the pies at 8th...dont think this will be true
 

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1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2478 1726 72 143.5
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2131 1886 60 112.9
4 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2126 1988 60 106.9
2 West Coast 22 14 8 0 2081 1855 56 112.1
10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2025 1784 52 113.5
8 Essendon 22 13 9 0 2283 2144 52 106.4
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2180 2140 52 101.8
6 Adelaide 22 11 10 1 1962 1814 46 108.1

11 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2211 2151 44 102.7
5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2092 2125 44 98.4
12 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1934 1997 44 96.8
7 W Bulldogs 22 10 11 1 2226 2261 42 98.4
13 Bris Lions 22 9 12 1 1942 2064 38 94.0
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1881 2375 16 79.2
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2102 2755 16 76.2
16 Richmond 22 2 19 1 1904 2493 10 76.3
 
Cuzz you're a clown. Last year you wrote off WC midseason after a few losses and look what you are doing again :rolleyes: Everyone knows they aren't in great form but no way will they finish that low once they get the hunger back.
 
North will win 2-3 games for the rest of the year according to all you. Yep, we've been winning on shinboner spirit and we have no talent.
 
# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2450 1754 72 139.6
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2149 1868 60 115.0
4 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2160 1954 60 110.5
2 West Coast 22 13 9 0 2093 1843 52 113.5
7 W Bulldogs 22 13 9 0 2253 2234 52 100.8
8 Essendon 22 13 9 0 2215 2212 52 100.1
10 Sydney 22 12 10 0 2022 1787 48 113.1
6 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 1971 1805 48 109.1
9 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2140 2180 48 98.1
11 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2201 2161 44 101.8
12 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1938 1993 44 97.2
5 Kangaroos 22 10 12 0 2050 2167 40 94.6
13 Bris Lions 22 9 12 1 1930 2076 38 92.9
15 Melbourne 22 5 17 0 1955 2301 20 84.9
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2126 2731 16 77.8
16 Richmond 22 2 19 1 1905 2492 10 76.4
 
Cuzz you're a clown. Last year you wrote off WC midseason after a few losses and look what you are doing again :rolleyes: Everyone knows they aren't in great form but no way will they finish that low once they get the hunger back.

Hunger? what hunger?

Yeah I know

Oh well

who cares
 
Even though we have moved to 2nd after the weekend - we could have spaced ourselves from the rest of the 8.

In fact, we are only one game clear of 9th and TWO games clear of 10th spot? We are in the fight now for a finals spot, instead of contending for top spot with the Pussies after our poor efforts against the Saints and now the Lions.

...and sorry, Geelong Fan Subi will always be an intimidating ground, it has been since 1987!

Against the Saints, you could see the Eagles had been through a heavy training block, they looked so leg heavy. The Lions effort however was a case of lack of mental attitude and a malfunctioning forward line.

I guess we should have seen the warning signs against Hawthorn earlier in the season - we had more than 400 posessions, more inside 50s, dominated the centre square and we lost the match.

Same with Essendon, we should have won that game by five goals at least. Again all the stat indicators said we should have won the game.

Even with Chad Jones not converting again last night like we have all season - another one of our issues is we cant kick straight and transfer our dominance of play on the scoreboard.

My real concern is I think we have a tougher road to the finals now than the other top 4 aspirants.

...and being brutally honest, we need to finish top-2 for a realistic crack at the flag. We need home finals.

Our Road Ahead:
Port (AAMI)
Sydney (Subi)
Bulldogs (TD)
Fremantle (Subi)
Roos (TD)
Richmond (Subi)
St Kilda (TD)
Essendon (Subi)
Tough run for us, we could easily struggle in every game here bar one or two Subi matches. I would tip with improvement a 5-3 finish.

Adelaide:
St Kilda (TD)
Fremantle (AAMI)
Essendon (TD)
Port (AAMI)
Geelong (Skilled)
Bulldogs (AAMI)
Brisbane (AAMI)
Collingwood (TD)
6-2 Finish I think with losses probably to the pies and cats. May rue the loss to the Eagles at home.

