The Run Home 2025 - Project Your Optimism or Pessimism Here

[rdhopkins2]

Hard to travel west and Freo are a good side this year. Hawks with the upset 10pt win.



Fortress Tassie. Power failure inbound. Hawks by 22pts.


A home game against the Blues who have been woeful this year. We can’t take it for granted but this should be a win of 10 goals plus.



Crows in Adelaide is a huge game. Hawks will he underdogs. Hawks by 1pt.


No fear, the Pie destroyers are here! Blockbuster game. Hawks underdogs. Won’t matter. Hawks by 33pts in a boilover. Ginnivan 5 goals.



Demons have been disappointing. Play well and we win by 10 goals plus. Hawks by 75pts.


Massive game at the Gabba! Hawks underdogs again but we will find a way to get it down. Hawks by 11pts.

Let’s do this. Make it happen, Hawkers! A good run in to the finals working us up to finals grade form.

 

[Dewyyyyy]

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Hard to travel west and Freo are a good side this year. Hawks with the upset 10pt win.


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Fortress Tassie. Power failure inbound. Hawks by 22pts.

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A home game against the Blues who have been woeful this year. We can’t take it for granted but this should be a win of 10 goals plus.


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Crows in Adelaide is a huge game. Hawks will he underdogs. Hawks by 1pt.

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No fear, the Pie destroyers are here! Blockbuster game. Hawks underdogs. Won’t matter. Hawks by 33pts in a boilover. Ginnivan 5 goals.


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Demons have been disappointing. Play well and we win by 10 goals plus. Hawks by 75pts.
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Massive game at the Gabba! Hawks underdogs again but we will find a way to get it down. Hawks by 11pts.

Let’s do this. Make it happen, Hawkers! A good run in to the finals working us up to finals grade form.

I can see Hawthorn playing well enough to win all of these, but if one is to drop it’s Brisbane at the Gabba most likely

 

[The Jet From Poowong]

You have gone too conservative with some of those

 

[kazzooka]

Mick Malthouse vibes. "I looked through the fixture, and I can't see us losing a game"

But also, 1 point win?

No way any of those sides are getting within 20 goals of us now that Calsher is back.

 

[extractasam]

Rd is 1st out of about 900 people on Bigfooty tipping so he’s got the runs on the board. Can you do the finals series tips while you’re here ?

 

[Gene Simmons]

FREO
CROWS
PIES
LIONS

We'll need to win at least 2 of these to play finals

If we win at least 3, we'll make Top 4

If we win just 1 good chance of missing finals

If we lose all 4 of these, we won't play finals

*Assuming we win against Blues, Power & Demons

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Tough run.

I expect us to win Freo, Port, Carlton, Melbourne.
We all know bloody port grow like to grow an extra leg when they come up against us, so we better be really switched on.

Adelaide is a 50/50 we generally play well at AO, but crows are good, especially at home. Tough
Pies, who knows.
Brissy away Loss.

 

[Elhawko]

FREO
CROWS
PIES
LIONS

We'll need to win at least 2 of these to play finals

If we win at least 3, we'll make Top 4

If we win just 1 good chance of missing finals

If we lose all 4 of these, we won't play finals

*Assuming we win against Blues, Power & Demons

You sure about us being likely to miss finals if we only win one game against the top four sides left in our run home?

If we beat Freo n Saturday, we go two games ahead of them with a 10% buffer. If we then go on to beat only the three lower teams left in our draw, we'll end up on 60 points.

Freo is on 40 points now. So if we can beat them (if!) then they would need to win all of their last 6 games to go past us on points, or win five games and catch up 10% in the process. They still have to play Brisbane, Collingwood and the Western Bulldogs, with the last two games away. I don't think they can win all of these games, so their most realistic chance is probably to win five of the six and boost their percentage in the process. Possible but I think if we get past them on Saturday the more likely scenario is we make it and they miss out (without even looking at the other teams sitting 5-9).

 

[LRobbo]

Freo- tough, the weather will make it a slog, think we have enough to win it

Port- win, rarely lose in Launceston and I doubt they play the type of footy they did in April again.

Carlton- win % booster

Adelaide- tough, well balanced side and hard to beat at home but winnable.

Collingwood- think their bubble will burst. Flogged us last time but they were the best they’ve been, hawks the worst, complete polar opposites that night. We win the return bout

Melbourne- they are mud, probably be checked out by then. Win % booster

Lions- a loss here, have been worse at home than on the road though.

I think we go 5-2 home knocking on a top 4 spot

 

[Hawkspot]

If we lose all 4 against the other top 9 sides then we probably deserve to miss finals. Win 1 and we’re a chance to sneak in, the other sides won’t win all the games they should.

If we can win a few and sneak in to 4th, we’ll get at least two finals at the MCG given it’ll be pies top. That’s always the goal.

 

[TheFourPillars]

If we lose all 4 against the other top 9 sides then we probably deserve to miss finals. Win 1 and we’re a chance to sneak in, the other sides won’t win all the games they should.

If we can win a few and sneak in to 4th, we’ll get at least two finals at the MCG given it’ll be pies top. That’s always the goal.

This not accurate other teams may win a game or 2 against the top 9 sides and lose to bottom 9 sides and still be behind us. In the end it's the number of wins that matters

 

[badgrill]

 

[Elhawko]

I posted somewhere that this weekend we wanted the following results:

We beat Freo.
Cats beat GWS.
Pies beat Suns, and
Scrays beat Adelaide.

