Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Here is my go at tomorrow night:
Starting point 2019 results:
LNP 77 (use this number - Kelly's seat will go back to the LNP)
ALP 68
Independent 6
2022 election
Probable ALP gains
4 seats across WA (definite 1, maybe 2), SA (definite 1), and Tasmania (maybe 1)
QLD probably net none, may exchange 1 seat with NLP
Say 3 or 4 outer seats in Melbourne, Sydney (includes Reid and Bennelong), one inner Melbourne
Say at least 8 in total
Seats gained say 8, so ALP 76, LNP 69 Independents 6
Probable LNP gains
Nil net in QLD
Gilmore (south coast) and Hunter in NSW
One outer Sydney seat
ALP 73, LNP 72 Independents 6
If we stop here = Minority ALP govt
And now my surprise wins for LNP
(I have read some reasonable predictions that the ON and UAP vote is way understated in published polling. Indeed, quite possibly there are >20% of people really angry and will not be voting for any of the major parties. This plus other factors I predict will lead to some surprise results)
Big NT seat beginning with L
Parramatta and Fowler (yes, Fowler!) – dud/unpopular drop in candidates
Indi and/or at least one other seat from outer Melbourne (Mad Dan hatred), or Sydney or NSW Central Coast
Total of at least 4
ALP 70 LNP 76 Independents 5
Say 3 new Teals get up (could be optimistic, they have stuffed their HTV cards)
ALP 70 LNP 73 Independents 8
PREDICTED RESULT = Minority LNP govt
Here is my go at tomorrow night:
Starting point 2019 results:
LNP 77 (use this number - Kelly's seat will go back to the LNP)
ALP 68
Independent 6
2022 election
Probable ALP gains
4 seats across WA (definite 1, maybe 2), SA (definite 1), and Tasmania (maybe 1)
QLD probably net none, may exchange 1 seat with NLP
Say 3 or 4 outer seats in Melbourne, Sydney (includes Reid and Bennelong), one inner Melbourne
Say at least 8 in total
Seats gained say 8, so ALP 76, LNP 69 Independents 6
Probable LNP gains
Nil net in QLD
Gilmore (south coast) and Hunter in NSW
One outer Sydney seat
ALP 73, LNP 72 Independents 6
If we stop here = Minority ALP govt
And now my surprise wins for LNP
(I have read some reasonable predictions that the ON and UAP vote is way understated in published polling. Indeed, quite possibly there are >20% of people really angry and will not be voting for any of the major parties. This plus other factors I predict will lead to some surprise results)
Big NT seat beginning with L
Parramatta and Fowler (yes, Fowler!) – dud/unpopular drop in candidates
Indi and/or at least one other seat from outer Melbourne (Mad Dan hatred), or Sydney or NSW Central Coast
Total of at least 4
ALP 70 LNP 76 Independents 5
Say 3 new Teals get up (could be optimistic, they have stuffed their HTV cards)
ALP 70 LNP 73 Independents 8
PREDICTED RESULT = Minority LNP govt
Not with 20-25% being postal votes
Final selections and all locked in!
Total entries are 52.
(Fields are Username ALP seats - LNP seats - OTH seats).
———————————————————
Minority ALP/LNP Gov
———————————————————
Mitchell Madness 66 - 70 - 15
kaka 68 - 75 - 8
rank and file 70 - 64 - 17
GreyWind 70 - 72 - 9
Dry Rot 70 - 73 - 8
@Milky95 71 - 72 - 8
BigVic 71 - 71 - 11
Hoops 73 - 71 - 7 (73 = most ALP seats in 12 years)
Trucker Tiger 73 - 71 - 7
Gavin Excell 73 - 68 - 10
Schneebly11 73 - 69 - 9
Golden_6 73 - 70 - 8
Messenger 73 - 70 - 8
JennyTaylor 73 - 73 - 5
Brad Goodman 74 - 66 - 11
——————————————
ALP Win (Swing >3.4%)
——————————————
Proper Gander 76 - 63 - 12
footyfan1978 76 - 67 - 8
Maggie5 77 - 66 - 8 66
pebblesofsand 77 - 66 - 8
Baltimore Jack 77 - 65 - 9
pjcrows 77 - 65 - 9
Hank Scorpion 77 - 64 - 10 (64 = least LNP seats in 35 years)
Ned_Flanders 77 - 63 - 11
Carn The Berries 78 - 63 - 10
Johnny Bananas 78 - 63 - 10
Major Colvin 78 - 65 - 8
aCunningPlan 79 - 63 - 9
Nikita Blue - 79 - 64 - 8
Tyls83 79 - 64 - 8
Rotayjay 79 - 66 - 6
hewetta 79 - 62 -10
HairyO 80 - 63 - 8
----------------------------------
ALP Win +Carnage (>4.7%swing)
----------------------------------
Northalives 80 - 61 - 10 (61 = least LNP seats in 39 years)
Johnboi 80 - 62 - 9
dusty1234! 81 - 61 - 9
ExcitementMachine 81 - 61 - 9
Rob R 82 - 59 - 10
Hornberger 82 - 60 - 9
Donakebab 82 - 60 - 9
Jascave 82 - 63 - 6
Blue1980 82 - 63 - 6
Pie eyed 84 - 60 - 7 (84 = most ALP seats in 35 years)
Shane Sheridan 84 - 56 - 11
campbell 84 - 54 - 13
Bombermania 84 - 52 - 15
pazza 85 - 55 - 11
--‐-----------------------------------------
Historically Safe ALP 2 term zone
--------------------------------------------
beema limapep 86 - 54 - 11
Sqotty from office works 87 - 60 - 4 (87 = most ALP seats in history)
Rustin Cohle 88 - 55 - 8
Brunswick Trap King 88 - 50 - 13
Juddism 89 - 56 - 6
The King! 94 - 50 - 7
Labor 73
Coalition 70
Others 8
Labour to form Government with 3 Greens/Independent (Bandt, Ryan, Daniel) candidates.
