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Preview 2022 draft prospects
- Thread starter Jen2310
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manicpie
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I just don't want to go down the injured recruit path again.
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I think he has a couple more weaknesses. He is generally quite a low possession player, which means if he’s not kicking goals his impact can be minimal. He also doesn’t crash packs like a big KPF can.Last time we had a KPF with a shocking kick for goal we won a flag.
His draft note. His weaknesses are at least traits that can somewhat be remedied.
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manicpie
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I'm with you, I think he's a big risk. His kicking isn't the best and his body will take 3 years just to get to a decent size.
eDPS
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Along with many player comparisons in those rankings it’s a terrible comparison. Think more like a Harry Jones from Essendon, he is elite overhead and fairly nimble and clean at ground level aswell.
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I was thinking a skinny Josh Kennedy eDPS
As with any player comparison I chuck out there, I’m not suggesting they will reach that level of player. Just that their traits and the way they play reminds me of that AFL player.
Particularly in the case of Jefferson… because I don’t rate him that highly.
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Compared to Jefferson: Lemmy at 94Kg is 16kg heavier and 4cm taller. Keeler is 10kg heavier, and 3cm taller.
So Jefferson by comparison, is well behind the other guys in terms of an AFL body.
Jen2310
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INDIVIDUAL RANKINGS
| RANK | JORDAN PINTO | DAN BATTEN | CHRIS CAVANAGH |
| 1 | Will Ashcroft | Will Ashcroft | Will Ashcroft |
| 2 | Elijah Tsatas | Harry Sheezel | George Wardlaw |
| 3 | Harry Sheezel | George Wardlaw | Elijah Tsatas |
| 4 | George Wardlaw | Aaron Cadman | Harry Sheezel |
| 5 | Aaron Cadman | Elijah Tsatas | Aaron Cadman |
| 6 | Cam Mackenzie | Jhye Clark | Jhye Clark |
| 7 | Bailey Humphrey | Bailey Humphrey | Bailey Humphrey |
| 8 | Mattaes Phillipou | Mattaes Phillipou | Matt Jefferson |
| 9 | Jedd Busslinger | Cam Mackenzie | Cam Mackenzie |
| 10 | Jhye Clark | Reuben Ginbey | Reuben Ginbey |
| 11 | Oliver Hollands | Jed Busslinger | Mattaes Phillipou |
| 12 | Henry Hustwaite | Matthew Jefferson | Jedd Busslinger |
| 13 | Reuben Ginbey | Elijah Hewett | Lewis Hayes |
| 14 | Matthew Jefferson | Oliver Hollands | Oliver Hollands |
| 15 | Olli Hotton | Olli Hotton | Elijah Hewett |
| 16 | Elijah Hewett | Lachie Cowan | Josh Weddle |
| 17 | Jaspa Fletcher | Alwyn Davey Jr | Olli Hotton |
| 18 | Harry Barnett | Henry Hustwaite | Jaspa Fletcher |
| 19 | Lewis Hayes | Lewis Hayes | Lachlan Cowan |
| 20 | Sam Gilbey | Ed Allan | Henry Hustwaite |
| 21 | Lachie Cowan | Jaspa Fletcher | Brayden George |
| 22 | Josh Weddle | Josh Weddle | Jacob Konstanty |
| 23 | Jacob Konstanty | Charlie Clarke | Alwyn Davey Jnr |
| 24 | Brayden George | Harvey Gallagher | Coby Burgiel |
| 25 | Alwyn Davey Jr | Mitch Szybkowski | Max Michalanney |
| 26 | Jaiden Magor | Darcy Jones | Darcy Jones |
| 27 | Darcy Jones | Brayden George | Mitch Szybkowski |
| 28 | Isaac Keeler | Max Gruzewski | Isaac Keeler |
| 29 | Coby Burgiel | Jacob Konstanty | Max Gruzewski |
| 30 | Jakob Ryan | Harry Barnett | Jed Hagan |
| 31 | Max Michalanney | Isaac Keeler | Adam D’Aloia |
| 32 | Max Gruzewski | Jaxon Binns | Harry Barnett |
| 33 | Harry Lemmey | Harry Rowston | Harry Rowston |
| 34 | Jaxon Binns | Jed Hagan | Ed Allan |
| 35 | Mitch Syzbkowski | Jason Gillbee | Sam Gilbey |
| 36 | Ed Allan | Sam Gilbey | Charlie Clarke |
| 37 | Kaleb Smith | Noah Long | Jaxon Binns |
| 38 | Billy Dowling | Blake Drury | Blake Drury |
| 39 | Blake Drury | Luke Teal | Hugh Bond |
| 40 | Adam D’Aloia | Max Michalanney | Anthony Munkara |
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Wow there are some real variances in there.
Charlie Clarke not being in the top 40 in the first column is criminal.
For those who cannot get behind the HS firewall. This is the analysis of the article Jen has attached
40. Blake Drury
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Forward/Midfielder, 178cm, 74kg
JP – 39: Drury is a neat ball-user on both sides of his body, and is always on the move - with the ball and without it. Kicks goals, and sets them up.
DB – 38: The Vermont product had some big performances, including 21 touches and two goals against SA and a gallant 31 disposals in the Chargers’ upset finals loss. A clever forward who can push up the ground with his strong workrate.
CC – 38: A crafty high half-forward who works hard up and down the ground, has good breakaway speed and kicks goals. Has proven a difficult match-up for opposition sides.
DB – 40+: It feels cruel having him out of my 40 based off his raw numbers at all levels, but I share clubs’ concerns about his spread from stoppage and what he does away from the contest.
CC – 31: The MVP for SA at the national championships. Very strong in the contested ball and clearance departments.
DB – 40+: Would loved to have seen what he could do in a full championships. His last two SANFL U18 games, where he bagged 11 goals, were super exciting and he shapes as a prospect with plenty of potential.
CC – 40+: Missed games mid-year with a serious ankle injury but returned for two SANFL under-18 games at the end of the year
DB – 33: The Allies MVP’s performances on-field don’t translate to his consensus ranking – but the Giants would be happy to see him slide. Has alleviated concerns over his running and his competitive streak should see the Osborne farm boy thrive in western Sydney.
CC – 33: Was named MVP for the Allies from the national championships, which elevated him from being a potential rookie at the start of the year. A competitive and consistent player.
DB – 34: If he was 10cm taller, he’d be talked about in first round conversations considering his output at all levels this year. Classy, consistent and has excelled against men in the WAFL.
