Prediction Run to the finish line 2023

[fishardansin]

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[eth-dog]

We're done.

 

[owen87]

Don't think we're likely to make finals from here, but should still pick up the W again North & West Coast, GWS are in good form but should be a side around our level, then Collingwood looking like they'll have nothing in particular to play for in the final round (aside from beating us) is a good time to have them.

 

[Yoda_]

End of year ladder position
2023 - ???
2022 - miss finals (15th)
2021 - 8th > 49 point loss to Dogs
2020 - miss finals (13th)
2019 - 8th > 55 point loss to Eagles
2018 - miss finals (11th)
2017 - 7th > 65 point loss to Sydney

2016 - last (saga penalty year)

2015 - (miss finals) 15th
2014 - 7th > 12 point loss to North

2013 - 9th (thrown out after finishing 8th)

2012 - miss finals (11th)
2011 - 8th > 62 point loss to Carlton
2010 - miss finals (14th)
2009 - 8th > 96 point loss to Adelaide
2008 - miss finals (12th)
2007 - (12th)

If missing finals for two years in a row breaks this curse or whatever the * it is, then so be it. Average losing margin of 56.5 points is embarrassing. Miss, get the troops back, reboot and get the kids on the right path and hopefully see some success in my lifetime (35yo male)

 

[Call Me Cake]

We're done.

 

[eth-dog]

Cool. We still won't make finals.

 

[Westlo]

End of year ladder position
2023 - ???
2022 - miss finals (15th)
2021 - 8th > 49 point loss to Dogs
2020 - miss finals (13th)
2019 - 8th > 55 point loss to Eagles
2018 - miss finals (11th)
2017 - 7th > 65 point loss to Sydney

If missing finals for two years in a row breaks this curse or whatever the * it is, then so be it. Average losing margin of 56.5 points is embarrassing. Miss, get the troops back, reboot and get the kids on the right path and hopefully see some success in my lifetime (35yo male)

Yep we're such a treadmill team, same wins in 2019 and 2020 is 5 spots difference.....

We haven't had a consistent span of rebuilding, like yeah we had 3 top ten picks a few years back but we lost Daniher and Saad to have that.

Last time we did that was 05-10

2005 - Pick 5 Rider
2006 - Pick 2 Gumbleton (Of course we get ****ed out of a priority pick a year after Collingwood get Pendles and Daisy, could've drafted Selweod or Boak... what a load of s**t)
2007 - Pick 6 Myers
2008 - Pick 5 Hurley
2209 - Pick 10 Melksham
2010 - Pick 8 Heppell

Now we just yoyo between a Top 8 and a Top 14 pick and we've traded out so many firsts (2017-2019) for players who will all be gone in a few years time.

I really hope the following is the backbone of our next successful side.

2020 - Pick 8 Cox, Pick 9 Perkins, Pick 10 Reid
2021 - Pick 13 Hobbs
2022 - Pick 5 Tsatas
2023 - Pick 5 Nick Watson (copium)
.
.
2026 - Pick 1 F/S Lord ******* Bewick (maybe off by a year)

 

[citizen-erased]

only path in now is winning all 4 games.
GWS game is genuine 8pts for us, and Collingwood is a hope and a prayer.

You can only hope that the Saints beat the Blues, and GWS beat them in RD24, then the Pies relish the opp to end Carlton's season at the death again by laying down with a game to spare at the top. let's be honest, they'd prefer us in the 8 than the Blues too.

And we'd get the Saints or GWS in an EF. Which considering what the Dogs to us and GWS' form at the moment, i'll take that.

 

[eth-dog]

only path in now is winning all 4 games.
GWS game is genuine 8pts for us, and Collingwood is a hope and a prayer.

You can only hope that the Saints beat the Blues, and GWS beat them in RD24, then the Pies relish the opp to end Carlton's season at the death again by laying down with a game to spare at the top. let's be honest, they'd prefer us in the 8 than the Blues too.

And we'd get the Saints or GWS in an EF. Which considering what the Dogs to us and GWS' form at the moment, i'll take that.

Mate, they wouldn't give a s**t which team makes it out of the two of us. They're going for a flag. They won't mess around with their form at that point in the season.

We aren't making finals. And contrary to popular belief, that's a good thing for our development.

 

[citizen-erased]

Mate, they wouldn't give a s**t which team makes it out of the two of us. They're going for a flag. They won't mess around with their form at that point in the season.

We aren't making finals. And contrary to popular belief, that's a good thing for our development.