Geelong:
Collingwood (MCG)
Bulldogs (TD)
Fremantle (Subi)
Richmond (Skilled)
Adelaide (Skilled)
Roos (TD)
Port (Skilled)
Brisbane (Gabba)
Certainties for top spot. Of course we know with Geelong their test will come finals time. 7-1 or even 8 wins is possible, if not probable.

Hawthorn:
Richmond (MCG)
St Kilda (TD)
Roos (Aurora)
Essendon (MCG)
Brisbane (MCG)
Port (Aurora)
Bulldogs (TD)
Sydney (SCG)
Fairly easy run for the Hawks, 6-2 with possible tough last two games to finish off into the finals. Their young bodies may stumble earlier but a Top 4 beckons.

Collingwood:
Geelong (MCG)
Essendon (MCG)
Brisbane (MCG)
Carlton (MCG)
Richmond (MCG)
Melbourne (MCG)
Sydney (MCG)
Adelaide (TD)
What an easy, charmed run at a finals venue to boot for the pies. 6-2 is a conservative estimate here. May well go 7-1 if they can beat the Cats at the MCG. Adelaide will be tough.

Bulldogs:
Essendon (TD)
Geelong (TD)
Eagles (TD)
St Kilda (TD)
Melbourne (TD)
Adelaide (AAMI)
Hawthorn (TD)
Roos (TD)
Probably as tough a run as the Eagles, may well split these games 50-50.

So with that in Mind, I can see the finish as:
Cats
Pies
Hawthorn
Eagles
Adelaide
Bulldogs
(Fight for rest)

Bottom line is, Eagles need to run hard and strong now and if only we had beaten StK or Bris, we would have snapped a top two easy. Not to be!
 
I went with my instinct and refused to change it even though it ended up like this...

Code:
1 Geelong 22 16  6  0 2481 1723 64 143.9  
4 Collingwood 22 16  6  0 2242 1872 64 119.7  
5 Kangaroos 22 16  6  0 2180 2037 64 107.0  
6 Adelaide 22 15  7  0 2090 1686 60 123.9  
2 West Coast 22 15  7  0 2148 1788 60 120.1  
3 Hawthorn 22 14  8  0 2148 1869 56 114.9 
10 Sydney 22 13  9  0 2071 1738 52 119.1  
9 Port Adel 22 11 11  0 2153 2167 44  99.3 

-------------------------------------------

 8 Essendon 22 11 11  0 2185 2242 44  97.4  
7 W Bulldogs 22 10 12  0 2195 2292 40  95.7 
12 St Kilda 22 10 12  0 1916 2015 40  95.0 
13 Bris Lions 22  9 12  1 1948 2058 38  94.6 
11 Fremantle 22  7 15  0 2078 2284 28  90.9 
15 Melbourne 22  6 16  0 1881 2375 24  79.2 
14 Carlton 22  4 18  0 2037 2820 16  72.2 
16 Richmond 22  2 19  1 1805 2592 10  69.6
 
Heres mine:

# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2442 1762 72 138.5
2 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2129 1807 60 117.8
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2131 1886 60 112.9
4 Collingwood 22 15 7 0 2108 2006 60 105.0
6 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2013 1763 56 114.1
5 Kangaroos 22 13 9 0 2094 2123 52 98.6
10 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1981 1828 48 108.3
7 W Bulldogs 22 12 10 0 2229 2258 48 98.7

9 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2140 2180 48 98.1
12 St Kilda 22 11 11 0 1944 1987 44 97.8
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2179 2248 40 96.9
11 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2199 2163 36 101.6
13 Bris Lions 22 7 14 1 1918 2088 30 91.8
15 Melbourne 22 5 17 0 1961 2295 20 85.4
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2164 2693 16 80.3
16 Richmond 22 3 18 1 1926 2471 14 77.9

No one will catch Geelong. Collingwood will finish well, purely because of their ridiculous run home.
 