Sorry but is this taking the piss? The literal headline they ran with today was:
“PM warns Albo will try to control Victorians like Dan”
Very balanced
2 Ls, my dude@Milky95 71 - 72 - 8
Good stuff beema limapep.Final selections and all locked in!
Total entries are 52.
(Fields are Username ALP seats - LNP seats - OTH seats).
———————————————————
Minority ALP/LNP Gov
———————————————————
Mitchell Madness 66 - 70 - 15
kaka 68 - 75 - 8
rank and file 70 - 64 - 17
GreyWind 70 - 72 - 9
Dry Rot 70 - 73 - 8
@Milky95 71 - 72 - 8
BigVic 71 - 71 - 11
Hoops 73 - 71 - 7 (73 = most ALP seats in 12 years)
Trucker Tiger 73 - 71 - 7
Gavin Excell 73 - 68 - 10
Schneebly11 73 - 69 - 9
Golden_6 73 - 70 - 8
Messenger 73 - 70 - 8
JennyTaylor 73 - 73 - 5
Brad Goodman 74 - 66 - 11
——————————————
ALP Win (Swing >3.4%)
——————————————
Proper Gander 76 - 63 - 12
footyfan1978 76 - 67 - 8
Maggie5 77 - 66 - 8 66
pebblesofsand 77 - 66 - 8
Baltimore Jack 77 - 65 - 9
pjcrows 77 - 65 - 9
Hank Scorpion 77 - 64 - 10 (64 = least LNP seats in 35 years)
Ned_Flanders 77 - 63 - 11
Carn The Berries 78 - 63 - 10
Johnny Bananas 78 - 63 - 10
Major Colvin 78 - 65 - 8
aCunningPlan 79 - 63 - 9
Nikita Blue - 79 - 64 - 8
Tyls83 79 - 64 - 8
Rotayjay 79 - 66 - 6
hewetta 79 - 62 -10
HairyO 80 - 63 - 8
----------------------------------
ALP Win +Carnage (>4.7%swing)
----------------------------------
Northalives 80 - 61 - 10 (61 = least LNP seats in 39 years)
Johnboi 80 - 62 - 9
dusty1234! 81 - 61 - 9
ExcitementMachine 81 - 61 - 9
Rob R 82 - 59 - 10
Hornberger 82 - 60 - 9
Donakebab 82 - 60 - 9
Jascave 82 - 63 - 6
Blue1980 82 - 63 - 6
Pie eyed 84 - 60 - 7 (84 = most ALP seats in 35 years)
Shane Sheridan 84 - 56 - 11
campbell 84 - 54 - 13
Bombermania 84 - 52 - 15
pazza 85 - 55 - 11
--‐-----------------------------------------
Historically Safe ALP 2 term zone
--------------------------------------------
beema limapep 86 - 54 - 11
Sqotty from office works 87 - 60 - 4 (87 = most ALP seats in history)
Rustin Cohle 88 - 55 - 8
Brunswick Trap King 88 - 50 - 13
Juddism 89 - 56 - 6
The King! 94 - 50 - 7
Not specific enough.Where is mine?
All keep your day job.
None of us have got close.
True, but as a browse of what we all had, I see none of us really close enough to oust Nostradamus10 still in the air, long way to go yet