We'd be wrong side of the draw for them, but i'd be more wary of the blues come finals time. plus, it'd be funny

But largely agree. im worried about slipping up against norf to seriously consider beating GWS at home.
brightside, 0/4 from here = pick 4 Then Parish can leave

 

[I Remember Bluey]

R24 FIXTURE: Final-day thrillers loom, Dons-Pies in primetime

The make-up of the top eight and top four could well be determined on the final day of the home and away season

www.afl.com.au

ROUND 24 FIXTURE​

Friday, August 25

Essendon v Collingwood, MCG, 7.50pm AEST (Seven)

Saturday, August 26

North Melbourne v Gold Coast, Blundstone Arena, 1.45pm AEST (Fox)
Hawthorn v Fremantle, MCG, 1.45pm AEST (Fox)
Brisbane v St Kilda, Gabba, 4.35pm AEST (Fox)
Geelong v Western Bulldogs, GMHBA Stadium, 7.25pm AEST (Seven)
West Coast v Adelaide, Optus Stadium, 6.10pm AWST (Fox)

Sunday, August 27

Port Adelaide v Richmond, Adelaide Oval, 12pm ACST (Fox)
Sydney v Melbourne, SCG, 3.20pm AEST (Seven)
Carlton v Greater Western Sydney, Marvel Stadium, 6.10pm AEST (Fox)

 

[Call Me Cake]

Of course they put Carlton - GWS as the last match.

 

[Schnitzengruben]

We're still a chance for finals.

 

[eth-dog]

We're still a chance for finals.

Will just need to make up the 13% gap to GWS against the top side. Easy

 

[MiguelM]

Title needs to change to "Walk" or "jog" to the finish line.

 

[Vindicater]

Will just need to make up the 13% gap to GWS against the top side. Easy

 

[Beerfish]

I blame this thread. Knew it was bad juju as soon it was posted.

 

[eth-dog]

Haha - about as delusional as the Saints making the 8. We nearly beat Port but for a kick after the siren - cats n dogs r good teams - we have 4 very winnable games and you have already written us off - lol


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Saints home and hosed.

 

[Schnitzengruben]

Will just need to make up the 13% gap to GWS against the top side. Easy

 

[Kong]

 

[Westlo]

Saints home and hosed.

lol no

Brisbane aint letting up next week because they need to win to secure 2nd spot. (1st on the line if Pies lose to avoid melbourne)

Dead game for Geelong while Dogs season is on the line.

If Dogs win it's a dead game for Carlton who will lock in 5th while GWS will know how much they need to win by to make finals.

In that situation Carlton will also know a win will mean they play saints and a loss will be a rematch against GWS.

 

[Nuggs Bunny]

Predictable after the Freo loss tbh, that should have been one of the wins we banked and whether it be that we just got them on a good night or we just didn't show up to play, they're the sorts of games against teams around you on the ladder which you need to bank to feature in September.

Since the bye and including the Freo match, we've had five such games against similar opposition. (Freo, Adelaide, Bulldogs, Swans and Giants). We needed to win 3/5 to be certain of finals and 2/5 to be in the conversation. Instead we've only won 1/5 against the Crows. Even though the almost win against Port was encouraging, these results show where we truly are.

The final nail in the coffin was allowing a combined 12 point margin against two of the worst teams ever to play in the league in the modern era. If the other results showed where we are as a team, these ones showed that we just don't give a * about it either.

 

[Duckworth]

New thread title; How low can we go?
Need a lot of games to fall the right way..
Freo beat Port (this week) the Hawthorn next week
Geelong beat Bulldogs
Adelaide beat West Coast
Richmond beat Port

With of course us losing to Collingwood.

That will get us to 14th.

 

[eth-dog]

lol no

Brisbane aint letting up next week because they need to win to secure 2nd spot. (1st on the line if Pies lose to avoid melbourne)

Dead game for Geelong while Dogs season is on the line.

If Dogs win it's a dead game for Carlton who will lock in 5th while GWS will know how much they need to win by to make finals.

In that situation Carlton will also know a win will mean they play saints and a loss will be a rematch against GWS.

Ok. They're home.

 

[ant555]

Will just need to make up the 13% gap to GWS against the top side. Easy

What are the numbers we need ? we win by 60 and the Blues win by 60 ? In saying that the Blues probably lose anyway and if we happened to have the 100-1 result it would only be by a slim margin.

 

[Nifft]

What are the numbers we need ? we win by 60 and the Blues win by 60 ? In saying that the Blues probably lose anyway and if we happened to have the 100-1 result it would only be by a slim margin.

If we make the finals I'll get a Baldric costume and become your personal dogsbody for a year...