CC – 40+: One of WA’s best in the national championships. Might be small in stature but has a big heart.
DB – 24: Gone to another level after transforming into a prolific running defender, and he continued his push to be taken as a 19-year-old with a strong state combine. Averaged a lazy 33.2 disposals, 6.8 score involvements and 158.5 ranking points in the role. What more can he do?
CC – 40+: Some chance to find a home in the second round of the draft, after being considered unlucky by some to miss selection in the mid-season draft. Hasn’t played many bad games this year.
DB – 23: Love what Clarke brings as a chief interrogator – it comes as no surprise that he looks up to Toby Greene - with a freakish ability to kick goals from all angles. A prospect with plenty of charisma, but is also a fantastic character. His opponents might not share the same view, though...
CC – 36: The half-forward kicked seven goals in NAB League game against Tasmania in Round 4 and was consistent in having scoreboard impact through the rest of the year. Brings great energy and is defensively minded.
DB – 40+: Top-end speed and can be used all over the ground. One who sits just outside my top 40
CC – 24: Has shown he can play just about anywhere this year and finished the season strongly. Has speed to burn and is a classy kick.
DB – 40: Can’t ignore what he was able to do when elevated into the SANFL reserves and league as a medium defender. A good size and reads the play well, but the next step will be adding to his offensive game.
CC – 25: Recruiters would have liked to see Michalanney win a little bit more of the footy in the national championships but were impressed with his defensive work. A bid on the Adelaide father-son looks likely somewhere in the second round.
DB – 32: Has polarised opinion in the draft space this year with question marks over his kicking and contested ball-winning, but he has certainly dispelled some of those concerns with an impressive finish to the season. Running machine who wins a mountain of the footy and hits the scoreboard.
CC – 37: A very strong runner who also has a bit of X-Factor about him. Ball use can let him down a little at times, but he certainly knows how to find the footy
DB – 36: Gilbey is another in the ‘slid through no fault of his own’ bracket. His broken tibia may impact his draft standing but his ball-use, intercepting and ability to win 1-on-1s defensively is a nice combination as a defender.
CC – 35: Broke his leg while playing for Claremont’s under-18s in August but has played some impressive football this year and is a good interceptor down back.
DB – 20: What kind of 194cm prospect can run a 2.81 (fifth all-time) 20m sprint, 8.25 agility (fifth at combine) and play either as an outside or inside midfielder? Bolts into my top 20 largely on potential after sitting out most of the year.
CC – 34: Could potentially find a home much earlier than this, with West Coast weighing up its options for its first-round selections. Finished the season strongly and posted some good results at the draft combine.
DB – 28: An excellent character, sacrificing his own 2km time trial time to help his mate Lewis Hayes over the line, and a fantastic contested mark. He says his best position is down back, where he tries to emulate interceptor Tom Stewart, but his ability to be used at both ends gives him great appeal.
CC – 29: Emerged as a top prospect late in the season after recovering from a knee injury. Can play key position at either end of the ground but certainly caught the attention with his marking and goal kicking as a forward in Vic Metro’s final national championships match.
DB – 25: Playing a NAB League grand final and Vic Country finale coming off Covid hurt his output in those matches, and he probably deserves to be higher than this after strong earlier form. Does a lot well, but does he have the top-end traits of the midfielders ahead of him?
CC – 27: A big-bodied onballer who brings high work rate both offensively and defensively week-in, week-out and had a strong national championships for Vic Country.
DB – 30: Like what he was able to do at the national championships with his work around the ground, intercepting in the air and following up at stoppages. Looms as the top ruck available, but there isn’t much competition.
CC – 32: The best ruckmen in the national championships. A competitive big man who works hard around the ground to provide an outlet for his teammates and consequently wins more of the ball than most players his size.
DB – 26: Silencing all the doubters this year, the 175cm, helmet-headed utility (Caleb Daniel, anyone?) kicked four goals in his first two WAFL senior games, smashed the agility test and won the standing vertical test at the combine. Runs rings around his opponents with his speed and agility.
CC – 26: Made an impression at the draft combine, after also catching the eye for Western Australia in the national championships. Quick, agile and a good finisher in front of goal.
DB – 31: Was in my top 20 in the last rankings, where I didn’t realise the extent of his running deficiencies. It means he is probably a pure forward rather than a Paddy Ryder-like ruck-forward, but he still showed plenty at the national championships with his athleticism at ground level and aerial ability.
CC – 28: Unlikely to get beyond pick 40, which means the Crows won’t get easy access to their NGA prospect. Has some areas of his game to work on, but is an athletic big man who has shown some exciting glimpses.
DB – 29: Showed he is more than just a tackling machine with a cheeky handball nut-meg in the final national championships match, and he is a consummate professional who comes from an elite soccer background.
CC – 23: A small pressure forward who was a late-comer to the AFL talent programs after playing high-level junior soccer. Incredibly dangerous around goal and works hard defensively, highlighted by 14 tackles against Geelong in one NAB League game this year.
DB – 27: Twelve months on the sidelines with an ACL means others have skipped ahead of him, but there is enormous upside in the powerful forward who is a dangerous threat in the air or at ground level.
CC – 21: Might have been a top-10 prospect if he had played more footy this year, but injuries including a late-season ACL are likely to see him slip to the second round. There are shades of Christian Petracca in the explosive forward-midfielder, who possesses unbelievable power and strength.
DB – 17: While Davey isn’t a high possession winner, he impacts the game whenever he touches it with his class and agility. Will have to improve his tank if he is to push into the midfield like his uncle, Aaron.
CC – 23: Produced one eye-catching game in the national championships for Vic Metro against WA but was relatively quiet in the other three matches. There is plenty of potential in the silky and speedy midfielder or forward who has shown great glimpses, but finding some greater consistency will be key.
DB – 22: Thought he might be a touch undersized as a key defender, but his athletic profile and ultra-competitive nature makes up for the lack of height. Ran an elite 6:03 in the 2km time trial – ranked fourth overall.
CC – 16: Has some strong athletic traits and is a well-rounded defender who can play on talls or smalls and can win the ball back for his team. His impressive national championships campaign saw him rise up club draft boards.
DB – 16: The best running defender in the draft in my eyes. The Morrish medallist breaks lines for fun with his blistering speed, size and penetrating kick, and can win the ball back off the opposition.
CC – 19: The top prospect from the Apple Isle. Produced consistently strong performances in the NAB League to be a joint-winner of the Morrish Medal and backed it up in national championships. Neat ball user by foot.
