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3 but yeah. What a joke.Only given 2 seasons. Was he really that bad?
You're slightly pessimistic on the odds, particularly for Saints. It's ~25% according to the betting odds, which brings the chances up to ~52%. That makes the $2.25 for top 4 over the odds.Iām gonna get a bit crazy and try and calculate our top 4 chances, so
- Result in Melbourne v Brisbane: almost certain, 99.5%
- Win vs GWS: Favourites, we have better form and more to play for, they are missing Greene, but it is in Sydney and GWS are talented and erratic. 70% sounds about right to me
- Carlton win: 50% here. I think Carlton win but itās very 50/50
AND/OR St Kilda win: It is in Melbourne not Sydney, but itās hard to make a case for the Saints vs the Swans with better form and more to play for. 10% is fair.
So 0.995 x 0.7 x (0.5 + 0.1) = ~42% chance of making the top 4. Iām not crazy youāre crazy.
**** em.Jeez we are gone completely off the radar amongst the AFL media in Melbourne.
There Will be a few hacks scratching their heads if we win and Carlton win next week and we are top 4.
āDidnt freo sneak in quietly to a qualifying final?ā āWhere the hell did they come from?ā
Not necessarily a bad thing for us but itās bloody irritating nonetheless not to be mentioned. We have won 14 games this year and earned the right to be respected a bit more than we are.
My goodness me Iād love it if we turned over one of these big Melbourne clubs in a knockout final..
Boy you must really hate EssendonTbh Ross Lyon should look at Essendon.
Who is Zeibull??Can we please spare a thought for North in all this - their supercoach snatched from them! Maybe not too late to get Zeibull?
Sydney don't have to travel 5 hours by plane either to get to the ground.Sydney lost their first final in 05 but they matched up with a non Vic side in the GF in WC
Sydney don't have to travel 5 hours by plane either to get to the ground.
Travel isn't really a big factor for them unlike the other states.
Unless they have a target in mind & that target is interested. Iām not saying they would/could be any better, but sometimes the marketability of the coach is just as important as their coaching abilities.Bombers massively over achieved with a young list last year and were lucky to make the 8 with an 11-11 record, considering Carlton or the Bulldogs might go 12-10 and miss out.
Firing him would be at least a year's step back with their age profile.
The good news is Iām sure the Port fans were happy with their win & stoked to have Kenny going around again.A lot of generous people here. I suspect many wouldn't be feeling as charitable had they watched their own team dishing up what Essendon did for most of this year.