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Autopsy AFL 2025 Semi Final - Crows v Hawks Fri Sept 12th 7:40pm EST/7:10pm CST (AO)
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Lunchtime
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Since 1980, only one team has finished on top of the ladder at the end of the Home & Away rounds (minor Premier) and gone out in straights sets:
1983: North Melbourne.
Semi Final
Preliminary Final
It doesn't affect the likelihood of either team winning though. It's a historical quirk.
For starters only the current finals system is relevant. Sure it's unlikely the team in 1st loses 2 home finals in a row, but maybe Adelaide are the worst top of the table team this century (simple win/loss or % can't determine that) and/or Collingwood (4th) + Hawthorn (8th) were the toughest set of opponents 1st has faced in that time.
It is pretty likely Adelaide are one of the least, if not THE least finals experienced teams that finished 1st this century.
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VinnieB
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I think Hawks 4 goals + is the easy bet.
fpm84
Premium Gold
Crows were appalling last week but still in the game with five minutes left, and if Thilthorpe didn't commit that error, reckon it would have gone down to the wire.
Damn. 60% of bigfooty voters think Hawks will win yet crows are favourites on sportsbet. Get on the hawks.
My feeling is crows will win. Just. But I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong again. Hopefully not tonight though
My feeling is crows will win. Just. But I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong again. Hopefully not tonight though
It's been a hard one to pick. I'm going with the Crows by a point despite my head telling me Hawthorn are a better team. Home ground advantage might be just enough.Damn. 60% of bigfooty voters think Hawks will win yet crows are favourites on sportsbet. Get on the hawks.
My feeling is crows will win. Just. But I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong again. Hopefully not tonight though
Strapping Young Lad
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Not sure it’s the smart one though.
Crows won’t be as bad as they were last week. Home crowd. Point to prove.
Thrillthorpe7
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Last week was our only loss above 20 points for the season too, doesn’t seem a super smart bet to think this will be more than 2-3 goals in it
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Good luck to the Crows tonight, a massive flogging would be much appreciated.
Expecting it to be close but finals can blow out if a team rolls the dice late to try and win if they get a few goals behind.
Expecting a loss hoping for a win.
Doubt the winner gets anywhere near Geelong next week.
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JackHiscoxWasFast
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Hawks just look too dangerous I50. A slower crows midfield also helps their cause. It will be contested but just too much firepower.
Hawks by 17.
Hawks by 17.
fpm84
Premium Gold
Would be a coin flip if we play you.
Think we could account for the Crows by a few goals at the ‘G.
fpm84
Premium Gold
Some close games though including this year. And in a prelim with plenty of nerves on both sides anything can happen.
Interesting to think how both teams have evolved since Easter Monday. Sicily and Stewart were both severely hampered - basically liabilities - but have bounced back to be close to their best at the right time of year.
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Damn. 60% of bigfooty voters think Hawks will win yet crows are favourites on sportsbet. Get on the hawks.
My feeling is crows will win. Just. But I've been wrong before and I'll be wrong again. Hopefully not tonight though
If both sides are at 100% I imagine we lose.
If we can keep Dawson quiet and Barras and Battle keep their talls quiet we win.
Don’t need to. You need to own your comment about Adelaide, not us.
The fact you needed to say it tells me a lot about you.
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