DB – 21: Another who slid a touch because of others moving ahead. The All-Australian’s precise skills and creativity as a winger or flanker will add nicely to Brisbane’s mix, and he showed he can win the ball on the inside during the national champs.
CC – 18: A classy outside player who looks up to Brisbane’s Hugh McCluggage. A Brisbane father-son prospect, but like Ashcroft the Lions will have to pay handsomely if they are to land him.
DB – 19: A bit of Darcy Moore about this youngster with his strong intercept marking ability, reading of the play and elite skills by foot. Collapsed in the 2km at the draft combine after pushing himself to the limit, which says a bit about his determination.
CC – 13: Continued to get better as the year went on. Still needs to add some size to his 197cm frame but reads the play well and is a strong mark above his head. A lot to like.
DB – 18: One who has dropped a touch in my rankings due to a query over his contested game, but his skillful ball-use and uncanny knack to escape would-be tacklers is unique for a player standing 194cm.
CC – 20: Some clubs rate Hustwaite a little higher than others, but he’s certainly got something. Finds the footy whether he’s playing midfield or down back, has clean hands and is a good size at 194cm.
DB – 15: Hotton’s rise at the championships was meteoric, and it continued at the end of the year with an exceptional NAB League grand final. Has elite speed, spring and is very clever with ball in hand.
CC – 17: A midfielder who isn’t afraid to win the hard ball and can also go forward and be dangerous around goal. His 24-disposal and three-goal game against South Australia in the under-18 national championships was very impressive.
DB – 13: Ginbey’s upside puts him just ahead fellow WA midfielder Hewett, but the explosive and extremely agile midfielder has a full season of WAFL senior footy under his belt for Swan Districts and can impact up forward.
CC – 15: The former baseballer has been hitting home runs on the football field this year as a powerful midfielder with speed and agility. Played plenty of senior WAFL footy this year and showed he can match it with men.
DB – 14: The brother of Elijah has come with a rush later in the year as a full-time midfielder, with his versatility forcing him out previously. But this will be a major asset at the next level – along with his elite endurance, taking out the 2km time trial with a time of 5:54.
CC – 14: The best runner in the pool, highlighted by him finishing equal-first in the 2km time trial at the draft combine. Works a wing very well as a result, but can also plan onball and uses the ball with class.
DB – 12: Has vice-like hands overhead and his seven-goal haul against WA at the national champs was arguably the best individual performance of any prospect this year, but he will take time to build size and his tank.
CC – 8: The key forward grew in confidence in front of our eyes through the national championships, highlighted by seven goals from eight kicks in his second game against WA. Takes chest marks on the lead but can also pluck contested marks out of a pack.
DB – 10: So much potential in the WA MVP, having only started playing as a midfielder this year, and his all-round athleticism is off the charts, blitzing the draft combine with four top-eight finishes.
CC – 10: Started the year in defence before moving into the midfield as a big-bodied onballer and hasn’t looked out of place. Gives great effort, wins plenty of contested ball and put his strong athletic abilities on show at the draft combine.
DB – 11: Falls slightly through no fault of his own after missing the back-half of year through injury, but an All-Australian nod from just two games for WA says plenty about the intercept king of the draft.
CC – 12: The best underage key defender in the land. Good one-on-one and records plenty of intercepts through strong reading of the play. Was eye-catching in his two under 18 national championships games before going in for season-ending shoulder surgery.
DB – 8: Like Humphrey, Phillipou could be much higher than this when this draft is evaluated in five years’ time considering his size, work in traffic (did somebody say basketball background?) and his score impact impact.
CC – 11: The clear top prospect out of South Australia this year. Classy, clean and creative, and a very nice size at 190cm.
DB – 9: His NAB League grand final was off the charts with two goals and 25 disposals, where he showcased all of his top-end midfield attributes. Oozes class.
CC – 9: A good-sized midfielder at 187cm who finds the footy at will and generally uses it very well. A St Kilda NGA prospect, but the Saints will have to pay up if they are to land him.
DB – 6: Reliable, tough and lifts when the game is on the line. Will prove to be Geelong’s best get of the off-season if he slides to their pick.
CC – 6: A Joel Selwood-like midfielder who puts his head over the footy, consistently wins the contested ball and is a fierce tackler. A player who you know will give everything he’s got every time he walks out on the field.
DB – 7: Simply incredible what he has achieved on-field this year after braving his own mental health demons, the loss of his best mate and a string of injuries. The most upside of any player in this draft class with shades of Jordan De Goey.
CC – 7: The big bolter in the second half of the year as a powerful midfielder-forward who has no shortage of suitors. Wins the contested ball, has high footy IQ and consistently hits the scoreboard when forward.
DB – 4: Edges narrowly ahead of Tsatas in my rankings after a stellar finish to the season, where he was a consistent goalkicking threat and showcased his exciting ability around the ground and at ground level.
CC – 5: Not necessarily the best player in this year’s draft pool, but certainly the best key position player which is why GWS moved up the order to be able to snare him at No.1. Definitely shades of Jeremy Cameron in his game and he had an impressive and consistent national championships.
DB – 5: A ball-magnet on the inside and outside, Tsatas won draft-laden Oakleigh Chargers’ best and fairest from a mere six games – but his defensive game will be an area of improvement at the next level.
CC – 3: Missed three months with a foot fracture in the middle part of the year but has shown he has some weapons when he has been out on the field. Has a good balance between his inside and outside game and electric breakaway speed.
DB – 2: Midfielders like Wardlaw and Tsatas come around every draft, whereas magicians like Sheezel are a rare commodity. Freakish around goal and can push into the midfield once he is settled at the next level.
CC – 4: Possesses the most X-Factor of any player in this year’s draft. Turns half-chances into opportunities and doesn’t need many disposals to have a major scoreboard impact. Match-winners like Sheezel don’t grow on trees.
DB – 3: It would have been fascinating to see just how much he would have pushed Ashcroft for the No.1 crown. An animal at the contest with power out of stoppages and in the air.
CC – 2: Has had a limited sample size this season due being sidelined with a series of hamstring injuries, concussion and illness. But that won’t affect where the explosive and combative midfielder is picked on draft night. A clear top-three talent.
Dan Batten’s ranking – 1: The standout prospect in the draft who was the best player at nationals, in the NAB League grand final, polled three votes in a VFL game… you get the idea. Would be a joke if he doesn’t receive a pick one bid.
