I've had my worst week all season lol.
Still up overall but of course both the games I doubled down on were the ones that lost...
Cricket Betting. Best Cricket Tipster in the land in here.
- Thread starter Austoraisetheurn
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Still up overall but of course both the games I doubled down on were the ones that lost...
The worst. Both morning games...hmm
Stars at $1.80
Their form has been shaky all year but no worse than the Heat. Back at the MCG too, they still have more depth than Brisbane.
They've burnt me all year but still backing them tonight.
Their form has been shaky all year but no worse than the Heat. Back at the MCG too, they still have more depth than Brisbane.
They've burnt me all year but still backing them tonight.
Sixers and Scorchers should be too good for their respective opponents, and would think they want to be playing into good form coming into finals.
Odds are not fantastic though at the moment, both around $1.61
Odds are not fantastic though at the moment, both around $1.61
$50 SGM Marsh 10+ runs and scorchers win @1.90 Sportsbet
Risk is Scorchers were dogshit last game but have got Marsh, Munro and Inglis back
Marsh is a risk after a short layoff but he is the form player of pretty much the world in this format
Risk is Scorchers were dogshit last game but have got Marsh, Munro and Inglis back
Marsh is a risk after a short layoff but he is the form player of pretty much the world in this format
If that's legit this will be the most intense last 9 overs of that guys life
For the punters who are curious how much weight the BBL has for betting markets, as of the 14th over this current game already has $82.5 million dollars matched.
Pretty crazy, and this is just a random Monday night game.
Pretty crazy, and this is just a random Monday night game.
Comfortable win
Those odds cannot be right, they are gonna be voided
As a comparison I tried marsh 20+ Munro 10+ and scorchees win on Sportsbet pre match, it was paying 2.30
I thought the marsh 10+ and scorchers win was generous at 1.90
(1.25 and 1.51 respectively pre multi)
Marsh 20+ was 1.62 at SB
Lads have cooked it hard with those odds
They will be, human error or some bs. Bookies shouldn't be allowed to do it, honour the *ing bet.
I have no idea how those odds could even be calculated though
they are so insanely wrong that its baffling
Would like if someone has a follow up on it, see what Lads offer as compensation
I'd imagine as well some sort of odds boost was involved.
Have to be a crazy boost
If we just take for face value odds of
Mash 20+ @2
Munro 10+ @2
Scorchers to win @1.60
And I'm being generous with all of those odds
2 x 2 x 1.6 = 6.4
(got to remember these SGMs affect each other so in theory should be lower anyway, as in Scorchers more likely to win if Marsh 20+)
Then it somehow gets to 100ish?
Thats a boost of like 15x
I wonder if anyone posted a follow up for it, keen to see what they were offered
Jeez if they paid out some with those odds then I would be chasing that up, not fair for them to pay out some and not others
Also lol at not cancelling the losing bets, man Lads is scum
Dont have a problem with them paying out a few nickel and dime desperates but if they're not also cancelling the losing bets then they will find themselves with a fair bit to answer for if anyone bothered filing a dispute
Exactly
I was on that no player to get 40+ disposals in AFL a couple seasons ago at insane odds. Sportsbet pricing error BUT
They kept the market open all week (an 'obvious' error would be picked up quick)
Didn't cancel losing bets, only winning bets
Paid out some smaller winners or gave bonus bets to them
In the end the NTRC or whoever it is ruled they needed to pay everyone out in full...
Thunder and Sixers today for me as individual bets.
Hoping to finish the season strong after a poor final week.
Not gonna touch the Stars/Canes game as I reckon that's a lottery game as a dead rubber.
Hoping to finish the season strong after a poor final week.
Not gonna touch the Stars/Canes game as I reckon that's a lottery game as a dead rubber.
This bloke is a genius
I ended up jumping on the Stars pre game after I saw half the Canes bowling lineup was out.
Lucky late find, good end to the regular season winning 3/3 today.
Lucky late find, good end to the regular season winning 3/3 today.
End of regular season results for the BBL.
As you can see, most of the profit was made in the first half of the season, and then just basically a break even hold for the second half.
Results were harder to predict as the second half had more COVID chaos, some teams had different levels of need to win/motivation, and we saw significant team changes in the second half.
Bet on 47 out of 55 possible games, so pretty much had a go at everything, with a pretty solid win rate.
Happy with that ROI made in just over 6 weeks.
Finals will be interesting, obviously much harder to predict games as every team remaining can play well on their day. A number of teams have losses of key players, and a number have key players returning as well.
The biggest net gain I can see is Adelaide Strikers, gaining Head and Carey is potentially game changing, although they no longer have Rashid Khan, but they have won a few without him already.
The Scorchers and Sixers are the two best, most reliable teams in it, and gain Richardson and Lyon as well only further strengthens their claims for the championship.
The Thunder do gain a lot in Khawaja, but they have lost key strike bowlers recently, particularly Hasnain who was both a key wicket taker and fairly economical when needed.
The Canes have amazing batting on their day, and the addition of Boland in his form is also a huge get. But can he translate test form to T20 form? He has not always been the best T20 bowler.
While Strikers have the best net gain, I feel the best balanced team with both bat and ball especially is the Schorchers. Not only do they have the best individual T20 batsman in Mitch Marsh, but Richardson only adds to one of, if not the best, bowling line ups in the BBL.
They are my tip to win, although not worth taking at $2.32, better off backing them in each of the individual games rather than $2.32 from here.
The value bets are the Thunder at $7.60 and Strikers at $15.5
Half a unit on each is not a bad play. Those odds represent them as a 13% and 6% chance each. While I don't think either will win, they are probably a better chance than that.
As you can see, most of the profit was made in the first half of the season, and then just basically a break even hold for the second half.
Results were harder to predict as the second half had more COVID chaos, some teams had different levels of need to win/motivation, and we saw significant team changes in the second half.
Bet on 47 out of 55 possible games, so pretty much had a go at everything, with a pretty solid win rate.
Happy with that ROI made in just over 6 weeks.
Finals will be interesting, obviously much harder to predict games as every team remaining can play well on their day. A number of teams have losses of key players, and a number have key players returning as well.
The biggest net gain I can see is Adelaide Strikers, gaining Head and Carey is potentially game changing, although they no longer have Rashid Khan, but they have won a few without him already.
The Scorchers and Sixers are the two best, most reliable teams in it, and gain Richardson and Lyon as well only further strengthens their claims for the championship.
The Thunder do gain a lot in Khawaja, but they have lost key strike bowlers recently, particularly Hasnain who was both a key wicket taker and fairly economical when needed.
The Canes have amazing batting on their day, and the addition of Boland in his form is also a huge get. But can he translate test form to T20 form? He has not always been the best T20 bowler.
While Strikers have the best net gain, I feel the best balanced team with both bat and ball especially is the Schorchers. Not only do they have the best individual T20 batsman in Mitch Marsh, but Richardson only adds to one of, if not the best, bowling line ups in the BBL.
They are my tip to win, although not worth taking at $2.32, better off backing them in each of the individual games rather than $2.32 from here.
The value bets are the Thunder at $7.60 and Strikers at $15.5
Half a unit on each is not a bad play. Those odds represent them as a 13% and 6% chance each. While I don't think either will win, they are probably a better chance than that.
Batting first is huge at the moment
Scorches to win the final, Sixers have a few injuries and Phileppe out with covid isolation.
