Banter Who will be better in 2024? Carlton or Collingwood?

[Fadge]

Tell me this Mr odds man . If Brisbane is $1.12, then why isn't north at anything over $7 then ? Check out the odds at TAB . I'm sure you won't have any answer to that other than WoW !

Refer to Crankyhawk's comment about his odds being based on zero margin.

Oh boy...

 

[Worm4]

Yes, that's what happens with the commercial $1.90 market (where an even money match is $1.90). It does make the math a bit harder (I think if collingwood are an 85% chance to win, the return offered for a collingwood bet would be more along the $1.10-1.12 for the commercial market)

What other market are we talking about here other than what is put up by sports betting agencies ?

 

[Worm4]

Refer to Crankyhawk's comment about his odds being based on zero margin.

Oh boy...

Can you offer me 7/1 then. Or are imagining those odds for Carlton when they play the pies ? I will take it as imagining once again shooting from your big mouth about probability and getting stuck with no where to go

 

[Fadge]

What other market are we talking about here other than what is put up by sports betting agencies ?

It was a simple example used in an effort to help you understand how the calculation is done.

Clearly it wasn't simple enough...

 

[Robertio]

Astounding you'd reference Ginnivan whilst trying to defend the number of free kicks Charlie and Harry receive...

Then again, nothing should surprise me with you guys...

Why?

 

[Worm4]

Well that's what I posted.

Astounding it took you 20 posts to work it out...

The big question - do you actually understand the calculation now?

Again, where can I get me some of that action ?
Don't deflect- answer the question

 

[Fadge]

Can you offer me 7/1 then. Or are imagining those odds for Carlton when they play the pies ? I will take it as imagining once again shooting from your big mouth about probability and getting stuck with no where to go

No thanks.

I'll just load up on Collingwood for the game in the knowledge they will be well over the odds in that match.

 

[Arr0w]

No thanks.

I'll just load up on Collingwood for the game in the knowledge they will be well over the odds in that match.

Like you did for us finishing 11th last year

 

[Robertio]

Nah, it's just a classic example there are one set of rules for some players, and a different set of rules for others.

Ha ha ha, we've been rubbish for nearly two and a half decades now we've come good it's the umpires fault, schoolyard talk.

 

[Worm4]

No thanks.

I'll just load up on Collingwood for the game in the knowledge they will be well over the odds in that match.

So you actually acknowledge that the professional agencies will have a market totally different to the one you posted earlier - congratulations

 

[Arr0w]

Poor fadge, it continues to unravel

 

[Crankyhawk]

What other market are we talking about here other than what is put up by sports betting agencies ?

Talking about the hypothetical one (to simplify the maths) - there may be a calculator out there which does the commercial one but I haven’t found it.

I would highly doubt that Collingwood would be $1.15 if they are an 85% chance to win on the commercial market (that would be overs)

 

[Arr0w]

So you actually acknowledge that the professional agencies will have a market totally different to the one you posted earlier - congratulations

Classic fadge

View attachment images.mp4

 

[Crankyhawk]

So you actually acknowledge that the professional agencies will have a market totally different to the one you posted earlier - congratulations

Ah now I see where he going, it was in response to you having Carlton at 2.85 so he would think Collingwood are overs with an 85% chance to win.

 

[Worm4]

On my feed , the only way Peter Wright was going to avoid suspension. Clever

 

[Fadge]

So you actually acknowledge that the professional agencies will have a market totally different to the one you posted earlier - congratulations

I didn't post a 'market' earlier, and I prefaced my post with 'I'd go'....

Some people just don't know when to hold 'em, and when to fold 'em...

 

[Worm4]

I didn't post a 'market' earlier, and I prefaced my post with 'I'd go'....

Some people just don't know when to hold 'em, and when to fold 'em...

Yep, your thoughts were 85/15. Way off , again.

 

[Fadge]

Yep, your thoughts were 85/15. Way off , again.

Given Carlton have won 2 of their last 17 games against Collingwood that haven't been dead rubbers or crowdless COVID games, I may have slightly understated Collingwood's winning probability.

 

[Chism]

Given Carlton have won 2 of their last 17 games against Collingwood that haven't been dead rubbers or crowdless COVID games, I may have slightly understated Collingwood's winning probability.

 

[Arr0w]

Given Carlton have won 2 of their last 17 games against Collingwood that haven't been dead rubbers or crowdless COVID games, I may have slightly understated Collingwood's winning probability.

Love it, especially when you get so salty people bringing up the past in threads like this, 2024

6 decades is a great timeline

 

[carlton_99]

crowdless COVID games,

Can you not win without that cringey USA chant or something?

 

[BennyGFunk]

GWS are better than both, as are Melbourne if they kick straight.

Debatable.

I think it’s pretty dead even between Carlton, GWS, Sydney and Melbourne atm and I think most (real) neutrals would agree..

However I’m very happy considering the evenness how lucky we are to have two generational key forwards as a point of difference…

 

[Blue1980]

You ever been with a really attractive woman, like way out of your league, and you just get a little too carried away, and it all ends just way too prematurely..?

I know the answer is no, but just pretend. Nothing to be ashamed of. Happens to the best of us.

Anyway what happens next is you turn up like a stallion second time around and absolutely dominate.

This season has that kind of feeling about it for Carlton.. I’m talking 25-0 kind of stuff..

Surely you are joking.

I’m guessing you meant 26-0

 

[Fadge]

Debatable.

I think it’s pretty dead even between Carlton, GWS, Sydney and Melbourne atm and I think most (real) neutrals would agree..

Hilarious and delusional.

 

[Worm4]

Ah now I see where he going, it was in response to you having Carlton at 2.85 so he would think Collingwood are overs with an 85% chance to win.

Funny thing is, if Carlton get to $2.85, my balance is going to take a big hit for a day or two before I possibly collect