Chris Cavanagh’s ranking – 1: Has done it all this year, including some stunning VFL performances for the Lions which showed he is ready for the next level. Has very few deficiencies and is a class act on and off the field.
40. Blake Drury
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Forward/Midfielder, 178cm, 74kg
JP – 39: Drury is a neat ball-user on both sides of his body, and is always on the move - with the ball and without it. Kicks goals, and sets them up.
DB – 38: The Vermont product had some big performances, including 21 touches and two goals against SA and a gallant 31 disposals in the Chargers’ upset finals loss. A clever forward who can push up the ground with his strong workrate.
CC – 38: A crafty high half-forward who works hard up and down the ground, has good breakaway speed and kicks goals. Has proven a difficult match-up for opposition sides.
39. Adam D’Aloia
Eagles/SA – Midfielder, 186cm, 85kg
JP – 40: Really couldn’t do anything more. In terms of production, D’Aloia’s body of work over the past two years is almost unmatched. There is concern about his running but he is elite at what he does around the ball.DB – 40+: It feels cruel having him out of my 40 based off his raw numbers at all levels, but I share clubs’ concerns about his spread from stoppage and what he does away from the contest.
CC – 31: The MVP for SA at the national championships. Very strong in the contested ball and clearance departments.
38. Jaiden Magor
South Adelaide/SA – Forward/midfielder, 185cm, 79kg
JP – 26: If it wasn’t for injury, the powerful Magor would be getting more spotlight. His goalkicking feats, as a prospect who is equally as damaging inside 50 as he is in the midfield, is up there with any in this year’s pool.DB – 40+: Would loved to have seen what he could do in a full championships. His last two SANFL U18 games, where he bagged 11 goals, were super exciting and he shapes as a prospect with plenty of potential.
CC – 40+: Missed games mid-year with a serious ankle injury but returned for two SANFL under-18 games at the end of the year
37. Harry Rowston
Giants Academy/Allies – Forward/midfielder, 175cm, 73kg
JP – 40+: Another prospect that does a lot of things well - he's tough, competitive and can kick a goal. Shown he can win the ball through the middle, but his traits probably fit in across half-forward at the next level.DB – 33: The Allies MVP’s performances on-field don’t translate to his consensus ranking – but the Giants would be happy to see him slide. Has alleviated concerns over his running and his competitive streak should see the Osborne farm boy thrive in western Sydney.
CC – 33: Was named MVP for the Allies from the national championships, which elevated him from being a potential rookie at the start of the year. A competitive and consistent player.
36. Jed Hagan
East Fremantle/WA – Forward/midfielder, 175cm, 73kg
JP – 40+: After a standout junior career, Hagan has been tracked closely over in WA for a long time. But plenty of other prospects have either caught up, or gone past him, now.DB – 34: If he was 10cm taller, he’d be talked about in first round conversations considering his output at all levels this year. Classy, consistent and has excelled against men in the WAFL.
CC – 40+: One of WA’s best in the national championships. Might be small in stature but has a big heart.
35. Harvey Gallagher
Bendigo Pioneers/Vic Country – Defender, 179cm, 77kg
JP – 40+: Can’t deny what Gallagher has done in the back half of this season – he was the one who kept driving Vic Country forward late in the champs decider. But has he done enough to convince those who passed on him last year?DB – 24: Gone to another level after transforming into a prolific running defender, and he continued his push to be taken as a 19-year-old with a strong state combine. Averaged a lazy 33.2 disposals, 6.8 score involvements and 158.5 ranking points in the role. What more can he do?
CC – 40+: Some chance to find a home in the second round of the draft, after being considered unlucky by some to miss selection in the mid-season draft. Hasn’t played many bad games this year.
34. Charlie Clarke
Sandringham Dragons/Vic Metro – Forward, 182cm, 75kg
JP – 40+: Clarke just makes things happen and often pops up when his side needs him most. He’s been in and out of my top 40, but as a prospect, I think he’s a touched unfinished.DB – 23: Love what Clarke brings as a chief interrogator – it comes as no surprise that he looks up to Toby Greene - with a freakish ability to kick goals from all angles. A prospect with plenty of charisma, but is also a fantastic character. His opponents might not share the same view, though...
CC – 36: The half-forward kicked seven goals in NAB League game against Tasmania in Round 4 and was consistent in having scoreboard impact through the rest of the year. Brings great energy and is defensively minded.
33. Coby Burgiel
Gippsland Power/Vic Country – Midfielder/forward, 183cm, 76kg
JP – 29: Footy smarts, versatility and the third-fastest 20m sprint time at the national combine – there’s plenty to like.DB – 40+: Top-end speed and can be used all over the ground. One who sits just outside my top 40
CC – 24: Has shown he can play just about anywhere this year and finished the season strongly. Has speed to burn and is a classy kick.
32. Max Michalanney
Norwood/SA/Crows father-son – Defender, 192cm, 78kg
JP – 31: Does all the things you want a mid-sized defender to do – and he does them with a touch of class. And his leadership and character is just as impressive.DB – 40: Can’t ignore what he was able to do when elevated into the SANFL reserves and league as a medium defender. A good size and reads the play well, but the next step will be adding to his offensive game.
CC – 25: Recruiters would have liked to see Michalanney win a little bit more of the footy in the national championships but were impressed with his defensive work. A bid on the Adelaide father-son looks likely somewhere in the second round.
31. Jaxon Binns
Dandenong Stingrays/Vic Country – Midfielder/forward, 182cm, 72kg
JP – 34: Just like you want a good wingman to do, Binns breaks lines and cuts up the opposition going forward with his vision and execution by foot. And his hands are pretty quick in tight spaces, too.DB – 32: Has polarised opinion in the draft space this year with question marks over his kicking and contested ball-winning, but he has certainly dispelled some of those concerns with an impressive finish to the season. Running machine who wins a mountain of the footy and hits the scoreboard.
CC – 37: A very strong runner who also has a bit of X-Factor about him. Ball use can let him down a little at times, but he certainly knows how to find the footy
30. Sam Gilbey
Claremont/WA – Defender/midfielder 188cm, 71kg
JP – 20: If it wasn’t for injury – which eventually ended his year - and a bout of Covid, we might be talking a bit more about Gilbey, because he has more class and composure than a lot of others. One I have higher.DB – 36: Gilbey is another in the ‘slid through no fault of his own’ bracket. His broken tibia may impact his draft standing but his ball-use, intercepting and ability to win 1-on-1s defensively is a nice combination as a defender.
