- Dec 12, 2010
- 4,709
- 4,794
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
We need to win both games. For one of these we will start as outsiders. So we need one upset.
We ALSO need Richmond to lose a game. They are playing 2nd and 3rd, but are playing them at MCG and are in form. I'd think they go in as favourites.
We also need to maintain our percentage increment against Richmond, which should happen if the above happens.
Therefore we need two upsets to make the top four.
Brisbane don't come into it, as they are two games and percentage above us. We can't pass them (realistically). A bad result would be if they lose both of their last games.
We ALSO need Richmond to lose a game. They are playing 2nd and 3rd, but are playing them at MCG and are in form. I'd think they go in as favourites.
We also need to maintain our percentage increment against Richmond, which should happen if the above happens.
Therefore we need two upsets to make the top four.
Brisbane don't come into it, as they are two games and percentage above us. We can't pass them (realistically). A bad result would be if they lose both of their last games.