Running my ladder predictor effort though:

1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2475 1729 72 143.1
2 West Coast 22 16 6 0 2149 1787 64 120.2
4 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2178 1936 64 112.5
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2156 1861 60 115.8
6 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2025 1751 56 115.6
10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2027 1782 52 113.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2198 2122 52 103.5
7 W Bulldogs 22 13 9 0 2259 2228 52 101.3

11 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2185 2177 44 100.3
5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2092 2125 44 98.4
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2179 2248 40 96.9
13 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1940 2066 34 93.9
12 St Kilda 22 8 14 0 1868 2063 32 90.5
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1901 2355 16 80.7
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2072 2785 16 74.3
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 1854 2543 6 72.9

We shall see eh!
 

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Code:
1     Geelong         22     16      6      0     2384     1820     64     130.9
3     Hawthorn        22     15      7      0     2095     1922     60     109.0
10    Sydney          22     15      7      0     1981     1828     60     108.3
7     W Bulldogs      22     14      8      0     2253     2234     56     100.8
6     Adelaide        22     13      9      0     1971     1805     52     109.1
4     Collingwood     22     13      9      0     2096     2018     52     103.8
5     Kangaroos       22     13      9      0     2116     2101     52     100.7
9     Port Adel       22     12     10      0     2152     2168     48      99.2
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11    Fremantle       22     11     11      0     2195     2167     44     101.2
12    St Kilda        22     11     11      0     1916     2015     44      95.0
2     West Coast      22     10     12      0     2041     1895     40     107.7
8     Essendon        22     10     12      0     2197     2230     40      98.5
13    Bris Lions      22      9     12      1     1954     2052     38      95.2
14    Carlton         22      6     16      0     2224     2633     24      84.4
15    Melbourne       22      5     17      0     1973     2283     20      86.4
16    Richmond        22      2     19      1     2010     2387     10      84.2

Will go close. :)
 
Code:
1 	Geelong 	22 	18 	 4 	 0 	2481 	1723 	72 	143.9
 2 	West Coast 	22 	17 	 5 	 0 	2182 	1754 	68 	124.4
 3 	Hawthorn 	22 	15 	 7 	 0 	2135 	1882 	60 	113.4
 7 	W Bulldogs 	22 	15 	 7 	 0 	2301 	2186 	60 	105.2
10 	Sydney 	        22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2070 	1739 	56 	119.0
 6 	Adelaide 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2035 	1741 	56 	116.8
 4 	Collingwood 	22 	14 	 8 	 0 	2142 	1972 	56 	108.6
 5 	Kangaroos 	22 	13 	 9 	 0 	2128 	2089 	52 	101.8

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 9 	Port Adel 	22 	12 	10 	 0 	2158 	2162 	48 	 99.8
 8 	Essendon 	22 	11 	11 	 0 	2238 	2189 	44 	102.2
12 	St Kilda 	22 	 9 	13 	 0 	1864 	2067 	36 	 90.1
13 	Bris Lions 	22 	 7 	14 	 1 	1906 	2100 	30 	 90.7
11 	Fremantle 	22 	 7 	15 	 0 	2101 	2261 	28 	 92.9
15 	Melbourne 	22 	 4 	18 	 0 	1913 	2343 	16 	 81.6
14 	Carlton 	22 	 4 	18 	 0 	2126 	2731 	16 	 77.8
16 	Richmond 	22 	 1 	20 	 1 	1778 	2619 	 6 	 67.8

Essendon prob a bit unlucky there​
 
This website has a good one:

http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php


This was mine:

1 Geelong 22 16 6 0 2408 1796 64 134.0
2 West Coast 22 15 7 0 2089 1847 60 113.1
4 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2142 1972 56 108.6
10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2021 1788 52 113.0
6 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 1977 1799 52 109.8
3 Hawthorn 22 13 9 0 2083 1934 52 107.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2182 2138 52 102.0
7 W Bulldogs 22 12 10 0 2259 2228 48 101.3

