Prediction 2020 Ladder Predictions

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SuperSub17

Brownlow Medallist
Sep 25, 2011
11,879
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Collingwood
Can’t believe Sportsbet have the saints at $5.50 to miss the 8. They’ll have to beat the giants next week to make it and I’d have the giants as favourites myself. Money for jam.
Their top 8 markets certainly seem a bit off. Collingwood is paying $3.75 to miss the 8 but H2H Gold Coast is currently $3.50 this week - we have to lose both to miss which gives Port a value of around $1.07 next week. We won’t be favourites or anything but that seems like a stretch to me...
 

dean33

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 10, 2007
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Their top 8 markets certainly seem a bit off. Collingwood is paying $3.75 to miss the 8 but H2H Gold Coast is currently $3.50 this week - we have to lose both to miss which gives Port a value of around $1.07 next week. We won’t be favourites or anything but that seems like a stretch to me...
Collingwood won’t miss and they are $3.75, I think saints should be shorter than the pies
 

dean33

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 10, 2007
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There are other results that can go our way (dogs losing a game or Melbourne winning both games in close finishes) but yeah, 5.50 is huge value. We’re a pretty decent chance to miss. Very good insurance option for saints fans.
I think you blew your chance on Thursday, was there for you to take but you couldn’t do it. I think dogs are going the best of all the bottom 8 teams and expect they’ll win their last 2 and I expect the giants to put Melbourne away today. Pies should have no issue beating suns so likely it comes down to giants saints next week. Definitely good insurance bet for saints fans I think, you’ve had a great year but you don’t have the same zip you did early on.
 

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werdna78

Team Captain
Sep 29, 2009
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Can’t avoid us forever... you still gotta come through Chicago...
IMO we're not far away from you, we apply a similar amount of pressure, but let it off by missing goals and the ball often goes coast to coast on the kick in.

I also think our best football will be in a couple of years time, when our core group are mid to late twenties.
 

dean33

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 10, 2007
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IMO we're not far away from you, we apply a similar amount of pressure, but let it off by missing goals and the ball often goes coast to coast on the kick in.

I also think our best football will be in a couple of years time, when our core group are mid to late twenties.
You’re gonna beat us at some stage, who knows it could be this year. Andrews out really hurts you, probably as much as McGovern for the eagles. Will be an interesting finals series.
 

dean33

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 10, 2007
9,074
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I am going to enjoy looking back at this thread at the people who predicted the dockers to finish bottom 4, bottom 2 or the spoon.
Unfortunately no one really cares about the dockers. You’ll probably find that when people did their ladders on counting back realised they only had 17 teams, and on most occasions that missing team was the dockers.
 

00Stinger

Duel Group 1 winner
May 8, 2007
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Unfortunately no one really cares about the dockers. You’ll probably find that when people did their ladders on counting back realised they only had 17 teams, and on most occasions that missing team was the dockers.
35% of the time it was Freo missing

65% of time it was North missing. And not because people forgot about them but because people just don;t really care about them
 

Freomaniac

Brownlow Medallist
May 3, 2007
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Yep Freo shafted by a free kick.

If GWS beat ONE of Kangaroos, Adelaide, Sydney or Melbourne they are playing finals.
Freo lost to essendon by 6 points, lost to Brisbane by 12 points, Lost to the suns by 13 points, Lost to the blue by 4 points. Win 3 of those games, instead of being 7-10, would of been 10-7 and in the finals.
 

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FreeTK

Premiership Player
Oct 2, 2019
3,628
6,529
AFL Club
West Coast
you predicted the dockers to finish wooden spoon, didnt you?
No, but I think I did predict them to be bottom 4.

I'm really happy for you guys.

At Least now we will get a new bottom six double up to beat up on while having easy beat Freo as our middle six double up.

Win/win.
 

Ducky Tie

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 15, 2011
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Everyone loses some close games. Can get caught in a endless cycle of what ifs when you look at your own teams close ones they lost. Percentage is a good indicator. Freo have the 11th best percentage and are 11th on the ladder. That’s about right. They could have pinched a few more close ones but that probably would have left them with a slightly better ladder position than their season’s form actually was.
 

Forward Press

Premium Platinum
Jul 5, 2011
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lost 3-4 games by 12 points or less. Name one AFL team that bashed the dockers by 80-100 points then.

Should of been 10-7 rather than 7-10.
11th best percentage in the competition sitting 11th on the ladder.

I know you have a 'unique' style of posting but let's not be wilfully ignorant here.
 

Ducky Tie

Norm Smith Medallist
Jun 15, 2011
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lost 3-4 games by 12 points or less. Name one AFL team that bashed the dockers by 80-100 points then.

Should of been 10-7 rather than 7-10.
Gold Coast and Brisbane were definitely the better teams on those days. I don’t think you can claim them as games you should have won. In terms of 50/50 games, Freo has won one (Saints), lost two (Carlton, Essendon). 11th best percentage, 11th on the ladder. It’s about where Freo should be.
 

Forward Press

Premium Platinum
Jul 5, 2011
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So according to your view, freo will finish bottom 4 or with a wooden spoon in 2021?
No but who cares, this is the 2020 ladder prediction thread. Finishing 11th or 12th doesn't exactly justify laughing at those who predicted a bottom 4 finish. I rate Longmuir but this isn't endearing Freo to the casual BigFooty poster.
 

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