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L-L-W1u Garin -1.5 @1.96
1u Montiero +3.5 @1.96
1u Burel/Zhang over 20.5 @1.91
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3/5 with Sinner still to play.Bara
Siegemund
Tig
Jabuer
Curreno Busta
Sinner
are the dog tips for the night, less confident than previous nights.
I think Bertens gets over her wheelchair drama tonight, kvitova will be a different class to Zhang and Sinner is too short for once.
1u Bertens -4.5 @1.91
1u Kvitova/Zhang under 20.5 @1.87
2u Zverev -3.5 @1.85
1u Kvitova/Zhang under 20.5 @1.87
1.5u Fucsovics +5.5 @2.08
1.5u Dimitrov +5.5 @1.75
It will be very interesting to see how the favourites v dogs plays at the business end of the tournament.
My suspicion is the underdogs are good plays in the first few rounds when they can catch the market off guard, but by this point, all the players have well established form in this tournament and the market has a better idea of who's playing well enough to win so the value isn't there as much.
Hey mate check your PM1u PCB to win a set (vs Djokovic) @2.60
0.5u Trevisan @6
I know that Swiatek is WTA's new darling, but Trevisan has had almost as impressive a run up to the QF as Swiatek. I think way too much money has come in for Swiatek. So might as well dip into Trevisan.
Currently thinking about the overs as well...
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1u PCB to win a set (vs Djokovic) @2.60
0.5u Trevisan @6
I had the Spaniard as per the Dog, paying a healthy $12.5, when he went up in the first I had a bit of a thrill, but I went to bed just knowing Djokovic would come back and win 3-1. Nothing was surer in my mind.W-L
Busta salutes in the first.
Had a little bit of other money on QF dogs but won't record it here.
+1.1u
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Could have given me 20 picks and I doubt I've had had her in my selections.Wow, so I had Swiatek as an outright for Rome, and she failed to make it past the first round.
Despite still hearing chatter about her I decided not to take her as an outright for the FO.
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Correct, she'll likely have young player inconsistencies over the hard court summer season where some of the American, Australian and eastern European like the Russians and Czechs are more suited.Her and Podoroska are 2 to watch going forward. But anyone who beats 2 top 10 players and doesn't drop a set the whole tournament deserves to be champ.
I think I was only looking at her for QF winner. The people I saw take her for winner were planning on trading her out but then...
Interesting stat... There have been 9 first-time winners in the last 14 women's majors. So maybe you just have to pick the *right* 100-1 winner.
Anyway, as a true degen I'll be looking at the right time to oppose her now that the markets love her. Probably on hard court...
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