11 Fremantle 22 11 11 0 2235 2127 44 105.0
5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2074 2143 44 96.7
13 Bris Lions 22 10 11 1 1966 2040 42 96.3
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2139 2288 40 93.4
12 St Kilda 22 9 13 0 1898 2033 36 93.3
14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2168 2689 24 80.6
15 Melbourne 22 5 17 0 1943 2313 20 84.0
16 Richmond 22 4 17 1 1974 2423 18 81.4

Post yours here to compare.

Seems a bit stiff only giving the Roos 2 more wins but they have a tough draw.

Freo (A), Melbourne, Hawthorn, Brisbane (A), WC (H), Geelong, Carlton, Doggies

Not the worst draw.

If we beat the Dees, Blues and Doggs, and get 3/5 Wins from WC, Bris, Geelong, Hawks and Freo we should be there abouts the top 4.

probably only need to beat the first three, and win 1/5 iffish games to make the 8.
 
# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2608 1596 72 163.4
3 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2125 1892 56 112.3
2 West Coast 22 14 8 0 2071 1865 56 111.0
12 St Kilda 22 14 8 0 2034 1897 56 107.2
4 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2126 1988 56 106.9
10 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1979 1830 48 108.1
6 Adelaide 22 12 10 0 1918 1858 48 103.2
7 W Bulldogs 22 12 10 0 2241 2246 48 99.7

5 Kangaroos 22 12 10 0 2082 2135 48 97.5
9 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2133 2187 48 97.5
13 Bris Lions 22 10 11 1 1925 2081 42 92.5
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2161 2266 40 95.3
11 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2153 2209 36 97.4
14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2174 2683 24 81.0
16 Richmond 22 3 18 1 1939 2458 14 78.8
15 Melbourne 22 3 19 0 1889 2367 12 79.8



Would probably swap the pies and saints. Surprised they made my top 4, but just called the games as I saw it. Expect a logjam into the 8 though. Cats - St. Kilda and Hawks - Eagles finals would be great though, almost hope my ladder predictor is correct.
 
# Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2396 1808 72 132.5
2 West Coast 22 16 6 0 2077 1859 64 111.7
6 Adelaide 22 15 7 0 1983 1793 60 110.5
3 Hawthorn 22 14 8 0 2089 1928 56 108.3
10 Sydney 22 14 8 0 1975 1834 56 107.6
4 Collingwood 22 14 8 0 2102 2012 56 104.4
7 W Bulldogs 22 13 9 0 2247 2240 52 100.3
9 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2152 2168 48 99.2

8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2197 2230 40 98.5
12 St Kilda 22 10 12 0 1910 2021 40 94.5
11 Fremantle 22 9 13 0 2183 2179 36 100.1
5 Kangaroos 22 9 13 0 2092 2125 36 98.4
13 Bris Lions 22 7 14 1 1942 2064 30 94.0
15 Melbourne 22 7 15 0 1985 2271 28 87.4
14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2224 2633 24 84.4
16 Richmond 22 1 20 1 2004 2393 6 83.7


I reckon this will be pretty close.. main game im unsure about are collingwood geelong this weekend.. if collingwood win that theyll make the 4
 
Cuzz you're a clown. Last year you wrote off WC midseason after a few losses and look what you are doing again :rolleyes: Everyone knows they aren't in great form but no way will they finish that low once they get the hunger back.

Well, if it worked last year I can see no reason for Cuzz not to try it again.
 