Not one came out our way. Not one! Sob.

 

[BuddyHawk]

I posted somewhere that this weekend we wanted the following results:

We beat Freo.
Cats beat GWS.
Pies beat Suns, and
Scrays beat Adelaide.

Not one came out our way. Not one! Sob.

The Crows beating the Dogs is a better result for us in terms of making the 8 (but not top 4). If next week's results go to script - eg we beat Port and the Lions win against the Dogs - we'll be two games inside the 8.

Agree on the other results.

 

[hk89]

I posted somewhere that this weekend we wanted the following results:

We beat Freo.
Cats beat GWS.
Pies beat Suns, and
Scrays beat Adelaide.

Not one came out our way. Not one! Sob.

Yes, we'd be almost certain make finals if the first 3 happened. Adelaide beating dogs has pros and cons, could be handy depending on how the rest of the season goes.

Still think we can scrape into 8th spot on percentage if we avoid getting hammered and only get wins against Port, Carlton and Demons. We've got some good ins coming up, so still hopeful of finals, but this has probably blown top 4 without us winning 3 games we are likely to go in as underdogs for (Adelaide, Pies, Lions).

 

[Nash88]

Port - Must win now and I think we do win the game down in Tassie.

Carlton - Will defeat Carlton at the G.

Adelaide - Not a chance at AO. They will be filthy at dropping their last game against us and genuinely think this will be a touch up.

Collingwood - After years of having their pants pulled down by us they will be chomping at the bit to have another crack. Unless a top two spot is secured and the cue is slightly put in the rack I can’t see it happening. This season we are clearly not at their level.

Melbourne - They will have checked out by this point. Hawks win.

Brisbane- Reigning premier warms up for another tilt and we lose this fairly comfortably.

We will win 14 games and scrape into 8th. Will travel to the Gold Coast for their first ever final and be out in week 1.

 

[I wanna pash Nash]

We play 3 teams outside the top 9 and 3 of the top 4. We win the ones we should and we'll end up on 14 wins. Hard to see us missing finals with that.

Think we'll need to win 2 out of the 3 against the teams above us for top 4. Perks are we play 2 of the teams we'll be fighting for 2-4 on the ladder.

I genuinely thing almost anyone in the top 9 could win it this year.

 

[The Golden Glenferrie]

Port - Must win now and I think we do win the game down in Tassie.

Carlton - Will defeat Carlton at the G.

Adelaide - Not a chance at AO. They will be filthy at dropping their last game against us and genuinely think this will be a touch up.

Collingwood - After years of having their pants pulled down by us they will be chomping at the bit to have another crack. Unless a top two spot is secured and the cue is slightly put in the rack I can’t see it happening. This season we are clearly not at their level.

Melbourne - They will have checked out by this point. Hawks win.

Brisbane- Reigning premier warms up for another tilt and we lose this fairly comfortably.

We will win 14 games and scrape into 8th. Will travel to the Gold Coast for their first ever final and be out in week 1.

Port, Carlton and Melbourne all troubled us this year. Those are not gimmes.

 

[MC_9]

We play 3 teams outside the top 9 and 3 of the top 4. We win the ones we should and we'll end up on 14 wins. Hard to see us missing finals with that.

Think we'll need to win 2 out of the 3 against the teams above us for top 4. Perks are we play 2 of the teams we'll be fighting for 2-4 on the ladder.

I genuinely thing almost anyone in the top 9 could win it this year.

All depends on how the other top 9 teams go. Genuinely a year you could get 14 wins and miss out.

Key games (other than ours). Gws vs Sydney and Freo vs Brisbane in Perth. If Sydney beat Gws, and Brisbane beat Freo we should be safe. If they don't we are a good chance of missing.

 

[The Golden Glenferrie]

Would be a nice year to have the wildcard

 

[rei154]

Port- Must win. Scariest game of the lot for mine, no excuses in Tassie with their injuries but they have to wood over us right now.

Carlton- Must win, hopefully Daisey is back and hopefully we really rally from here.

Adelaide- Might be the hardest game left, I can see us pipping them if Day is in and firing, and I can see us getting slogged if he is slow out the games.

Collingwood- Vengeance game. 50-50 for mine depending on our attitude. This will be a game where we will massively miss Weddle

Melbourne- Another bogey team in a sense. Should be checked out but no guarantee, must go hard.

Lions- Unlikely to challenge them up there.

4/6 wins imo, dropping to Adelaide and lions, but upsetting Collingwood.

 

[hfc70]

We will win 14 games and scrape into 8th. Will travel to the Gold Coast for their first ever final and be out in week 1.

Well that’s that then. See you all next year.

 

[Billyc]

I think we are in trouble. Needed to win last night. Can’t slip on any of Port Blues and Melbourne (against two of those sides are record is poor) and will need to also win at least 1 of Crows, Pies, Lions, in all of which we will start firm underdogs. I’ve seen nothing all year to think we can beat the best sides

 

[kirbatron]

I'm easy. if we're good enough we'll get there. if not we won't.

do our best to get more talent over off season

 

[CobberRodgers]

I'm easy. if we're good enough we'll get there. if not we won't.

do our best to get more talent over off season

Spot on. At least we know exactly what we need to address. And we’ve got the draft capital to get it done.