The Offseason: Essendon

What should Essendon prioritise this off-season?

  • Adding another key forward

    Votes: 25 32.1%
  • Jaeger O'Meara

    Votes: 29 37.2%
  • Resigning Jobe Watson

    Votes: 11 14.1%
  • Fielding offers for Pick 1

    Votes: 10 12.8%
  • The Michael Hibberd Trade

    Votes: 3 3.8%

  • Total voters
    78

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A few places resporting that Essendon are interested in Koby Stevens. What do you guys think would be an appropriate trade?
 

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Has he?

Maybe I'm just not seeing it with him. He's not terrible but if there's a good opportunity to improve in that position you take it.
Depends what the cost that improvement comes with. For the moment, Ambrose is serviceable enough to let us concentrate on other areas and Emac is 28. Unless we can get him at a very good price, I can't help but wonder why we'd be interested.
 
A few places resporting that Essendon are interested in Koby Stevens. What do you guys think would be an appropriate trade?
From our perspective, a third rounder. Maybe the Hibberd pick depending on how we see the draft.
 
Need another quality mid and a big power forward to help Joe out.
Would love Patton but unfortunately zero chance of that happening.
 
Depends what the cost that improvement comes with. For the moment, Ambrose is serviceable enough to let us concentrate on other areas and Emac is 28. Unless we can get him at a very good price, I can't help but wonder why we'd be interested.

I don't understand why we are chasing Emac when we have Hurley,Hooker,Hartley,Brown as our key backs.
 
I don't understand why we are chasing Emac
If Woosha wasn't playing games mentioning McKenzie, Hooker would definitely play forward and solve an immediate issue, a second key forward. I'd think Watson would be more likely to play on if Essendon were a realistic finals possibility in 2017. Assuming JOM wants to come to Essendon and he's fully fit, expectations would be Essendon push for top 8.
 
From our perspective, a third rounder. Maybe the Hibberd pick depending on how we see the draft.

General consensus on our board is a mid 2nd rounder, so your 2nd would be overs obviously. Melbourne's 2nd (Hibberd) with something coming back I guess?
 

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General consensus on our board is a mid 2nd rounder, so your 2nd would be overs obviously. Melbourne's 2nd (Hibberd) with something coming back I guess?
Depends what comes back. Before we start bringing in players like Stevens to round out the team, we need to get the basics right first. Hence, this year we're more than likely to take our draft picks to the draft or use them in a godfather deal to snare a player like O'Meara. Koby is a good player but players like him are not exactly our top priority now and we will value him accordingly.
 
A few places resporting that Essendon are interested in Koby Stevens. What do you guys think would be an appropriate trade?

To be frank nothing
I hope we are driving up his price and he stays with you
You got Crameri for unders
You had a real dip at a contracted Hurley
I think we owe Bulldogs a bit of payback
Stevens would be crazy to go anywhere when the doggies are in a pretty good era anyway
 
General consensus on our board is a mid 2nd rounder, so your 2nd would be overs obviously. Melbourne's 2nd (Hibberd) with something coming back I guess?
You won't get it
That is what you forked out for Crameri
Crameri is way more valuable than Stevens
 
Depends what comes back. Before we start bringing in players like Stevens to round out the team, we need to get the basics right first. Hence, this year we're more than likely to take our draft picks to the draft or use them in a godfather deal to snare a player like O'Meara. Koby is a good player but players like him are not exactly our top priority now and we will value him accordingly.

Agree it's strange you are apparently targetting him. He is perfect for a club like Gold Coast though who lack a big inside body. Not sure if driving his price up would really bother us though tbh as he seems on the outer and behind Libba, Wallis, Dunkley and others in his best role. If he wants too much I'd say we will just let him go.
 
You won't get it
That is what you forked out for Crameri
Crameri is way more valuable than Stevens

Definitely got Crameri for unders. I would say our 3rd round to come back, but we only have 2 4th rounders this year.
 
I'll put my feelings down in the same format.

What they need?

More guns, midfield depth. With the exception of Hooker Essendon's talls are not too old, with the oldest being Hooker turning 28 later this year. But in the midfield over the next few years they need to replace Watson, Goddard, Stanton and Hocking. Three of those were in our best players 2-3 years ago, and need to be replaced by guns.

So the focus has to be on midfielders, and ones with the potential to be guns. This also reflects the general feeling that the depth isn't too bad across the board, just more champions required to replace those ageing mids just mentioned, as well as Ryder/Carlisle/Crameri. Z Merrett obviously fills one hole.

The talls need is a myth. With Ambrose, Brown and Hartley all establishing themselves as being journeyman quality as a minimum, with Hooker and Hurley, and taking Francis at #6 last year, Essendon is reasonably well placed for talls. Up forward Hooker averaged 2 goals a game in his 10 games forward last year (of which we won 2 games so service was terrible), and 2.4 goals over the last five games. Between the talls we have, the three "medium" forwards coming through in Langford, Laverde and Redman, and Bellchambers ability to play forward, we're pretty covered. A later pick on a tall or a cheap tall such as S. Reid wouldn't be remiss. And of course if a blue chip tall was available, he'd need to be considered.

