Season on the line next week

[joe444]

5-5 is too hard to come back from, I think.

We're good enough to win the whole thing when the senior troops come back, but this - to me - is the hurdle that must be cleared.

I expect to see the side play with that realisation next week. Suddenly, Bruhn is our midfield leader.

Just got to win it.

 

[Pure_Ownage]

5-5 is too hard to come back from, I think.

We're good enough to win the whole thing when the senior troops come back, but this - to me - is the hurdle that must be cleared.

I expect to see the side play with that realisation next week. Suddenly, Bruhn is our midfield leader.

Just got to win it.

We can come back from 5-5 purely because we have an easier draw after the bye with home games and players back but the more wins we can get before the bye the more the chance of top 4 stays in play. So its a crucial game.

 

[CatToTheFuture]

Depends what you consider to be on the line:

Top 4 looking a little dicey. Top 8 still looking likely. Missing finals still unlikely

 

[Gee Class Loco]

5-5 is too hard to come back from, I think.

We're good enough to win the whole thing when the senior troops come back, but this - to me - is the hurdle that must be cleared.

I expect to see the side play with that realisation next week. Suddenly, Bruhn is our midfield leader.

Just got to win it.

Come back from what exactly??
Top 2 ?? Yeah i think u r right.
Top 4?? Mmm makes it tuff.
5-6th ?? nah we are in prime position.
7-8th ?? LockItInEddy.

Last part of the season will dictate how we enter September.
Like every season. Injuries will dictate how far we travel. 2022 we were kissed on the Richard TBH.

 

[allrighty]

We can come back from 5-5 purely because we have an easier draw after the bye with home games and players back but the more wins we can get before the bye the more the chance of top 4 stays in play. So its a crucial game.

I just redid the predictor with a 5-5 start. We can get to 4-5th.

 

[calder_daddy]

I think top 3 is close to out of contention
4th spot is up for grabs and could be anyone

 

[Baudolino]

Well it's definitely not season on the line in terms of top eight, but I'm strongly of the view that you need to finish top four to have a real shot at the premiership, and unfortunately in that narrow sense I would agree that our top four prospects - and hence our premiership prospects - hinge on whether we can win this game.

Usually, the weakest record you can afford to have in the home and away season to still finish in the top four is 15-7. And there have been multiple years over the last decade in which 15-7 or even 16-6 hasn't been enough for top four. In 2016 Adelaide and West Coast finished 5th and 6th respectively with a 16-6 record. Even taking into account the fact that the season now has an extra game, we would still have very little margin for error. I just can't see any world in which we would manage to go through the rest of the season with only 1 or 2 losses post-Freo given our ongoing injury list and the likelihood of the currently injured players taking a while to get back to their best once they return.

So yeah, if it's not season on the line, it's as close to that as it's possible to get.

 

[Chinacats]

We haven’t beaten anyone in the current top 8 or played most of them. (If Adelaide win then they’ll be in the 8. ) Those 8 pointers along with next week are equally important, but yeah crucial game next week.

 

[GeelongFTW]

We need collingwood, Melbourne, and Brisbane to win as many games as possible. Then we just need to be ahead of saints, dogs, power,etc. We have all those teams twice so we can get some 8-point game victories there. We have all 3 at home so 3 wins and if we can go 2-1 with the away games even better.

Thats 4th with neutral game against Collingwood at the G most likely.

 

[you pick one]

5-5 is too hard to come back from, I think.

We're good enough to win the whole thing when the senior troops come back, but this - to me - is the hurdle that must be cleared.

I expect to see the side play with that realisation next week. Suddenly, Bruhn is our midfield leader.

Just got to win it.

And here was me thinking there were still 14 rounds to play.

 

[Strange Cat]

And here was me thinking there were still 14 rounds to play.

You’re wrong there’s no evidence of a team winning the flag from a 5-4 start……

/S

 

[Jhye Clark 13]

And here was me thinking there were still 14 rounds to play.

We were 5-4 last year - Melbourne were 9-0 - and we finished two games clear on top.

A lot of the season still to play out as you say.

 

[Baudolino]

We were 5-4 last year - Melbourne were 9-0 - and we finished two games clear on top.

A lot of the season still to play out as you say.

That was a freak occurrence. Highly unlikely to happen again, especially given that our injury situation is far more perilous this year than last year, and we also have a tougher run home this year than we did last year.

 

[Jhye Clark 13]

That was a freak occurrence. Highly unlikely to happen again, especially given that our injury situation is far more perilous this year than last year, and we also have a tougher run home this year than we did last year.

All short term injuries

 

[Vdubs]

We were 5-4 last year - Melbourne were 9-0 - and we finished two games clear on top.

A lot of the season still to play out as you say.

Our incredible injury list will not allow that again. Luck with injuries is a key determinant in premierships, and players like Henry, Menegola with no preseasons, will take long times to attain the necessary match fitness once they do come back.
Trying to be realistic here.
Many signs are pointing to this just not being our year, and that is fine by me after the glory of 22.
I estimate if we make the 8, it'll be 7th or 8th.
Teams like Port and Saints and Dogs are in our position with way fewer injuries now.
Lions, Pies, Demons are locks for top 3.

 

[Vdubs]

All short term injuries

Not really. 4 weeks is not that short. Technically, you can call it a form of management, but we need wins, and Freo away, and Doggies anywhere are big challenges

 

[bulletproof]

We need to get to 7-5 at the bye and that will be in the mix.

We need to beat one of dogs or Freo and not slip up v Giants.

 

[Jhye Clark 13]

Our incredible injury list will not allow that again. Luck with injuries is a key determinant in premierships, and players like Henry, Menegola with no preseasons, will take long times to attain the necessary match fitness once they do come back.
Trying to be realistic here.
Many signs are pointing to this just not being our year, and that is fine by me after the glory of 22.
I estimate if we make the 8, it'll be 7th or 8th.
Teams like Port and Saints and Dogs are in our position with way fewer injuries now.
Lions, Pies, Demons are locks for top 3.

You really are the ultimate pessimist.

 

[Jhye Clark 13]

Not really. 4 weeks is not that short. Technically, you can call it a form of management, but we need wins, and Freo away, and Doggies anywhere are big challenges

Stengle, SDK and Close back next week.

Rohan, Bowes, Guthrie and Henry the week after.

Dangerfield for GWS.

Stanley after the bye.

Short term.

 

[Vdubs]

Stengle, SDK and Close back next week.

Rohan, Bowes, Guthrie and Henry the week after.

Dangerfield for GWS.

Stanley after the bye.

Short term.

Sounds good.
Let's see how that goes.
They have to get touch again.

 

[D BRIDGE]

Top 4 probably on the line but I would say the season.

 

[Vdubs]

You really are the ultimate pessimist.

We can make the 8. Likely will
I don't see us as top 4.
Call that pessimism if you like

 

[Jhye Clark 13]

We can make the 8. Likely will
I don't see us as top 4.
Call that pessimism if you like

Soak your hat in cider, sit back and enjoy.

 

[Vdubs]

Soak your hat in cider, sit back and enjoy.

Believe me, still loving what we achieved last year- this season interrupts that joy. I know, life goes on, but the near perfect season and execution will likely never be repeated by Geelong in my lifetime.

 

[you pick one]

Top 4 probably on the line but I wouldn't say the season.

EFA