Racing February Daily Punt - Still A 100% Danny Nikolic Free Zone

[FallingLiefs]

Ventura?

Unfortunately not. Windstorm is the one they rate.
That said their top seed from last years crop of currently 2 G1 winners was a 2 start gelding 1 win and unsighted since winter.

 

[FallingLiefs]

SS is heading over because he has to, it’s either derby prep or east. East makes more sense.

 

[iluvparis]

Looks like the bookies have finally got off the Dalacat hype train too - I was hoping a single figure lay would still be possible

 

[frantelle]

Apart from AB (who have mentioned they'd like a sit), is there anything that can lead in the Guineas?

 

[FallingLiefs]

I can get SS close to a G1 3yo rating I just don't know how far up the tree these 3yo's are he's bumping into. Hard to judge with such low depth at our older horses if 3yo's are genuinely top line in any generation. He has a fair few negatives on the weekend i'd expect he's probably 2.5L short on my best estimations at this stage but will see what I can find out.

 

[iluvparis]

Apart from AB (who have mentioned they'd like a sit), is there anything that can lead in the Guineas?

AE would be the only other I would think - settled second when it won the Gothic in the Spring

 

[LFC2010]

Commodus in the Australian Guineas field.. LOL, should be 300/1

Interesting runner at Terang today.

Race 5 - #4 Playoffs, been gelded and has the blinkers on 1st up even money seems to short for my liking.
think it still needs 1600m+.

 

[come on oliver]

Commodus in the Australian Guineas field.. LOL, should be 300/1

Interesting runner at Terang today.

Race 5 - #4 Playoffs, been gelded and has the blinkers on 1st up even money seems to short for my liking.
think it still needs 1600m+.

Yeah I have it bbooked. Trial was ok but leaving it alone

 

[onebillsdrive]

Pretty sure the stable think they have a better 3yo colt at home with storm in its name.

According to stables there is always a better one at home

 

[frantelle]

According to stables there is always a better one at home

They are all champions...until they get to a racetrack

 

[Viva la Mattner]

* me there’s some good early value for Saturday floating about
Will post my thoughts tonight

 

[IKnowtheDog]

Catalyst and Alligator will need to conquer the PointsBet curse on Saturday

 

[iluvparis]

fu** me there’s some good early value for Saturday floating about
Will post my thoughts tonight

Most of the winners look well found to me - you must be looking at the wrong horses

Certainly no Mustajeer's this week

 

[iluvparis]

Catalyst and Alligator will need to conquer the PointsBet curse on Saturday

Interesting.....

 

[Slipps]

fu** me there’s some good early value for Saturday floating about
Will post my thoughts tonight

Probabeel @5s

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Most of the winners look well found to me - you must be looking at the wrong horses

Certainly no Mustajeer's this week

Cazabillie - SA raider we’ve good strike rate of late

Morvada - in form

Gift of Power - 1st up

 

[iluvparis]

Cazabillie - SA raider we’ve good strike rate of late

Morvada - in form

Gift of Power - 1st up

- way out of its depth
- plenty of others in form in that race
- needs it bottomless

 

[Viva la Mattner]

You think TAS wins this week iluvparis ?
He gets up IMO

Not discounting Homesman fresh with new trainer

 

[iluvparis]

You think TAS wins this week iluvparis ?
He gets up IMO

Not discounting Homesman fresh with new trainer

Yes - needs to/should be wining this if the hype is anywhere near justified.

 

[Viva la Mattner]

In what’s a lottery in the last at Headquarters- the top 2 will be where I’m backing e/w
Just Hifalutin and Fox Hall

 

[Viva la Mattner]

Yes - needs to/should be wining this if the hype is anywhere near justified.

Opinion on Homesman here?

 

[iluvparis]

Opinion on Homesman here?

I'm not touching anything coming out of Lloyd's until they prove they are going ok.

Blue ATM the obvious danger - save on the quin

 

[Gavin Excell]

Commodus in the Australian Guineas field.. LOL, should be 300/1

Interesting runner at Terang today.

Race 5 - #4 Playoffs, been gelded and has the blinkers on 1st up even money seems to short for my liking.
think it still needs 1600m+.

It won well

 

[LFC2010]

It won well

forgot to watch it, how far did it win by?
obviously being gelded & blinkers have done the job.

 

[iluvparis]

It won well

Obviously had the full milky during the spell