How Many Wins For 2016?

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May 13, 2007
2,518
3,480
<---------
AFL Club
West Coast
Other Teams
Seahawks, Huskies, Newcastle Utd.
Now that the fixture has been released I'm interested in everyone's thoughts as to how many wins we will have for 2016.

WCE v Brisbane Lions WIN
Hawthorn v WCE LOSS
WCE v Fremantle WIN
WCE v Richmond WIN
Sydney Swans v WCE LOSS
WCE v Collingwood WIN
Geelong Cats v WCE LOSS
WCE v St Kilda WIN
Port Adelaide v WCE LOSS
WCE v Gold Coast Suns WIN
Western Bulldogs v WCE LOSS
WCE v Adelaide Crows WIN
Brisbane Lions v WCE WIN
WCE v Essendon WIN
WCE v North Melbourne WIN
Carlton v WCE WIN
WCE v Melbourne WIN
Collingwood v WCE WIN
Fremantle v WCE WIN
GWS Giants v WCE WIN
WCE v Hawthorn WIN
Adelaide Crows v WCE LOSS

16 - 6 for the year should at least get us top 4.

Compared to finishing second in 2015 I actually see our draw as pretty soft. We should win all home games this year with the dangers being Freo and the Hawks.

Away losses to 6 sides but I feel that 5 of them are each way bets and we might go in as favourites for those anyhow with the exception being the Hawks game. We might win 2 of those being the Dogs and Port.

At the half way mark I have us at 6 - 5 but with the run home we could win 11 straight if we can roll the Crows in the last game.
 
My gutt says your not too far off the mark but my head tells me not to expect us to be so good next year. We could very well do a port and get ourselves in trouble if we assume anything and put too much pressure on ourselves. May be a game or two that we drop when we really shouldn't. Gonna guess maybe 14 wins
 

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WCE v Brisbane Lions WIN
Hawthorn v WCE LOSS
WCE v Fremantle WIN
WCE v Richmond WIN
Sydney Swans v WCE LOSS
WCE v Collingwood WIN
Geelong Cats v WCE WIN
WCE v St Kilda WIN
Port Adelaide v WCE WIN
WCE v Gold Coast Suns WIN
Western Bulldogs v WCE WIN
WCE v Adelaide Crows WIN
Brisbane Lions v WCE WIN
WCE v Essendon WIN
WCE v North Melbourne WIN
Carlton v WCE WIN
WCE v Melbourne WIN
Collingwood v WCE WIN
Fremantle v WCE WIN
GWS Giants v WCE WIN
WCE v Hawthorn WIN
Adelaide Crows v WCE LOSS

19-3

Will expect to drop another 1 or 2. that puts us at 17-5. Id be very happy with that effort.
This gives us a nice 16 game win streak in between rounds 6-21.
BOI OI BOI OI BOI season 2016 is what i'm looking >>>> to
 
13-9, 7th. Tough draw plus heaps of 6 day breaks means we're probably going to drop a few 50/50 games.

We beat finals virgins GWS in Sydney in an EF before succumbing to Geelong in Melbourne.

UF1vQAB.gif
 

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Just finished doing some extensive analysis using the latest statistical software and I am now confident it will be somewhere between 0 and 25 wins next year. So that should situate us somewhere between 1st and 18th on the ladder.

Edit: Somehow The West Australian came across my post and have offered me a job as their chief statistician. Said I had more insight and accuracy than their current person.
 
Last edited:
WCE v Brisbane Lions WIN
Hawthorn v WCE WIN (will want to make amends for the GF loss & revive the Kennett Curse, but WCE style)
WCE v Fremantle WIN (Will put more daylight on our W/L ratio)
WCE v Richmond WIN
Sydney Swans v WCE LOSS (Just)
WCE v Collingwood WIN
Geelong Cats v WCE LOSS (Just - Cats have a cruisie fixture)
WCE v St Kilda WIN
Port Adelaide v WCE WIN
WCE v Gold Coast Suns WIN
Western Bulldogs v WCE WIN
WCE v Adelaide Crows WIN
Brisbane Lions v WCE WIN
WCE v Essendon WIN
WCE v North Melbourne WIN
Carlton v WCE WIN
WCE v Melbourne WIN
Collingwood v WCE WIN
Fremantle v WCE WIN
GWS Giants v WCE WIN
WCE v Hawthorn WIN
Adelaide Crows v WCE LOSS
 
Would have said 22-0 if McGinnity and Lucas weren't still on the list..... :p

Seriously though, 16 is what would be considered a minimum. We beat every other team this season and we should improve with our trade period this year. What do we require for top 2? 17?
 
WCE v Brisbane Lions WIN
Hawthorn v WCE LOSS
WCE v Fremantle WIN
WCE v Richmond WIN
Sydney Swans v WCE WIN
WCE v Collingwood WIN
Geelong Cats v WCE LOSS
WCE v St Kilda WIN
Port Adelaide v WCE LOSS
WCE v Gold Coast Suns WIN
Western Bulldogs v WCE WIN
WCE v Adelaide Crows WIN
Brisbane Lions v WCE WIN
WCE v Essendon WIN
WCE v North Melbourne WIN
Carlton v WCE WIN
WCE v Melbourne WIN
Collingwood v WCE LOSS
Fremantle v WCE LOSS
GWS Giants v WCE WIN
WCE v Hawthorn WIN
Adelaide Crows v WCE LOSS

16-6
 
The worst i can see us doing is 13 / 9. That's with us dropping any of the trickier games. Every chance that we win half of those, leaving us on 17 or so wins.
 
I've noticed most seem to be penciling in the Geelong game as a loss. Curious as to why this is, because they got Dangerfield (managed to beat Adelaide with him carving up), Henderson (not a match winner IMO) and old mate Scooter?

I agree. But I do think with a fit Hawkins they should improve significantly. Only one of those three recruits will make a notable difference however.
 
I think 16 wins minimum if we're being confident. 18, if we can beat Freo twice and PA away. Hawks at home will also be a big challenge. Will depend on the form of teams that slid last season, if they improve ot not.
WCE v Brisbane Lions
WIN
Hawthorn v WCE LOSS
WCE v Fremantle WIN
WCE v Richmond WIN
Sydney Swans v WCE LOSS
WCE v Collingwood WIN
Geelong Cats v WCE WIN
WCE v St Kilda WIN
Port Adelaide v WCE LOSS
WCE v Gold Coast Suns WIN
Western Bulldogs v WCE LOSS
WCE v Adelaide Crows WIN
Brisbane Lions v WCE WIN
WCE v Essendon WIN
WCE v North Melbourne WIN
Carlton v WCE WIN
WCE v Melbourne WIN
Collingwood v WCE WIN
Fremantle v WCE LOSS
GWS Giants v WCE WIN
WCE v Hawthorn WIN
Adelaide Crows v WCE LOSS
 

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