On Ambrose, he gets missed because he gives you nothing going the other way. But he's been extremely tight and would have done well in a reverse Coleman. And you just have to look at Dawson and Gilham to know Grand Finalists can get away with one journeyman who can shut down. As a bonus, he also plays on medium talls with his big engine.

Biggest names out of contract

Jobe Watson (UFA)
Jayden Laverde
Martin Gleeson
James Kelly & Matthew Dea (top-ups)

Best signing of the year

As the article stated.

Who won’t be there next year?

Mostly the article was right. Only changes are that:
  • McKernan may be kept as mature depth behind Leunberger and Bellchambers.
  • Edwards, Kommer and Ashby are almost certainly gone, as is Dempsey.
  • Most EFC fans would hope that Pears retires.
  • Gwilt would also have some question marks on him, but he's not out the door yet.
  • Stokes was a top up.
Likely to have 7-8 players out.
Likely to be Cooney, Edwards, Kommer, Ashby, Dempsey, Pears and Hibberd, with a few others being considered (McKernan, Gwilt).

Likely in's

Walla, McKenna and Dea are all likely to be either promoted from the rookie list, or picked up as a DFA. Kelly is also an option.
That would leave 3-5 draft picks, of which we are likely to have #1, #19, #26, #37 and #55 as a minimum.

Best find of the year

The three listed were all good, especially now we are good odds of being able to keep Dea for free. In addition the form of all three of Hartley, Ambrose and Brown has been fantastic, as it took us from zero tall depth to quite a nice position in one year.

And Zachary Merrett establishing himself as a bonafide A grade midfielder was brilliant.

Biggest decision looming

Agree pick #1 is the big decision. But its really, can we convert it into a better selection of picks? #4 or #5 and anything from #20 down might be seen as a win if our recruiting department believe the top 5 is as even as reported. Ainsworth or McGrath may do us as well as McCluggage or Brodie. Getting any one of those (plus SPS) and someone like Berry/Battle/Kerr/Simpkin for pick #1 could be a big win.

Do GWS or GCS want it, and what will they offer? We need quality over quantity, so that will effect any player discussions.

Agree on Jobe Watson as well.

Other big question - how many (if any) of the older players get to stay? I think Dempsey's gone. But do Kelly and Dea get offered contracts?

Plus do we promote McKenna, and do we keep/delist Hams?

Throw a lifeline to...

Matthew Dea a definite to be offered a contract. As Hibberd is leaving, Ashby and Dempsey will be cut and Baguley is 29, we need another medium/small defender. Dea will slot right in.

No way Dal Santo is offered a role. The only older player with any chance is Kelly, who we would seriously consider.

Trade Bait

Pick 1 – discussed above. I think it will either be kept or traded for picks. Either way, at least one midfielder really needs to come from it.

Michael Hibberd – Pick 26 from Melbourne is the most likely outcome.

Trade Targets

Jaeger O’meara – Worsfold says we'd love to have him at Essendon, and the media and message boards go into meltdown. Personally, I doubt with where our list is at, his knees, our history of Williams and others, that we'd touch him unless he comes cheap. But if GCS are threatening to send him to the draft, why on earth wouldn't the head coach make sure he knows he'd be welcome?

Hayden Ballantyne – yeah right. We've got Fantasia, Walla has been signed for three, getting back Colyer, and have Langford, Laverde and Redman coming through as forwards. Why on earth would we get Ballantyne? Same for Black. Yeah right.

GWS – Think we'll only be interested in a pick selection, or quality (if its on offer). We have salary cap space and the #1 pick, that might go far.

Surprise move of the off-season?

They mentioned S. Reid, I wouldn't rule it out if he comes cheap to get his salary cap off Sydney's books.

The great unknown?

How the missing 12 come back. If Watson, Stanton and all are back near their 2014 form, they are all huge inclusions. Hocking and Myers are reportedly better than they've been for years with an injury free 12 months. But they could also come back less fit, and with problems. Who knows.

The second element is how quickly the "two" teams can be integrated, and how quickly can the "12" (or rather 10) be brought onto Worsfold's game plan. It is no surprise that the side played its best footy in the last third of the year, as top-ups and youngsters got better with the game plan and player cohesion. How long will it take to merge the two groups?
 
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Despite finishing last year, Essendon does have some good players on either end of the ground.
Fantasia Daniher both future top 10 players for the club.
Brown/Hartley/Dea all serviceable down back and can hold their own against decent forwards.
Leunburger/Bellchambers are OK but both below average in AFL on top of being injury prone themselves.

