Autopsy AFL 2021 First Semi Final - Lions v Bulldogs Sat September 4th 7:20 EST (Gabba)

Who will win and by how much?

  • Lions by a goal or less

    Votes: 3 2.7%
  • Dogs by a goal or less

    Votes: 8 7.1%
  • Lions by 7 - 20

    Votes: 30 26.5%
  • Dogs by 7 - 20

    Votes: 46 40.7%
  • Lions by a lot

    Votes: 12 10.6%
  • Dogs by a lot

    Votes: 12 10.6%
  • Draw

    Votes: 2 1.8%

  • Total voters
    113
  • Poll closed .

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Performed better than your mob against that group as a whole.

And beat your bunch of overrated never weres as well.

Might beat us given you're at home but you wouldn't away from there no matter where played because you're trash everywhere else

Also, top notch comeback. Probably took some time and brain power to come up with that one

This is Richmond-esque, well done.
 
Ok, so the game:

Dogs looked good second half, but Essendon were an 11 win team with quite a few youngsters. After three losses to end H&A not sure how to value that.

On the other hand Brisbane were very poor, but Melbourne can do that to good teams when they’re on. They finished H&A strongly but wasn’t exactly a murderers row of teams they beat in the last few weeks.

Both teams have structurally important players missing, but have significant assets as well that could turn or dominate a game. Brisbane can put five goals on you in the blink of an eye, but the dogs defence has been pretty good this year and have a midfield group that might be coming back into form.

I think the market has it right - Brisbane deserved favourites at home with a crowd and given their strength there this year, but the dogs are in this up to their eyeballs. Should be a great game.
 
Ok, so the game:

Dogs looked good second half, but Essendon were an 11 win team with quite a few youngsters. After three losses to end H&A not sure how to value that.

On the other hand Brisbane were very poor, but Melbourne can do that to good teams when they’re on. They finished H&A strongly but wasn’t exactly a murderers row of teams they beat in the last few weeks.

Both teams have structurally important players missing, but have significant assets as well that could turn or dominate a game. Brisbane can put five goals on you in the blink of an eye, but the dogs defence has been pretty good this year and have a midfield group that might be coming back into form.

I think the market has it right - Brisbane deserved favourites at home with a crowd and given their strength there this year, but the dogs are in this up to their eyeballs. Should be a great game.
Finally, this is a fair assessment.
 

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Suspect that Andrews is playing through an injury. If so, it’s the perfect game for Naughton to kick 4-5.

Lions deserve favouritism but the Dogs have been pretty good interstate this year, only dropping the round 22 game against the Hawks in Tasmania. They’ll embrace the challenge on Saturday night.
 
2 flaky teams.

Dogs have some of their mojo back, but got it back against a team that provided no pressure H2.

Lions looked hopeless against Dees pressure and speed (what a wonderful team btw), and some soft ineffectual players would be a worry. Dogs look more functional with their mids more dynamic, but their achilles heal is pressure and fierceness, if at least Lions can do that they may vivisect the dogs soft belly.

The team that flakes last will win the Battle of the Overblowns.
 
Club
Avg Age
Avg Gms
Avg Fnl
Avg Gls
Avg Hgt
Avg Wgt
Bris
26.26​
113.8​
6.0​
67.6​
188.1​
89.8​
W.B.
25.52​
95.6​
4.8​
44.8​
188.9​
87.3​
 
Is there any pressure on Fagan if they lose this? Would bring his finals record to 1-5, with 4 of those finals being at home.

Maybe, who knows. Not for mine. We were wooden spooners in 2017, if we win on Saturday we'll have made back to back prelims. Think he's done ok really, even if that doesn't happen, I guess you can spin it whichever way you want though.

Wasn't too long ago we were comparing the list & rebuilds of Brisbane & Carlton.
 
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