Norm De Guerre
Left of the dial.
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- Mar 27, 2004
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I doubt that he is carrying any sort of injury.No, I don't think there's any doubt his production is down. The question I'm asking is why.
Look at the career stats I posted above. There's a modest difference between 2022 and 2023 but the difference between 2021 and 2023 is stark:
Disposals DOWN 20% (Kicks DOWN 29%, Handball DOWN 2%)
Marks DOWN 21%
Tackles DOWN 14%
GAs DOWN 40%
i50 UP 4%
Clearances DOWN 32%
Clangers DOWN 35% (a good thing!)
R50 DOWN 25%
I'm not being critical of Macrae. I'm just pointing out his stats AND the eye test say he's not exerting the sort of influence he had 2-3 years ago. I'm hoping there's some transient or tactical reason rather than having to accept that his career is in terminal decline. It shouldn't be happening yet.
Most of the differences between 2021 and 2023 could be put down to him being further away from the engine room (at least for some of the game) so I'm more inclined to follow Next Waiting 's line of reasoning.
I'm also clinging onto the hope that he might be nursing some sort of chronic injury (ribs? intercostal?) from which he could recover after a good off-season.
My gut feeling though is that we're seeing a permanent shift in our midfield dynamic. With Treloar and Libba also close to the end of their careers it highlights the need to
(1) use our high draft picks to recruit some more grunt and speed for the engine room
(2) find a way to tap the unrealised talent we already have in Bailey Smith.
Slow players eventually get exposed. Especially in a game where teams are prone to have devastating periods of midfield dominance. If this wasn't true then we could've expected Macrae to just slide straight into the Dunkley shaped void that was created in our already slow midfield and called it a day. Instead The Bont has upped the ante and assumed that role as well as our No1 attacking mid from the centre square and taken his game into the stratosphere. Unfortunately for Jack, his skillset is not one that is attuned to that of a hardened defensively minded bull (no Im not calling Macrae soft!). Nor is it attuned to the fast break long kicking game of the games elite figures like The Bont, Oliver or Petracca to name a few.
Its at this point that a clever coach recognises a players shortcoming and begins transitioning the player into other roles.
This is what we are seeing Beveridge do in real time. Macrae's stats are in decline and role is in a state of flux right now because it had to be.
As great as he has been, we just couldn't carry another one paced mid in our starting midfield rotation any longer. It was killing us against the top end of the competition and had us struggling against the rest.
Whether coach and player can find the right balance remains to be seem. However, Matt Boyd showed us that you can re-role and become an elite contributor in multiple areas of the ground after being written off as past it. Especially so, if you are like Boyd was and you're a complete psychopath willing to dedicate ever minute of your life towards making that change.
By hook or by crook or trade we absolutely have to be targeting top end midfield talent in the coming drafts. Because what's underneath our starting midfield is about as shallow as my grasp on Quantum Physics. Something we're going to find out all about as soon as this weekend.
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