CC – 35: Broke his leg while playing for Claremont’s under-18s in August but has played some impressive football this year and is a good interceptor down back.
29. Ed Allan
Claremont – Midfielder, 194cm, 82kg
JP – 36: As an athletic, 194cm midfielder with serious speed, who can win first possession, I did think about putting the late bolter from WA a bit higher. Someone might do that come November.DB – 20: What kind of 194cm prospect can run a 2.81 (fifth all-time) 20m sprint, 8.25 agility (fifth at combine) and play either as an outside or inside midfielder? Bolts into my top 20 largely on potential after sitting out most of the year.
CC – 34: Could potentially find a home much earlier than this, with West Coast weighing up its options for its first-round selections. Finished the season strongly and posted some good results at the draft combine.
28. Max Gruzewski
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Forward/defender, 192cm, 84kg
JP – 32: Took a spectacular mark in the final national carnival clash against Vic Country to cap off an impressive finish to the year – one full of moments that highlighted his top-end traits as a forward.DB – 28: An excellent character, sacrificing his own 2km time trial time to help his mate Lewis Hayes over the line, and a fantastic contested mark. He says his best position is down back, where he tries to emulate interceptor Tom Stewart, but his ability to be used at both ends gives him great appeal.
CC – 29: Emerged as a top prospect late in the season after recovering from a knee injury. Can play key position at either end of the ground but certainly caught the attention with his marking and goal kicking as a forward in Vic Metro’s final national championships match.
27. Mitch Szybkowski
Dandenong Stingrays/Vic Country – Midfielder, 186cm, 84kg
JP – 35: Szybkowski is strong, consistent and competitive – three desirable traits in a midfielder. A few others just have more upside – and weapons.DB – 25: Playing a NAB League grand final and Vic Country finale coming off Covid hurt his output in those matches, and he probably deserves to be higher than this after strong earlier form. Does a lot well, but does he have the top-end traits of the midfielders ahead of him?
CC – 27: A big-bodied onballer who brings high work rate both offensively and defensively week-in, week-out and had a strong national championships for Vic Country.
26. Harry Barnett
West Adelaide/SA – Ruck, 202cm, 92kg
JP – 18: Ruck craft is strong, as is his marking as a forward, but it’s Barnett’s follow-up work at stoppages and hands at ground level that are most impressive. As the best ruckman in a shallow pool, I have him inside 20.DB – 30: Like what he was able to do at the national championships with his work around the ground, intercepting in the air and following up at stoppages. Looms as the top ruck available, but there isn’t much competition.
CC – 32: The best ruckmen in the national championships. A competitive big man who works hard around the ground to provide an outlet for his teammates and consequently wins more of the ball than most players his size.
25. Darcy Jones
Swan Districts/WA – Midfielder/forward 175cm, 67kg
JP – 27: Couldn’t do much more to alleviate height concern. Jones breaks games open with his speed and footy brain, and dominated the recent combine - if you’re good enough, you’re big enough.DB – 26: Silencing all the doubters this year, the 175cm, helmet-headed utility (Caleb Daniel, anyone?) kicked four goals in his first two WAFL senior games, smashed the agility test and won the standing vertical test at the combine. Runs rings around his opponents with his speed and agility.
CC – 26: Made an impression at the draft combine, after also catching the eye for Western Australia in the national championships. Quick, agile and a good finisher in front of goal.
24. Isaac Keeler
North Adelaide/SA/Crows NGA – Forward/ruck, 198cm, 88kg
JP – 28: As gifted and talented as any in this year’s draft but, while he addressed some of the concern around his intensity and consistency with a standout season, the questions still hover.DB – 31: Was in my top 20 in the last rankings, where I didn’t realise the extent of his running deficiencies. It means he is probably a pure forward rather than a Paddy Ryder-like ruck-forward, but he still showed plenty at the national championships with his athleticism at ground level and aerial ability.
CC – 28: Unlikely to get beyond pick 40, which means the Crows won’t get easy access to their NGA prospect. Has some areas of his game to work on, but is an athletic big man who has shown some exciting glimpses.
23. Jacob Konstanty
Gippsland Power/Vic Country – Forward, 176cm, 70kg
JP – 23: If you haven’t seen him nutmeg Lewis Hayes on the boundary in the champs decider, do yourself a favour - it sums up his creativity in the forward-half. Has some speed – offensively and defensively – too.DB – 29: Showed he is more than just a tackling machine with a cheeky handball nut-meg in the final national championships match, and he is a consummate professional who comes from an elite soccer background.
CC – 23: A small pressure forward who was a late-comer to the AFL talent programs after playing high-level junior soccer. Incredibly dangerous around goal and works hard defensively, highlighted by 14 tackles against Geelong in one NAB League game this year.
22. Brayden George
Murray Bushrangers/Vic Country – Forward, 185cm, 87kg
JP – 24: Top 20 on talent, but the injury-ravaged year, which finished with an ACL tear, makes George hard to place. His skill around goal has been described as freakish.DB – 27: Twelve months on the sidelines with an ACL means others have skipped ahead of him, but there is enormous upside in the powerful forward who is a dangerous threat in the air or at ground level.
CC – 21: Might have been a top-10 prospect if he had played more footy this year, but injuries including a late-season ACL are likely to see him slip to the second round. There are shades of Christian Petracca in the explosive forward-midfielder, who possesses unbelievable power and strength.
21. Alwyn Davey Jnr
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro/Essendon father-son – Midfielder/forward, 181cm, 74kg
JP – 25: The Bombers need more game-changers and they will get one in Alwyn Jnr, who has more tricks – and class - than many others.DB – 17: While Davey isn’t a high possession winner, he impacts the game whenever he touches it with his class and agility. Will have to improve his tank if he is to push into the midfield like his uncle, Aaron.
CC – 23: Produced one eye-catching game in the national championships for Vic Metro against WA but was relatively quiet in the other three matches. There is plenty of potential in the silky and speedy midfielder or forward who has shown great glimpses, but finding some greater consistency will be key.
20. Josh Weddle
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Defender, 191cm, 87kg
JP – 22: At 191cm, Weddle needs to be versatile as a defender – and he is. Then there’s his terrific athletic profile - there’s plenty to work with.DB – 22: Thought he might be a touch undersized as a key defender, but his athletic profile and ultra-competitive nature makes up for the lack of height. Ran an elite 6:03 in the 2km time trial – ranked fourth overall.
CC – 16: Has some strong athletic traits and is a well-rounded defender who can play on talls or smalls and can win the ball back for his team. His impressive national championships campaign saw him rise up club draft boards.
