The Bombers beat Carlton last year and I’d back them in to do it again this year. Your mob has been lucky to win 4 of its 6 games by a whisker this year. Decent but very beatable.Essendon are genuinely good this year. The last few years they have quietly gone about recruitinf in veterans to address their weaknesses. The biggest benefit of adding guys like Gresham, Goldstein, Caldwell, Hind, etc isn't that they are match winners, but that they are mature bodied, competent footballers and replace spuds. Throw in some awsome Merrett form and this is a good all round team.
They have an easy fixture and this is a team good enough to lose a final. In fact, if the multitude of other good teams beat each other up enough they might even be good enough to sneak into a position where they can lose two finals - right now, for example, they are third and would right in line to honourably lose twice in the finals!