EPL Matchday 25

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Bradesmaen

Hall of Famer
Apr 8, 2007
44,142
17,352
Dublin
AFL Club
Fremantle
Other Teams
SJ Sharks/Everton/NY Jets
Worst Expected goals: Brighton at +11.85
Best Expected goals: Man United at -9.20

Maupay the worst in Brighton and Fernandes with the most unexpected in the respective sides, although if you take as many shots as he does it does eventually add up to 1 expected goal (hence why Expected goals per shot should be more of an accurate measurement than just expected goals).
 

RPCB

Brownlow Medallist
Jun 21, 2007
10,794
9,955
Melbourne
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Manchester United
Worst Expected goals: Brighton at +11.85
Best Expected goals: Man United at -9.20

Maupay the worst in Brighton and Fernandes with the most unexpected in the respective sides, although if you take as many shots as he does it does eventually add up to 1 expected goal (hence why Expected goals per shot should be more of an accurate measurement than just expected goals).
You would need to explain those American type stats to me. All but worthless in football.
 

Loonerty

Moderator
Jun 1, 2008
48,046
63,409
Wollongong
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Chelsea
I call that extremely unlucky.
Maybe, could also be poor shooting as well though.

xG doesn't really take into account the quality of shot and as Brades said you could have a million shots from like the corner of the opposite end and you'd end up with an xG of 1 eventually. So lots of shots from long range/tight angles can increase xG but it's a bit deceptive.
 

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Bradesmaen

Hall of Famer
Apr 8, 2007
44,142
17,352
Dublin
AFL Club
Fremantle
Other Teams
SJ Sharks/Everton/NY Jets
Maybe, could also be poor shooting as well though.

xG doesn't really take into account the quality of shot and as Brades said you could have a million shots from like the corner of the opposite end and you'd end up with an xG of 1 eventually. So lots of shots from long range/tight angles can increase xG but it's a bit deceptive.
Indeed. Even then it can be deceptive because in the case of Bruno v Maupay, he's taken a lot more shots from outside the area but obviously scored more non-penalty goals. All it takes is for a couple of lucky goals to throw it all out like the one v Everton where he tried to cross for Rashford but it went all the way in, that was 0.03 xG
 

Memphis

Premiership Player
Dec 21, 2018
4,588
2,723
Bay 314
AFL Club
Port Adelaide
Other Teams
Manchester United, Boston Celtics
Maybe but on the balance of play/shots/chances Tottenham probably should have won. Result doesn’t say that though so if you got on it then a nice profit 👍
Spurs had the same amount of shots on target as West ham though. Yes they had 20 shots but spurs never looked threatening at all.
 

sorted

Norm Smith Medallist
Aug 21, 2016
9,576
12,213
AFL Club
Geelong
Other Teams
Oldham, West Ham, Real Betis
Said every team.
Not quite but it's definitely a thing. This season only West Ham, Chelsea, Wolves, Arsenal, Southampton, Burnley, Newcastle and Sheffield U have a better home record than away. Whereas in 2019-20 every team except Southampton were better home than at away. In 2018-19 every single team got more points at home than away.
 

HODGEYROAD

Brownlow Medallist
May 10, 2007
17,774
19,034
Bonbeach
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Arsenal Fc Portland Trailblazers
Not quite but it's definitely a thing. This season only West Ham, Chelsea, Wolves, Arsenal, Southampton, Burnley, Newcastle and Sheffield U have a better home record than away. Whereas in 2019-20 every team except Southampton were better home than at away. In 2018-19 every single team got more points at home than away.
Really goes to show how important fans are, proof is in the pudding that fans are more of the advantage as opposed to familiar surroundings.
 

Topkent

Hall of Famer
Aug 29, 2010
41,953
53,589
Canada
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Winnipeg Jets
Not quite but it's definitely a thing. This season only West Ham, Chelsea, Wolves, Arsenal, Southampton, Burnley, Newcastle and Sheffield U have a better home record than away. Whereas in 2019-20 every team except Southampton were better home than at away. In 2018-19 every single team got more points at home than away.
Wow it's almost like without crowds home and away is a irrelevant concept and people need to stop bringing it up
 

Topkent

Hall of Famer
Aug 29, 2010
41,953
53,589
Canada
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Winnipeg Jets
Really goes to show how important fans are, proof is in the pudding that fans are more of the advantage as opposed to familiar surroundings.
What's why it's laughable when dumb campaigners think teams struggle at grounds in the AFL because they are 6m wider than their home ground.

The crowd is 90% of the difference
 

sorted

Norm Smith Medallist
Aug 21, 2016
9,576
12,213
AFL Club
Geelong
Other Teams
Oldham, West Ham, Real Betis
Really goes to show how important fans are, proof is in the pudding that fans are more of the advantage as opposed to familiar surroundings.
But why has it gone the other way? There's no fans. Some teams seem better when they are on a road trip.
 

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