19. Lachlan Cowan
Tasmania Devils/Allies – Defender, 188cm, 81kg
JP – 21: With his dash and long-kicking, Cowan is hard to miss. Add to that his size, ball-winning ability and a Morrish Medal, and there is a lot to like. I’ve moved him upDB – 16: The best running defender in the draft in my eyes. The Morrish medallist breaks lines for fun with his blistering speed, size and penetrating kick, and can win the ball back off the opposition.
CC – 19: The top prospect from the Apple Isle. Produced consistently strong performances in the NAB League to be a joint-winner of the Morrish Medal and backed it up in national championships. Neat ball user by foot.
18. Jaspa Fletcher
Lions Academy/Allies/Brisbane father-son – Midfielder, 184cm, 73kg
JP – 17: This Lions father-son prospect can play, too. Fletcher’s class and ability to kick goals from the midfield sets him apart from a few others around this mark.DB – 21: Another who slid a touch because of others moving ahead. The All-Australian’s precise skills and creativity as a winger or flanker will add nicely to Brisbane’s mix, and he showed he can win the ball on the inside during the national champs.
CC – 18: A classy outside player who looks up to Brisbane’s Hugh McCluggage. A Brisbane father-son prospect, but like Ashcroft the Lions will have to pay handsomely if they are to land him.
17. Lewis Hayes
Eastern Ranges/Vic Metro – Defender, 197cm, 81kg
JP – 19: Hayes’ impressive national carnival saw him shoot up the rankings – mine included. Strong interceptor, who had some nice moments on the powerful Bailey Humphrey in the decider.DB – 19: A bit of Darcy Moore about this youngster with his strong intercept marking ability, reading of the play and elite skills by foot. Collapsed in the 2km at the draft combine after pushing himself to the limit, which says a bit about his determination.
CC – 13: Continued to get better as the year went on. Still needs to add some size to his 197cm frame but reads the play well and is a strong mark above his head. A lot to like.
16. Henry Hustwaite
Dandenong Stingrays/Vic Country – Midfielder/defender 194cm, 84kg
JP – 12: He might still have some way to go in learning how to use his impressive size, but the Scott Pendlebury slowing-down-time-in-traffic comparison is legitimate here.DB – 18: One who has dropped a touch in my rankings due to a query over his contested game, but his skillful ball-use and uncanny knack to escape would-be tacklers is unique for a player standing 194cm.
CC – 20: Some clubs rate Hustwaite a little higher than others, but he’s certainly got something. Finds the footy whether he’s playing midfield or down back, has clean hands and is a good size at 194cm.
15. Olli Hotton
Sandringham Dragons/Vic Metro – Forward, 181cm, 77kg
JP – 15: A one-touch prospect, who is just very smart – around goal and through the middle. Showed he had some real power in his legs at the combine, too.DB – 15: Hotton’s rise at the championships was meteoric, and it continued at the end of the year with an exceptional NAB League grand final. Has elite speed, spring and is very clever with ball in hand.
CC – 17: A midfielder who isn’t afraid to win the hard ball and can also go forward and be dangerous around goal. His 24-disposal and three-goal game against South Australia in the under-18 national championships was very impressive.
14. Elijah Hewett
Swan Districts/WA – Midfielder, 185cm, 84kg
JP – 16: With speed and a change of direction matching his creativity in tight, a his best offensively, Hewett is top-10 talent. But I’ve seen his defensive running and intent fall away a little too often.DB – 13: Ginbey’s upside puts him just ahead fellow WA midfielder Hewett, but the explosive and extremely agile midfielder has a full season of WAFL senior footy under his belt for Swan Districts and can impact up forward.
CC – 15: The former baseballer has been hitting home runs on the football field this year as a powerful midfielder with speed and agility. Played plenty of senior WAFL footy this year and showed he can match it with men.
13. Oliver Hollands
Murray Bushrangers/Vic Country – Midfielder, 183cm, 73kg
JP – 11: Already stood out with his elite two-way running and clean hands but, after the way he imposed himself on – and won the ball in – games against Vic Metro and WA, I tried to push him into the top 10.DB – 14: The brother of Elijah has come with a rush later in the year as a full-time midfielder, with his versatility forcing him out previously. But this will be a major asset at the next level – along with his elite endurance, taking out the 2km time trial with a time of 5:54.
CC – 14: The best runner in the pool, highlighted by him finishing equal-first in the 2km time trial at the draft combine. Works a wing very well as a result, but can also plan onball and uses the ball with class.
12. Matthew Jefferson
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Key forward, 195cm, 78kg
JP – 14: Couldn’t help but be impressed by what he did at the national carnival and, with his hands and the way he presents as a target. But does he have enough strings to his bow?DB – 12: Has vice-like hands overhead and his seven-goal haul against WA at the national champs was arguably the best individual performance of any prospect this year, but he will take time to build size and his tank.
CC – 8: The key forward grew in confidence in front of our eyes through the national championships, highlighted by seven goals from eight kicks in his second game against WA. Takes chest marks on the lead but can also pluck contested marks out of a pack.
11. Reuben Ginbey
East Perth/WA – Midfielder/defender, 189cm, 85kg
JP – 13: Wins the ball – and even looks like – Giant Tom Green, and probably has a similar kicking concern. But a standout athletically in this crop, and there’s still plenty of midfield growth left.DB – 10: So much potential in the WA MVP, having only started playing as a midfielder this year, and his all-round athleticism is off the charts, blitzing the draft combine with four top-eight finishes.
CC – 10: Started the year in defence before moving into the midfield as a big-bodied onballer and hasn’t looked out of place. Gives great effort, wins plenty of contested ball and put his strong athletic abilities on show at the draft combine.
10. Jedd Busslinger
East Perth/WA – Key defender, 196cm, 82kg
JP – 9: Just gets in great spots, and then uses his size and reach to win it back off the opposition. But just as impressive, a very compact and composed ball-user for 196cm. Season-ending shoulder surgery halted his run slightly.DB – 11: Falls slightly through no fault of his own after missing the back-half of year through injury, but an All-Australian nod from just two games for WA says plenty about the intercept king of the draft.
CC – 12: The best underage key defender in the land. Good one-on-one and records plenty of intercepts through strong reading of the play. Was eye-catching in his two under 18 national championships games before going in for season-ending shoulder surgery.