However the midfield has some severe issues. Obviously the return of Heppell and possibly Watson will help Merrett/Goddard/Zaharakis. Nonetheless, I think they require another quality midfielder to at least breakeven in the centre.

I'd seriously consider both Prestia and O'meara from Gold Coast. Not only do you get 2 quality young midfielders (albeit injury prone) but also it allows players like Merrett and Goddard to play on the outside which seems like where they're most damaging.
Pick 1 +Pick 27(Hibberd)+Second round pick for Prestia+O'meara+Gold Coast's third rounder/Currie

Another young forward or ruck would also be appropriate. I'm not going to mention Witts here although I think he is a good fit considering other supporters have this consensus of him being "trash", "Disgustingly bad" and "Offensive to the term 'trash' ". Therefore I would make a play for Lobb and try to convince him to come to Victoria.

Pick 1 for GWS's first rounder+Lobb
You seem to forget we get back Watson, Stanton, Heppell, Myers, Hocking, Howlett and Colyer who all go through the midfield from our missing 12. Howlett is likely to play VFL pending injuries, but the others will likely all start. So we're adding those to Goddard, Merrett, Zaharakis, Parish and Bird. That is 12 for 9 spots. There are obviously question marks on how they'll all come back, but the midfield could be perfectly fine. Short term.

Rucks aren't bad. Leuy and a fit Bellchambers are both AFL quality. People forget that about Bellchambers as he's had two injury ravaged seasons. He was the best performing ruck/forward in the league in 2013, outscoring Hale for goals and tap outs. I suspect we'll keep McKernan as mature back-up.

.....
Having a look at their squad I also think they need another key defender to partner with Hurley. Hartley has been very good and Brown can play down there too but it's certainly an area I'd look to add to. Woosha was on SEN this morning and Eric Mackenzie popped up in the discussion - I reckon he'd be a very good addition and wouldn't cost too much to bring across.

Add both O'Meara and Mackenzie as well as the best young kid in the country and all of a sudden things are looking very promising for the Bombers.
No need for tall backs. A Hurley/Hartley/Ambrose tall back line with possible depth in Francis, Dea and Gwilt is fine (and Brown if he's not needed forward). No need for an ageing MacKenzie. If you read the transcript of Worsfold's conversation, he used Mackenzie and M. Brown (WCE version) as examples, he wasn't saying we would be interested in them.

If Woosha wasn't playing games mentioning McKenzie, Hooker would definitely play forward and solve an immediate issue, a second key forward. I'd think Watson would be more likely to play on if Essendon were a realistic finals possibility in 2017. Assuming JOM wants to come to Essendon and he's fully fit, expectations would be Essendon push for top 8.
Woosha wasn't playing games on MacKenzie, he mentioned him as an example of a point. The media just then ran with it as if he'd said we were interested.

We don't need more tall backs, even with Hooker playing forward.

Has he?

Maybe I'm just not seeing it with him. He's not terrible but if there's a good opportunity to improve in that position you take it.
Ambrose goes under-rated as he is purely shut down. But there is room for one defender in the team who does that if they do it very well, and he has.

A few places resporting that Essendon are interested in Koby Stevens. What do you guys think would be an appropriate trade?
With Myers, Bird, Parish, Watson, Hocking, Howlett, Zerrett I just don't see a need for Stevens. Especially when he is being dropped by the Bulldogs. If we did get him he'd need to be pretty cheap IMO.
 
For the sake of this post I am assuming Watson will return with Pears joining the fire brigade.

Re-sign 3 years: Laverde
Re-sign 2 years: Gleeson
Re-sign 1 year: Watson, Dea, Kelly and McKernan
Trade: Hibberd (Let's assume pick 27)
Delist: Kommer, Edwards, Dempsey, Gwilt and Ashby
Retire: Pears and Cooney
Elevate: Tippa and McKenna
Re-rookie: Long, Hams, Nyuan and Wallis

This then gives us 4 live selections (1st rounder, 2 2nd rounders and a 3rd round) at the draft along with 2 elevations and 2 rookie draft picks. With those draft picks I would go something like.

1: Hugh McLuggage (outside classy mid)
19: Tim English (Skinny but athletic ruckman. Think he is worth a punt here.)
27: Jack Graham (Inside mid with plenty of grunt)
37: Alex Witherden (Good mid sized defender)
55: TIPPA!!!!!!
73: McKenna!!!!!!

*McKernan gets another go because if Leuy or Bellchambers go down we have zero ruck depth other than Gach who is clearly not ready based on VFL form.

This allows us to turn over 8 players (Kommer, Edwards, Ashby, Dempsey, Gwilt, Cooney, Hibberd and Pears) and bring in some new talent (4 live picks) two of our homegrown talents who we know are good (Tippa and McKenna) and reward Matty Dea and James Kelly for outstanding seasons.
 
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