Triple J Hottest 100 - 2020

jack 23

Team Captain
Apr 22, 2017
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yall ready for 2020?

A new thread has been started.

General consensus is that Dance Monkey will win, with Bad Guy looming as second favourite. A banger would have to drop within the month to challenge either of these for the title. Flume, Amy Shark, Tame Impala and Denzel Curry are the next favorites but without looking too threatening/likely.

This thread is more directed towards the betting side of the event, with most of the followers doing pretty well the last few years, and previous threads are still on this forum.

Most major bookies have released an outright win market which is usually followed by a Top 10, Top 5, Top 3 and in the week leading up to the event a surge of of Request-a-Bet markets. Two years ago these were ridiculously priced (before bookies were clued on to the warmest100 and warm tunas, etc.) with markets at $100-1 which should have been single digit odds, being hit by us.

2019 the odds provided were extremely stringent, but most on the forum did well to find a few value bets as they slipped through and made good profits, with a bit of luck too. Most of us now find ourselves severely capped on betting limits for these novelty events.

2020 Hottest 100 Outright Markets movement over the last couple months :

Neds 2nd October:
Tones and I $2.50
Billie Eillish $3.50

Neds 14 October
Tonnes and I $2.25
Bad Guy $3.25

Neds 4th November
Dance Monkey $2.25
Bad Guy $3.25

Neds 7th November
Dance Monkey $1.90
Bad Guy $3.50

Couple of takeaways from last year from me.

- Beware the internationals
- Not even the best/ most accurate vote count was close with the top 5.
- In the last 24hrs the top 3 seemed leaky but the final order of the top 3 was well kept (from a betting and odds perspective)

My moneys on Bad Guy to win but we'll have a better idea when betting opens. Goodluck!
 
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ronpingwins

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Apr 1, 2013
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Should probably start a new thread soon.

Hopefully we can get them to at least put some top 10 markets up early. Pretty sure Dance Monkey is going to win, so not a lot of value there. Neds had it up between $6-$11 briefly a few months ago, was fortunate to get a little on. I suspect we'll see two songs from Tones and I, billie eolith and Flume in the top 10, as well as the Denzel Curry LAV. Lots of contenders for the other spots though.

Markets could be a little tighter this year if they caught on there was a bit of a leak happening.
 

BuddysBiggestFan

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Oct 24, 2008
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Odds have been up for most of the year for winning artist.

Put a little on Fidlar back in April, not confident at all now.

Always liked Dance Monkey, didn’t think it’d become such a huge hit, so missed the boat.
 

FallingLiefs

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Jan 30, 2013
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Should probably start a new thread soon.

Hopefully we can get them to at least put some top 10 markets up early. Pretty sure Dance Monkey is going to win, so not a lot of value there. Neds had it up between $6-$11 briefly a few months ago, was fortunate to get a little on. I suspect we'll see two songs from Tones and I, billie eolith and Flume in the top 10, as well as the Denzel Curry LAV. Lots of contenders for the other spots though.

Markets could be a little tighter this year if they caught on there was a bit of a leak happening.
What songs for Billie qualify?
 

AvantGardener

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Mar 13, 2016
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I guess Billie has the multiple songs could take votes off each other factor as well but Bad Guy could be a chance to take it out given Tones and I voters could be split between a few songs. I think the public like Tones and I songs more evenly but Bad Guy is much more popular than Billies other songs.
 

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jack 23

Team Captain
Apr 22, 2017
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I'm hoping bad guy wins for its value but too early to know.

Looks like bad guy or dance monkey win unless a pearler of a song drops in the next 3 weeks
 

anabac

Team Captain
Feb 21, 2011
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If Denzel Curry did the LAV in November instead of earlier in the year it would go really close. The hype was massive when that thing dropped, i think it's definite top 5, if not top 3
 

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