- Nov 23, 2015
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- AFL Club
- GWS
- Moderator
- #1,726
My view would be that most Vics, SA & WA are flight risks, whether they say it outright or not. You can get your Bailey Smiths & Archie Perkins who outright tell you not to pick them, or you get your Tanner Bruhns & Jye Caldwells who simply lie to your face. Yes, I am concerned that he might go home in 2 years, and we've wasted another pick. But I'm also afraid that Aaron Cadman may do just the same (as fellow Vic Country draftee Caleb Marchbank did) or that George Wardlaw might do the same (and he also has the hamstring issue). And on and on down the list of potential draftees. While I am concerned about it, apart from VFL House actually stepping up and doing something concrete to mitigate the issue, I can only trust the club to do as much due diligence on the risk as they can.Only issue with Sheezel is the go home stuff and I have no idea what type of flight risk he is, I don't lean either way to him being more or less of a flight risk just because there's nothing glaringly obvious about him leaving and he's of course said all the right things but ultimately talk is cheap. It doesn't seem like he's obviously more of a flight risk then other vic prospects. Think he'd be my top pick out of the 3 in our range.
If we select him, I'd expect he'll play from early in season 2023, possibly from round 1. Hopefully, that would be a massive fillip that helps keep him. Having said all that, I would love Aaron Cadman to slip to #3, because we do need that tall forward to develop for the next 15 years. (Then we can worry about his go-home-itis.)