Prediction How many career goals can Lance Franklin get?

[Aristotle Pickett]

He's on 1047 which has outdone expectations since this poll.
Hopefully he can crack 1100 in 2023.

 

[Xtreme]

He won't even make it to 999

Thanks to the Richmond supporter for liking the post to highlight this, but wow I was wrong (shock horror I know)

 

[Sky]

He's on 1047 which has outdone expectations since this poll.
Hopefully he can crack 1100 in 2023.

Would be eternally the only man in the 1100-1199 goal range

 

[RUNVS]

He's on 1047 which has outdone expectations since this poll.
Hopefully he can crack 1100 in 2023.

1100 is possible but I suspect he would need to play into 2024 to get to it. 53 goals in a single season at his age would be quite a task.

 

[Connor7395]

I'm going to guess 1114. I believe he's got one good season left before the injuries run him down. He'll retire in 2024.

 

[Sky]

I'm going to guess 1114. I believe he's got one good season left before the injuries run him down. He'll retire in 2024.

1111 looks better

 

[Some Idiot]

1100 is possible but I suspect he would need to play into 2024 to get to it. 53 goals in a single season at his age would be quite a task.

52 this year and 51 last year, he just keeps finding a way.

 

[Aristotle Pickett]

Buddy has done well tonight to pass Doug Wade's 1057

 

[RUNVS]

Buddy has done well tonight to pass Doug Wade's 1057

Yep. Won't reach 1100 goals but will likely reach within 30 goals of that mark which is a massive effort in the modern game.

 

[Partridge]

Buddy has done well tonight to pass Doug Wade's 1057

Yeah but you play long enough milestones will occur. No one mentions he's played nearly 100 more games.

 

[BF Tiger]

Doug Wade would have to be one of the most decorated but least celebrated footballers of all time. Second player to 1000 goals, premierships at two clubs, four Coleman medals, state representative,… barely hear of him.

 

[BF Tiger]

Yeah but you play long enough milestones will occur. No one mentions he's played nearly 100 more games., 68*,

Different times.

Leading goal-tally in each season of Wade's* career: 54, 68*, 75, 68, 56, 76, 96*, 125, 127*, 146, 150, 130, 86, 103*, 68

11 times players kicked 100+ goals in a season during Wade's career.

Buddy's second best season netted 82 goals. 16 times that was surpassed in Wade's career. It's been done six times during Buddy's career (including Buddy doing it twice).

 

[Partridge]

Different times.

Leading goal-tally in each season of Wade's* career: 54, 68*, 75, 68, 56, 76, 96*, 125, 127*, 146, 150, 130, 86, 103*, 68

11 times players kicked 100+ goals in a season during Wade's career.

Buddy's second best season netted 82 goals. 16 times that was surpassed in Wade's career. It's been done six times during Buddy's career (including Buddy doing it twice).

Very true. And it is tougher to kick goals overall. But there are pros and cons to every era. The latest isn't automatically the greatest.

 

[Elite Master]

As much as the old timers don't want to admit it - Buddy's goalkicking achievements mean more than anybody's ahead of him, including Plugger himself.

 

[MF]

As much as the old timers don't want to admit it - Buddy's goalkicking achievements mean more than anybody's ahead of him, including Plugger himself.

I'd love to see a comparison done where each of the greats were compared to one another based on how far ahead of their contemporaries they were in their era. Eg. go through lockets career, season by season, and compare his average goals kicked per game to the combined average of the other top 10 goalkickers that year). Then come up with some measure of how far ahead each of these forwards were ahead of the standard for their era.

Obviously, it would take a lot more thought and effort than the 60 seconds I've just given it but it would be interesting to see the results.

I suspect Franklin would come out on top because it's a massive anomaly for someone from this era to get close to 1000, let alone break through it.

 

[Breretonisahood]

Depends on when the AFL instructs the umps to give him frees in every marking contest (eg see C. Curnow).

 

[SBD Gonzalez]

Buddy has done well tonight to pass Doug Wade's 1057

Very happy for him, and also very happy for him to retire as soon as we get Logan McDonald back on the paddock, because he’s now a mere shadow of his former self.

 

[Aristotle Pickett]

Very happy for him, and also very happy for him to retire as soon as we get Logan McDonald back on the paddock, because he’s now a mere shadow of his former self.

Zero disposals in the second half wasn't flash. They should use him on the wing at times.

 

[RichLeMonde]

As much as the old timers don't want to admit it - Buddy's goalkicking achievements mean more than anybody's ahead of him, including Plugger himself.

Would be interesting to see different forwards’ goal kicking averages and totals expressed as percentages of teams’ average/total scores in their era.

Buddy might come out on top by that measure. Which is weird to me, as I’ve never rated him in the same league as Lockett, GAJ and Dunstall. Happy to admit I could be wrong - just my impression.

 

[NetworkNerd]

Tom Hawkins

26

Tom Hawkins

Age

35

Ht

197cm

Wt

105kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.2

3star

K

7.9

3star

HB

4.4

3star

M

5.5

5star

T

1.9

4star

G

2.1

5star

D

12.7

3star

K

8.6

3star

HB

4.1

3star

M

5.1

5star

T

2.1

3star

G

1.6

5star

D

7.8

2star

K

5.6

3star

HB

2.2

2star

M

4.2

4star

T

1.0

3star

G

2.2

5star

looks like he can play for another 5 years. Would get close if he decides to play on for that long

 

[Roobs321]

I don't think he'll catch Wade

 

[Mr Meow]

Tom Hawkins looks like he can play for another 5 years. Would get close if he decides to play on for that long

I suspect Tom will hang up the boots before he enters Franklin 2023 levels of medium well done. Still leading the league for combined goals/assists this season in a pretty poor performing and depleted Cats side. He may and should go on next year but I reckon that's the latest he'd call time.

On goal numbers alone Franklin over the past year and a half has been fine. But he's been a liability just as a general player and for team synergy at times. Hawkins can't chase defenders or anything but still offers a lot as far as bringing his team mates into it and generally keeping that forward line ticking. Sydney will be better off as the kids take over even if their raw goal numbers aren't any better to begin with.

 

[RUNVS]

I'd love to see a comparison done where each of the greats were compared to one another based on how far ahead of their contemporaries they were in their era. Eg. go through lockets career, season by season, and compare his average goals kicked per game to the combined average of the other top 10 goalkickers that year). Then come up with some measure of how far ahead each of these forwards were ahead of the standard for their era.

Obviously, it would take a lot more thought and effort than the 60 seconds I've just given it but it would be interesting to see the results.

I suspect Franklin would come out on top because it's a massive anomaly for someone from this era to get close to 1000, let alone break through it.

Fortunately it has been done

Buddy Franklin is a footy outlier and here's the data that proves it

An analysis of Lance Franklin's goal kicking reveals how he stacks up against the thousands of other players who have take the field in league football's history.

www.abc.net.au

and this was before Buddy kicked 1000 goals so his adjusted tally is higher now.

 

[MF]

Fortunately it has been done

View attachment 1708334

Buddy Franklin is a footy outlier and here's the data that proves it

An analysis of Lance Franklin's goal kicking reveals how he stacks up against the thousands of other players who have take the field in league football's history.

www.abc.net.au

and this was before Buddy kicked 1000 goals so his adjusted tally is higher now.

Amazing