9. Mattaes Phillipou
Woodville-West Torrens/SA – Midfielder, 192cm, 82kg
JP – 8: Goalkicking midfielders standing at 192cm, with clean skills, terrific ball-winning ability and elite aerobic capacity don’t grow on trees. His game is still growing, too.DB – 8: Like Humphrey, Phillipou could be much higher than this when this draft is evaluated in five years’ time considering his size, work in traffic (did somebody say basketball background?) and his score impact impact.
CC – 11: The clear top prospect out of South Australia this year. Classy, clean and creative, and a very nice size at 190cm.
8. Cam Mackenzie
Sandringham Dragons/Vic Metro/St Kilda NGA – Midfielder, 187cm, 80kg
JP – 6: Not getting as much love as a few others but he’s just so smart. Smart in where he positions himself to win the ball, and smart in what he does with it. Slows the game down and often makes the right decision, even when forced to adjust.DB – 9: His NAB League grand final was off the charts with two goals and 25 disposals, where he showcased all of his top-end midfield attributes. Oozes class.
CC – 9: A good-sized midfielder at 187cm who finds the footy at will and generally uses it very well. A St Kilda NGA prospect, but the Saints will have to pay up if they are to land him.
7. Jhye Clark
Geelong Falcons/Vic Country – Midfielder, 180cm, 77kg
JP – 10: Just gets it done in most facets of the game – but do others have a touch more upside? I’m probably overthinking it.DB – 6: Reliable, tough and lifts when the game is on the line. Will prove to be Geelong’s best get of the off-season if he slides to their pick.
CC – 6: A Joel Selwood-like midfielder who puts his head over the footy, consistently wins the contested ball and is a fierce tackler. A player who you know will give everything he’s got every time he walks out on the field.
6. Bailey Humphrey
Gippsland Power/Vic Country – Midfielder/forward, 184cm, 86kg
JP – 7: While he’s a force inside-50, Humphrey could potentially be as good as any midfielder in the draft, given his mix of power, speed and skill. Then there’s that sidestep.DB – 7: Simply incredible what he has achieved on-field this year after braving his own mental health demons, the loss of his best mate and a string of injuries. The most upside of any player in this draft class with shades of Jordan De Goey.
CC – 7: The big bolter in the second half of the year as a powerful midfielder-forward who has no shortage of suitors. Wins the contested ball, has high footy IQ and consistently hits the scoreboard when forward.
5. Aaron Cadman
GWV Rebels/Vic Country – Key forward, 194cm, 88kg
JP – 5: A vast skill set makes Cadman the best of this year's talls. If he’s not outmarking his opponent in the air, the competitive big man is winning it on the ground and getting a teammate involved.DB – 4: Edges narrowly ahead of Tsatas in my rankings after a stellar finish to the season, where he was a consistent goalkicking threat and showcased his exciting ability around the ground and at ground level.
CC – 5: Not necessarily the best player in this year’s draft pool, but certainly the best key position player which is why GWS moved up the order to be able to snare him at No.1. Definitely shades of Jeremy Cameron in his game and he had an impressive and consistent national championships.
4. Elijah Tsatas
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Midfielder, 188cm, 80kg
JP – 2: Breakaway speed is Tsatas’ trademark but his game is increasingly well-rounded. If he isn’t finding a teammate by foot at full-tilt, he’s often setting one free with a swinging handball in traffic.DB – 5: A ball-magnet on the inside and outside, Tsatas won draft-laden Oakleigh Chargers’ best and fairest from a mere six games – but his defensive game will be an area of improvement at the next level.
CC – 3: Missed three months with a foot fracture in the middle part of the year but has shown he has some weapons when he has been out on the field. Has a good balance between his inside and outside game and electric breakaway speed.
3. Harry Sheezel
Sandringham Dragons/Vic Metro – Forward, 183cm, 74kg
JP – 3: A game-changer in the forward-half who could turn out to be No. 1, if he develops into a midfielder. Kicking is sublime and he’s so assured with ball in hand, even when he’s dancing in and out of traffic.DB – 2: Midfielders like Wardlaw and Tsatas come around every draft, whereas magicians like Sheezel are a rare commodity. Freakish around goal and can push into the midfield once he is settled at the next level.
CC – 4: Possesses the most X-Factor of any player in this year’s draft. Turns half-chances into opportunities and doesn’t need many disposals to have a major scoreboard impact. Match-winners like Sheezel don’t grow on trees.
2. George Wardlaw
Oakleigh Chargers/Vic Metro – Midfielder, 182cm, 82kg
JP – 4: His attack on the ball and body is uncompromising but Wardlaw is still so clean and in control. You could make the case for any of the next four to be picked after Ashcroft.DB – 3: It would have been fascinating to see just how much he would have pushed Ashcroft for the No.1 crown. An animal at the contest with power out of stoppages and in the air.
CC – 2: Has had a limited sample size this season due being sidelined with a series of hamstring injuries, concussion and illness. But that won’t affect where the explosive and combative midfielder is picked on draft night. A clear top-three talent.
1. Will Ashcroft
Sandringham Dragons/Vic Metro/Brisbane father-son – Midfielder, 183cm, 79kg
Jordan Pinto’s ranking – 1: And by some way, too. Has just been better than everyone else on the ground on most occasions this year at all levels.Dan Batten’s ranking – 1: The standout prospect in the draft who was the best player at nationals, in the NAB League grand final, polled three votes in a VFL game… you get the idea. Would be a joke if he doesn’t receive a pick one bid.
Chris Cavanagh’s ranking – 1: Has done it all this year, including some stunning VFL performances for the Lions which showed he is ready for the next level. Has very few deficiencies and is a class act on and off the field.
Our selections as they stand are obviously 16, 25, 27 and 51. I've written this post assuming we'll just take two live selections and upgrade Noble with our third pick.
Just with regards to any trades between Monday and draft night, but more likely on draft night with live-trading in itself.
We have limited options; there are a number of teams with no high picks worth chasing, or teams that simply have no reason to trade theirs away. This leaves the following teams and potential options, but I think most of these options depend on these teams wanting to make 4 selections, which I'm not sure about.
Bulldogs:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 11, 39.
Pies go to draft with 11, 39, 51.
Bulldogs go to draft with 16, 21, 25, 27 (rather than 11, 21, 39, 69)
Sydney:
Trade 16 & 25 for 14.
Pies go to draft with 14, 27, 51.