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#Team Pl W L D PF PAPt Perc
1 Geelong 22 17 5 0 2479 1725 68 143.7
4 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2180 1934 64 112.7
3 Hawthorn 22 15 7 0 2149 1868 60 115.0
2 West Coast 22 14 8 0 2089 1847 56 113.1
6 Adelaide 22 13 9 0 2001 1775 52 112.7
9 Port Adel 22 13 9 0 2124 2196 52 96.7
10 Sydney 22 12 10 0 1993 1816 48 109.7
8 Essendon 22 12 10 0 2203 2224 48 99.0
7 W Bulldogs 22 12 10 0 2223 2264 48 98.1
5 Kangaroos 22 11 11 0 2080 2137 44 97.3
11 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2177 2185 40 99.6
12 St Kilda 22 8 14 0 1856 2075 32 89.4
13 Bris Lions 22 7 14 1 1900 2106 30 90.2
15 Melbourne 22 7 15 0 1991 2265 28 87.9
14 Carlton 22 6 16 0 2188 2669 24 81.9
16 Richmond 22 2 19 1 1925 2472 10 77.8

Thats what I got its very tight so every win from now counts
 
Damn people have been harsh on Kangas and Essendon (although I agree with the latter)

Did the ladder predictor a couple of days ago...off the top of my head it was something like:

Geelong
Hawks
West Coast
Collingwood
Adelaide
Kangaroos
Essendon
Sydney (WB equal but not good enough %)
 
North will win 2-3 games for the rest of the year according to all you. Yep, we've been winning on shinboner spirit and we have no talent.
Essendon fans are notorious for their deluded predictions.

Nothing of concern.

Our form is good, we aren't umpire reliant and we win by more than a kick every now and then.

The issue of the majority under-rating our form/list has been a constant since Wayne's depature.

Evidently in the minds of the clueless, we're still bound to The King.

As I say, nothing of concern.

We win games of football. We don't lose to eventuate success we keep winning and recruit well (for the most part) to sustain it. Our record since 1993 attests to this.

We'll keep winning while the others keep whinging. Sounds fair to me.
 
Predicted Ladder # Team Pl W L D PF PA Pt Perc
1 Geelong 22 18 4 0 2479 1725 72 143.7
3 Hawthorn 22 16 6 0 2165 1852 64 116.9
4 Collingwood 22 16 6 0 2196 1918 64 114.4
2 West Coast 22 14 8 0 2117 1819 56 116.3
6 Adelaide 22 14 8 0 2007 1769 56 113.4
10 Sydney 22 13 9 0 2031 1778 52 114.2
5 Kangaroos 22 13 9 0 2116 2101 52 100.7
9 Port Adel 22 12 10 0 2158 2162 48 99.8
7 W Bulldogs 22 12 10 0 2235 2252 48 99.2
11 Fremantle 22 10 12 0 2171 2191 40 99.0
8 Essendon 22 10 12 0 2173 2254 40 96.4
12 St Kilda 22 9 13 0 1892 2039 36 92.7
13 Bris Lions 22 8 13 1 1926 2080 34 92.5
15 Melbourne 22 4 18 0 1907 2349 16 81.1
14 Carlton 22 4 18 0 2108 2749 16 76.6
16 Richmond 22 2 19 1 1877 2520 10 74.4
 
Geelong.....72..152.0
West Coast..60..121.3
Sydney......56..130.0
Hawthorn....56..117.4
Collingwood.56..110.0
W Bulldogs..52..101.3
Essendon....52...99.7
Adelaide....48..108.0

St Kilda....48...96.4
Port Adel...44...96.1
Kangaroos...44...95.1
Fremantle...40..100.3
Bris Lions..34...88.6
Melbourne...16...80.4
Carlton.....16...77.2
Richmond....10...67.3

Finals First Week

QF1: Geelong.....vs...Hawthorn...@ MCG....Friday Night....7.10pm
QF2: West Coast..vs...Sydney.....@ Subi...Saturday Night..7.40pm
EF1: Collingwood vs...Adelaide...@ MCG....Saturday Arvo...2.10pm
EF2: W. Bulldogs.vs...Essendon...@ TD.....Sunday Night....4.10pm
 

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