RichLeMonde
Club Legend
It’s funny you say that, because I predicted and pre-empted this silly argument earlier in the thread. Obviously those examples are meaningless, because there is no continuity in the playing group.Again, that is a complete logical fallacy that demonstrates a lack of understanding of statistics if it requires 2 fixed points at the start and the end to be true.
For example, 3 in exactly 17 years (start and end) has never happened so must be more difficult than a 3 in 5 (or even 4 in 5 which has happened more than once).
Richmond's 3 flags from 1980-2019 is the only example in history of 3 flags being won in exactly 30 seasons so is better than Brisbane's 3 peat (which has happened numerous times).
However, in an important sense, any decision about what counts as the ‘same’ playing group is somewhat arbitrary. No team has had an identical playing list in the last year of their 3 flags to the first year. From memory, Hawthorn 08 had about 8 players who played in 13. Why is that too few to count as per of the same era, but Geelong having 15 of the same (or whatever the actual number is) from 07 to 11 is considered enough to make them the ‘same’ team?
but the makeup of a team does matter. If a team won a flag, then was in a plane crash and all died, and then an entirely different pl list was recruited and won the next 2 flags to produce a 3-peat for the club, would that be considered a dynasty, just because of the consecutive nature of the flags? Obviously not.
So there is some number of overlapping players that we would probably need to agree upon, whether in a 3-peat team or a 3-in-5 team. I don’t know what that number is, but that is actually the defining point.