Sydney go to draft with 16, 17, 25, 42 (rather than 14, 17, 42, 75)
St Kilda:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 9 & 32
Pies go to draft with 9, 32, 51
St Kilda go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 28 (rather than 9, 28, 32, 47)
Carlton:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 10, 29
Pies go to draft with 10, 29, 51
Carlton go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 29 (rather than 10, 29, 49, 66)
Melbourne:
Trade 16 & 25 for 13 & 37
Pies go to draft with 13, 27, 51
Melbourne go to draft with 16, 25 (rather than 13, 37)
Believe it or not I didn't spend a whole heap of time on this so shoot me down if you like
Just with regards to any trades between Monday and draft night, but more likely on draft night with live-trading in itself.
We have limited options; there are a number of teams with no high picks worth chasing, or teams that simply have no reason to trade theirs away. This leaves the following teams and potential options, but I think most of these options depend on these teams wanting to make 4 selections, which I'm not sure about.
Bulldogs:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 11, 39.
Pies go to draft with 11, 39, 51.
Bulldogs go to draft with 16, 21, 25, 27 (rather than 11, 21, 39, 69)
Sydney:
Trade 16 & 25 for 14.
Pies go to draft with 14, 27, 51.
Sydney go to draft with 16, 17, 25, 42 (rather than 14, 17, 42, 75)
St Kilda:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 9 & 32
Pies go to draft with 9, 32, 51
St Kilda go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 28 (rather than 9, 28, 32, 47)
Carlton:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 10, 29
Pies go to draft with 10, 29, 51
Carlton go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 29 (rather than 10, 29, 49, 66)
Melbourne:
Trade 16 & 25 for 13 & 37
Pies go to draft with 13, 27, 51
Melbourne go to draft with 16, 25 (rather than 13, 37)
Believe it or not I didn't spend a whole heap of time on this so shoot me down if you like
whats t
What's the knock on Leemey - I'm not as close to Draft as I use to be (until we get a tip 5 pick anyway)
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The other option you have overlooked in these predictions is we are allowed to have 37 and 5 or 38 and 4 senior / rookie split or 36 and 6
If we go 37 and 5, our rookies are full with Dean Ginni Begg Carmy and AJ
If we keep Poults and delist Madge we have 34 and 3 spots for draft
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Do we need to upgrade Noble this year as he is contracted?Our selections as they stand are obviously 16, 25, 27 and 51. I've written this post assuming we'll just take two live selections and upgrade Noble with our third pick.
Just with regards to any trades between Monday and draft night, but more likely on draft night with live-trading in itself.
We have limited options; there are a number of teams with no high picks worth chasing, or teams that simply have no reason to trade theirs away. This leaves the following teams and potential options, but I think most of these options depend on these teams wanting to make 4 selections, which I'm not sure about.
Bulldogs:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 11, 39.
Pies go to draft with 11, 39, 51.
Bulldogs go to draft with 16, 21, 25, 27 (rather than 11, 21, 39, 69)
Sydney:
Trade 16 & 25 for 14.
Pies go to draft with 14, 27, 51.
Sydney go to draft with 16, 17, 25, 42 (rather than 14, 17, 42, 75)
St Kilda:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 9 & 32
Pies go to draft with 9, 32, 51
St Kilda go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 28 (rather than 9, 28, 32, 47)
Carlton:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 10, 29
Pies go to draft with 10, 29, 51
Carlton go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 29 (rather than 10, 29, 49, 66)
Melbourne:
Trade 16 & 25 for 13 & 37
Pies go to draft with 13, 27, 51
Melbourne go to draft with 16, 25 (rather than 13, 37)
Believe it or not I didn't spend a whole heap of time on this so shoot me down if you like
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I’d hope it’s the 3 picks.
Given we’ve bought in the mature players we did, plus having depth in Kelly and Dean, I can’t see how the club can justify keeping Madgen.
Particularly when a decent pick like 28/29 is the alternate option.
Our selections as they stand are obviously 16, 25, 27 and 51. I've written this post assuming we'll just take two live selections and upgrade Noble with our third pick.
Just with regards to any trades between Monday and draft night, but more likely on draft night with live-trading in itself.
We have limited options; there are a number of teams with no high picks worth chasing, or teams that simply have no reason to trade theirs away. This leaves the following teams and potential options, but I think most of these options depend on these teams wanting to make 4 selections, which I'm not sure about.
Bulldogs:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 11, 39.
Pies go to draft with 11, 39, 51.
Bulldogs go to draft with 16, 21, 25, 27 (rather than 11, 21, 39, 69)
Sydney:
Trade 16 & 25 for 14.
Pies go to draft with 14, 27, 51.
Sydney go to draft with 16, 17, 25, 42 (rather than 14, 17, 42, 75)
St Kilda:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 9 & 32
Pies go to draft with 9, 32, 51
St Kilda go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 28 (rather than 9, 28, 32, 47)
Carlton:
Trade 16, 25, 27 for 10, 29
Pies go to draft with 10, 29, 51
Carlton go to draft with 16, 25, 27, 29 (rather than 10, 29, 49, 66)
Melbourne:
Trade 16 & 25 for 13 & 37
Pies go to draft with 13, 27, 51
Melbourne go to draft with 16, 25 (rather than 13, 37)
Believe it or not I didn't spend a whole heap of time on this so shoot me down if you like
If Melbourne weren't prepared to exchange 16 for 13 as part of the deal for Grundy I think that's one we can rule out.
With the perception being this is a shallow draft it's going to be harder than usual you sense to use those decent 2nd round selections for a meaningful 1st round upgrade. Other clubs simply have better cards to play also when making offers on 1st round picks.
If we end up deciding on using only two live selections our best bet is probably targeting picks 19 to 21 and see if any clubs value an extra selection inside the top 30 ahead of just a single early 2nd round pick. Alternatively we wait and see if anyone offers a future 2nd for one of our picks.
While GWS most likely will be able to entertain much better offers if Hine rated those likely to be selected between 10 to 20 as fairly even would we be better served if we exchanged 16+25+27 for 18+19?
While it's not without risks if we thought the difference between the player we could get at 18 (19/20) instead of 16 (17/18) was negligible in comparison to the difference between someone likely still available at 19 (20/21) or 25 (27/28) would it be worth it?
Unfortunately every time you try and look at ways we could upgrade our 1st round selection by something meaningful you quickly realise by taking a look at other clubs picks a lot could simply trump us.
*( ) denotes selections adjusted after matched F/S bids.
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Floreat Pica, Bitch!
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Keeler would want to be really bad for us not to take him. Perfect size, athletic, from our SA hunting ground, and likely to be available after our first pick.
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