I will be surprised if the bottom 3 isn't Carlton, Saints and Gold Coast. There's no finishing order that would surprise me, but I would be surprised if any of those 3 improved and/or another side went backwards far enough for any of those 3 to climb above them.
On the surface I have STK quite a way ahead of GC/Carlton and could see them doing more to rise up the table - maybe to 10th or so with a good wind
GCS still have so much talent, recruited pretty well in the off season, and have some possibility of upside
Carlton have no senior players, no senior leaders. Hard to see how a low talent list, without leadership can rise in the short term
They need to get more games in the young blokes and mid tier leaders